Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 14, 2024

November 14, 2024Posted inUncategorizedNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Nov 14 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Nov 14 2024 – 12Z Sat Nov 16 2024

…A rapidly developing coastal storm is expected to bring a period of
gusty winds, enhanced rainfall and thunderstorms from the Carolinas to the
Mid-Atlantic states Thursday night into Friday…

…Lower elevation/coastal rain and mountain snow continue for the Pacific
Northwest Thursday; a rain/snow mix will spread inland across the Great
Basin and Rockies Thursday and Friday…

…Most of the country will see seasonable to above average temperatures
to end the week…

Showers will continue this morning and into Thursday afternoon ahead of a
low pressure/frontal system pushing through the Great Lakes region, with
precipitation chances gradually winding down with time and eastward extent
Thursday evening as the system weakens. To the south, more vigorous
showers and thunderstorms and heavier rainfall will continue ahead of the
front over the Upper Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and into the Southeast,
spreading into the central/southern Appalachians Thursday afternoon. Then,
by Thursday evening, a secondary low is expected to develop along the
coast of the Carolinas and deepen as it moves offshore, helping to enhance
onshore flow and rain chances over the Carolinas and southern Mid-Atlantic
into Thursday night. Some gusty winds will also be possible. Rain chances
should quickly taper off from west to east by Friday morning as the low
moves away from the coast. Further north, an area of low pressure lifting
northward over the Atlantic and into Nova Scotia will bring some showers
and possibly a wintry mix into Maine on Friday.

A Pacific frontal system moving through the West will spread precipitation
chances inland over the next couple of days. Lower elevation/coastal rain
and higher elevation snowfall over the Pacific Northwest and northern
California will continue through the day Thursday before tapering off into
Thursday evening as moist flow from the Pacific comes to an end. A lower
elevation rain/snow mix and higher elevation snow will spread further
inland with the system over the northern Rockies/Great Basin Thursday and
into the central Great Basin/Rockies on Friday. Some moderate to locally
heavy snowfall is also forecast for the Sierra Nevada through Friday.

Most of the country will see seasonable to above average temperatures
Thursday and Friday. Central portions of the country will continue to see
temperatures 5-15 degrees above average as an upper-level ridge passes
over the region. Forecast highs generally range from the 40s and 50s for
the Great Lakes/Midwest, the 50s for the northern Plains, the 60s for the
central Plains, and the 60s and 70s for the southern Plains. Highs will be
more seasonable and even a bit below average for the East Coast Thursday,
with 40s and 50s for New England, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Carolinas.
Temperatures will rebound a bit Friday as conditions moderate, with highs
5-10 degrees warmer and into the 50s and 60s. Areas of the Southeast/Gulf
Coast ahead of the cold front will see highs as warm as the upper 70s
Thursday before falling into the 60s and low 70s following the frontal
passage on Friday. Most of the inland West will see seasonable to above
average highs Thursday ahead of the incoming frontal system, with highs in
the 50s for the Great Basin/Rockies/Four Corners region and the 80s into
the Desert Southwest. Highs on Friday will drop into the 40s for the Great
Basin and 60s to low 70s for the Desert Southwest following the frontal
passage. The West Coast will see highs mainly in the 50s and 60s.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

13 NOV 2024 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Bitcoin Passes $90 Thousand, Markets Close Mixed

November 13, 2024Posted inmarketsNo Comments

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed up 47 points or 0.11%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 51 points or 0.26%,
  • S&P 500 closed up 11 points or 0.02%,
  • Gold $2,581 down $25.10 or 0.96%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $68 down $0.05 or 0.01%,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.447 up 0.016 points or 0.361%,
  • USD index $106.49 up $0.47 or 0.44%,
  • Bitcoin $89,652 up $1,345 or 0.15%, (24 Hours) , (New Bitcoin Historic high 93,184)

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing

Today’s Highlights

U.S. stocks closed mixed on Wednesday as investors digested the latest consumer inflation data which some think supports the Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cut in December (over 80% of traders expecting a reduction according to the CME FedWatch tool). Bitcoin briefly reached a new record high above $93,000 in the cryptocurrency market before retreating slightly. The market’s reaction reflects ongoing considerations about inflation, economic growth, and future Federal Reserve policy decisions. Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, emphasized that inflation data remains crucial for the central bank’s future decisions.

Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – November 2024 Economic Forecast: Our Index Marginally Declines – We Are Stuck With The Crappy Economy We Have Seen So Far This Year

Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:

Gee, what a surprise – in October 2024 the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year growth increased from 2.4% to 2.6%. The CPI-U less food and energy was little changed at 3.3%. As I continue to advise readers – there is significant upward pressures on inflation, and my position is that the Federal Reserve was premature in lowering the federal funds rate.

