The full data sets for the 71 years from 1952 to 2022 show no discernable association patterns (correlations) for nonfinancial credit growth and inflation changes.1 This post continues that analysis by looking specifically at the various regimes of inflation change during the 71-year timeline.
From a photo by Lenny Kuhne on Unsplash
We have found that the correlation relationships between various types of credit and inflation are variable over time. So far, the kinds of credit studied are government spending,1 consumer credit,2 and mortgage debt.3 Here, we address another category of credit spending, Nonfinancial Corporate Credit. This series studies the correlation between Nonfinancial Corporate Credit and CPI inflation.
Image by THAM YUAN YUAN from Pixabay.
Note: A major addition was added to the conclusion at 1:43 a.m. EDT on October 23, 2023.
This article concludes the analysis of the correlation patterns between Mortgage Debt and Consumer Inflation (CPI). The last of the three types of inflation patterns (time periods with no significant inflation trends) is the subject of analysis here. The other two types of patterns (inflation surges1 and disinflation/deflation surges2) were analyzed previously. The conclusion discusses the correlation patterns for all time periods, looks for any common threads, and identifies important differences across time periods and types of correlation patterns.
The full data sets for the 71 years from 1952 to 2022 show no discernable association patterns (correlations) for Mortgage Debt growth and inflation changes.1 Thus, we started an analysis by looking specifically at the various regimes of inflation change during the 71-year timeline. The most recent post2 analyzed the eight time periods over 71 years with positive inflation surges. This article analyzes the five periods between 1952 and 2019 with negative inflation (disinflation/deflation) surges.
From an image by Harry Strauss from Pixabay.
This article concludes the analysis of the correlation patterns between Household and Nonprofit Organization Credit (HNO) and Consumer Inflation (CPI). The last of the three types of inflation patterns (time periods with no significant inflation trends) is the subject of analysis here. The other two types of patterns (inflation surges1 and disinflation/deflation surges2) were analyzed previously. The conclusion discusses the correlation patterns for all time periods, looks for any common threads, and identifies important differences across time periods and types of correlation patterns.
From a photo by Stephen Phillips – Hostreviews.co.uk, on Unsplash.
For the past several months, we have examined what the U.S. data has to say about the relationships between deficit spending by the federal government and inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This post will summarize these results and discuss what they mean.
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One of the time periods without significant inflation changes is incorrectly specified in Part 15.1 This post corrects that error.
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This is a continuation of the analysis of each significant period of rising inflation since 1914. The first part1 covered the years up to the start of World War II. The second part2 covered the inflationary periods following World War II through 2022. This is an addendum to the second part.
From a photo by Colton Sturgeon on Unsplash
Previous posts have summarized the correlations for U.S. federal government deficit spending with inflation1 and deflation2 over the years from 1914-2022. In this article, the correlations of deficit spending with inflation are determined for the years not part of significant inflation surges (up or down).
From a photo by Haran Amorim on Unsplash
