Crisis: Ukraine vs. Cuba?
The worst crisis in the world today is the war in Ukraine, which, if not managed well, may destroy us all as a species (This Is How World War III Begins). The crisis is often compared with the Cuban Missile Crisis, and hence the solution should be similar too (How JFK Would Pursue Peace in Ukraine).
I agree with this analogy in principle, but would like to take this opportunity to better understand the Cuban Missile Crisis, the war in Ukraine, JFK, and Joe Biden.
“Dancing Queens”: A Critical Review (7)
A Revision Of Keynes’ Model: The Roots Of Concordian Economics
Revised: 18 June 2023.
The paper on Keynes is brilliant.
. . . . –Prof. John C. Medaille
Dancing Queens & Kings: Call for Participation
My new book “Dancing Queens & Kings” is calling for participation. The only requirement is that you have competed in the USDC or OSB. The deadline to submit (email to frankxli@yahoo.com) a 1-page highlight to tell your compelling story has been extended to 6/22 (from 6/15).
“Dancing Queens”: A Critical Review (6)
Episode 6 of the reality TV show “Dancing Queens” was aired today (June 13). It is briefly reviewed here, followed by some new developments along the same line since my last review (“Dancing Queens”: A Critical Review (5)) was published on June 6.
Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 6, 2023
Updated at 3:52 p.m. Tuesday, June 6, 2023Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.
We start with the U.S. Information.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
345 PM EDT Tue Jun 06 2023Valid 00Z Wed Jun 07 2023 – 00Z Fri Jun 09 2023
...Much above average temperatures from the Northern Plains to the Pacific
Northwest while the Southwest/California and the Northeast remain below
average……Numerous and Widespread Air Quality Alerts from the Northeast to the
Great Lakes as well as for other urban areas in the central/eastern U.S……Scattered to widespread showers and storms with the risk for flash
flooding continue from the High Plains into the Intermountain West…
“Dancing Queens”: A Critical Review (4)
Adventures With 3 Coin Flips. Part 2: Connecting the Micro to the Macro
In Part 1, we saw that increasing the observation window changes the results for the occurrence of tails following heads. That raises the question: How does the micro (small observation window) relate to the macro (large observation window)? More specifically, what is the relationship between results from a small observation window (three flips) and those from a large observation window (100 flips)?
Adventures With 3 Coin Flips. Part 1: The Gamblers’ Paradox
Many gambling activities involve betting on events for which the outcomes obey rigid, specified odds. When there is no mechanical bias, roulette wheels have fixed odds, including some that are binary (50:50) such as red vs. black. Betting on the flip of a coin is likewise a binary 50:50 proposition: heads or tails. Why is it then that there is a propensity for some gamblers to place wagers in a pattern conflicting with the known 50:50 odds? For example, after a string of blacks on a roulette wheel, why do some gamblers keep increasing the amounts bet on red with each succeeding black?