U.S. household debt balances increased by $147 billion (0.8%) in the third quarter of 2024. The growth was spread across various loan products: Mortgages were up $75 billion, Credit cards up $24 billion, and auto loans up $18 billion. Despite the growth in absolute debt balances, the debt-to-income ratio remains lower than pre-pandemic levels: Current ratio is 82% of disposable personal income. Pre-pandemic ratio (2019) was 86% of disposable personal income.This suggests that debt balances have increased but have not outpaced income growth. Delinquency rates have risen over the past two years, returning to approximately pre-pandemic levels. However, credit card and auto loan delinquencies have exceeded pre-pandemic levels. Here too, I have been reminding readers that inflation adjusted credit growth is well below historical levels. What this tells me is that Americans have become more conservative in their spending habits.

Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Deepwater Discoveries Set to Reshape Africa’s Energy Landscape
  • How War Has Reshaped Ukraine’s Iron Ore Trade
  • India’s Adani Group Plans $10B Investment in American Energy
  • Russia Considers Lifting Gasoline Export Ban
  • Suncor Lifts Dividend as Soaring Output and Refining Drive Strong Profit
  • AMD to lay off 4% of workforce, or about 1,000 employees
  • Dogecoin soars after Trump taps Elon Musk for department of government efficiency: CNBC Crypto World
  • Here’s the inflation breakdown for October 2024 — in one chart
  • OPEC+ Faces Double Trouble: China Demand Weakness And Trump’s Policies
  • 10-, 30-year Treasury yields end at 4-month highs as investors weigh inflation risks
  • As bitcoin trades above $90,000, is now the time to buy?

Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 13, 2024

November 13, 2024Posted inUncategorizedNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Nov 13 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Nov 13 2024 – 12Z Fri Nov 15 2024

…Atmospheric River brings heavy coastal rain and high-elevation mountain
snow to the Pacific Northwest and northern California Wednesday…

…Showers and thunderstorms will bring locally heavy rainfall to the
Lower Ohio, Tennessee, and Mississippi Valleys Wednesday, with the risk
for some scattered flash flooding in Louisiana and Mississippi…

…Above average temperatures continue for much of the central U.S. and
Gulf Coast states while colder air moves into the Northeast and the West…

Heavy lower elevation rain and high elevation mountain snow continues in
the Pacific Northwest this morning as a Pacific frontal system and
associated plume of moisture/Atmospheric River move inland over the
region. Precipitation coverage will expand southward into northern
California through the day Wednesday, with favorable upslope locations
along the coastal ranges and Cascades seeing locally heavy rainfall with
an isolated risk for flooding. Precipitation will also spread inland with
the front into the northern Rockies/Great Basin bringing rain and a wintry
mix to lower elevations and more snow to higher elevations in the local
mountain ranges. Precipiation chances across the region will continue into
Thursday, though with more moderate amounts expected as the moisture
flowing in from the Pacific wanes.

Gulf moisture flowing northward ahead of a low pressure/frontal system
over the Mississippi Valley will help trigger a broad area of showers and
thunderstorms today stretching from the Midwest/Great Lakes south through
the Ohio, Tennessee, and Lower Mississippi Valleys. Greater and deeper
moisture content closer to the Gulf as well as some marginal instability
will bring the threat for some locally heavy downpours producing a few
inches of rain for the Lower Ohio, Tennessee, and Lower Mississippi
Valleys, where a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 1/4) is in
effect for some isolated flash flooding. A targeted Slight Risk (level
2/4) has been introduced from central Louisiana northeast into central
Mississippi where higher confidence in greater rainfall rates and very wet
antecedent conditions from prior heavy rainfall events may lead to a few
more scattered instances of flash flooding. The system will continue
eastward on Thursday, bringing shower and thunderstorm chances to the
Upper Ohio Valley, Appalachians, and the Carolinas/Southeast, while
lingering across the Great Lakes. Some more moderate to locally heavy
rainfall totals are most likely across the central/southern Appalachians
and Carolinas where precipitation will be enhanced by a second frontal
boundary lifting northward from the Gulf. The rest of the country will
remain mostly dry.

Much of the central U.S. and Gulf Coast states continue to see above
average high temperatures by around 5-15 degrees this week. Forecast highs
Wednesday and Thursday range from the 40s and 50s in the Great
Lakes/Midwest; 50s in the northern Plains; 50s and 60s in the central
Plains, Middle Mississippi Valley, and Ohio Valley; the 70s for Texas and
the Lower Mississippi Valley, and the 80s along the Gulf Coast and into
Florida. Frontal passages and generally unsettled weather along the East
Coast and in the West will keep temperatures cooler and more seasonable in
these areas. Forecast highs range from the 30s and 40s in New England, the
40s and 50s in the Mid-Atlantic, and the 50s and 60s from the Carolinas
south into Georgia. In the West, highs Wednesday are in the 40s and 50s
for the Pacific Northwest and Interior West, the 60s in California, and
the 70s in the Desert Southwest. Temperatures will moderate for eastern
interior areas on Thursday as upper-level ridging builds northward, with
highs climbing into the 50s and 60s for the Rockies and Four Corners
Region, and the 80s for the Desert Southwest.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

