deflation Archives - Page 3 of 4

Nonfinancial Corporate Credit and Inflation: Part 4

By John Lounsbury March 3, 2024macroeconomicsNo Comments

This article concludes the analysis of the correlation patterns between Nonfinancial Corporate Credit (NFC) and Consumer Inflation (CPI). The last of the three types of inflation patterns (time periods with no significant inflation trends) is the subject of analysis here. The other two types of patterns (inflation surges¹ and disinflation/deflation surges²) were analyzed previously. The conclusion discusses the correlation patterns for all time periods, looks for any common threads, and identifies important differences across time periods and types of correlation patterns.

From a photo by Josue Isai Ramos Figueroa on Unsplash.

Mortgage Debt and Inflation: Part 4

By John Lounsbury October 22, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

Note: A major addition was added to the conclusion at 1:43 a.m. EDT on October 23, 2023.

This article concludes the analysis of the correlation patterns between Mortgage Debt and Consumer Inflation (CPI). The last of the three types of inflation patterns (time periods with no significant inflation trends) is the subject of analysis here. The other two types of patterns (inflation surges¹ and disinflation/deflation surges²) were analyzed previously. The conclusion discusses the correlation patterns for all time periods, looks for any common threads, and identifies important differences across time periods and types of correlation patterns.

From a photo by The Agent on Unsplash.

Mortgage Debt and Inflation: Part 3

By John Lounsbury October 15, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

The full data sets for the 71 years from 1952 to 2022 show no discernable association patterns (correlations) for Mortgage Debt growth and inflation changes.¹ Thus, we started an analysis by looking specifically at the various regimes of inflation change during the 71-year timeline. The most recent post² analyzed the eight time periods over 71 years with positive inflation surges. This article analyzes the five periods between 1952 and 2019 with negative inflation (disinflation/deflation) surges.

From an image by Harry Strauss from Pixabay.

Mortgage Debt and Inflation: Part 2

By John Lounsbury October 8, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

The full data sets for the 71 years from 1952 to 2022 show no discernable association patterns (correlations) for mortgage debt growth and inflation changes.¹ This post continues that analysis by looking specifically at the various regimes of inflation change during the 71-year timeline.

From a photo by Tierra Mallorca on Unsplash

Mortgage Debt and Inflation: Part 1

By John Lounsbury October 1, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

Mortgage debt is the third area of money creation that we examine for associations with inflation. Two previous studies have analyzed the areas of federal government deficit spending¹ and consumer credit.²

From Photo by Kindel Media from Pixabay

Consumer Credit and Inflation: Part 4

By John Lounsbury September 23, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

This article concludes the analysis of the correlation patterns between Household and Nonprofit Organization Credit (HNO) and Consumer Inflation (CPI). The last of the three types of inflation patterns (time periods with no significant inflation trends) is the subject of analysis here. The other two types of patterns (inflation surges¹ and disinflation/deflation surges²) were analyzed previously. The conclusion discusses the correlation patterns for all time periods, looks for any common threads, and identifies important differences across time periods and types of correlation patterns.

From a photo by Stephen Phillips – Hostreviews.co.uk, on Unsplash.

Consumer Credit and Inflation: Part 1

By John Lounsbury September 3, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

We have found that the relationships between government spending and inflation are variable over time.¹ How about another category of spending, that by consumers? This series studies that topic.

From image by Kris from Pixabay

Government Spending and Inflation: Reprise and Summary

By John Lounsbury August 20, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

For the past several months, we have examined what the U.S. data has to say about the relationships between deficit spending by the federal government and inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This post will summarize these results and discuss what they mean.

Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay

Government Spending and Inflation. Part 15 – Erratum

By John Lounsbury August 13, 2023UncategorizedNo Comments

One of the time periods without significant inflation changes is incorrectly specified in Part 15.¹ This post corrects that error.

Photo by Brett Jordan on Unsplash

Government Spending and Inflation. Part 15

By John Lounsbury July 23, 2023macroeconomicsNo Comments

Previous posts have summarized the correlations for U.S. federal government deficit spending with inflation¹ and deflation² over the years from 1914-2022. In this article, the correlations of deficit spending with inflation are determined for the years not part of significant inflation surges (up or down).

From a photo by Haran Amorim on Unsplash