12 NOV 2024 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street Has Taken A Breather From The Three Post-Election Celebration Sessions To Close Moderately Down In The Red

November 12, 2024Posted inmarketsNo Comments

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 382 points or 0.86%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 17 points or 0.09%,
  • S&P 500 closed down 17 points or 0.29%,
  • Gold $2,607 down $10.80 or 0.41%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $68 up $0.02 or 0.01%,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.429 up 0.121 points or 2.809%,
  • USD index $105.91 up $0.37 or 0.34%,
  • Bitcoin $89,581 up $2,822 or 3.15%, (24 Hours) , (New Bitcoin Historic high 90,016)

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing

Today’s Highlights

The post-election rally in US stocks lost momentum on Tuesday as investors reassessed recent buying and considered the implications of Donald Trump’s potential Cabinet selections. The major stock indices declined. This marked the worst day for both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones since October 31st. Several factors contributed to this pause in the market’s upward trend – Wall Street analysts suggested the post-election surge may be nearing its end, with Bank of America noting investor exposure to US stocks had reached an 11-year high. Policy uncertainty – The market pondered the potential impact of Trump’s likely Cabinet picks, including Marco Rubio as secretary of state, which raised concerns about tougher policies towards China. Inflation worries – There were concerns that Trump’s economic plans could spur inflation. Treasury yields – The 10-year Treasury yield increased by about 12-13 basis points. Some previously strong “Trump trades” also lost momentum with Tesla’s stock turning negative after previous gains. Cryptocurrency-related stocks like Coinbase struggled to maintain their recent increases. Bitcoin, while still trading above $86,000, slowed its pace after nearly reaching $90,000. Investors are now turning their attention to upcoming economic data, particularly Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index report for October, which will be scrutinized for signs of cooling inflation.

Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – November 2024 Economic Forecast: Our Index Marginally Declines – We Are Stuck With The Crappy Economy We Have Seen So Far This Year

Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose by 2.2 points in October to 93.7. This is the 34th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. The Uncertainty Index rose seven points to 110, the highest reading recorded. A seasonally adjusted net negative 20% of small business owners reported higher nominal sales in the past three months, the lowest reading since July 2020. NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg stated:

With the election over, small business owners will begin to feel less uncertain about future business conditions. Although optimism is on the rise on Main Street, small business owners are still facing unprecedented economic adversity. Low sales, unfilled jobs openings, and ongoing inflationary pressures continue to challenge our Main Streets, but owners remain hopeful as they head toward the holiday season.

October 2024 Survey of Consumer Expectations shows median one-year-ahead inflation expectations declined by 0.1 percentage point (ppt) to 2.9%, three-year-ahead inflation expectations declined to 2.5 percent, and five-year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 2.8 percent. Labor market expectations improved with households reporting a lower likelihood for higher unemployment, a lower likelihood of job loss, and a higher likelihood of finding a job if they were laid off.

Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Aethon Eyes $10 Billion Move as Data Demand Grows
  • API Presses Trump for Pro-Drill, Pro-LNG Agenda
  • Data Center Diplomacy: The New Frontier in AI Geopolitics
  • California’s New Fuel Rules Could Raise Gas Prices by $0.50 Per Gallon
  • Climate Skeptics See Trump Opportunity to Reverse U.S. Policies
  • Demand Concerns Continue to Dominate Oil Markets
  • OPEC Oil Production Jumps by 470,000 Bpd as Libyan Output Returns
  • Dow falls more than 350 points, retreating from record as postelection rally takes breather: Live updates
  • Bitcoin to top $100,000 before year-end, according to bettors on Kalshi
  • FAA bans U.S.-Haiti flights for 30 days after Spirit Airlines flight struck by gunfire
  • Canada’s Labor Minister ends coast-to-coast port labor turmoil, forcing unions back to work
  • Long-Range Ukrainian Drone Strike On Warships In Caspian Sea Worries Kremlin
  • 10-year Treasury yield breaks through key resistance levels on way to 5%
  • VIX signals stock rally ‘healthy’ for now. Here’s how to use it to spot a bubble.

Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 12, 2024

November 12, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Nov 12 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Nov 12 2024 – 12Z Thu Nov 14 2024

…An Atmospheric River will bring heavy, low elevation rain and high
elevation mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest and northern California
beginning Tuesday evening…

…Showers and thunderstorms will bring locally heavy rainfall and
isolated flash flooding concerns to the Lower Ohio, Tennessee, and
Mississippi Valleys Wednesday…

…Above average temperatures continue for much of the country, cold
fronts bring more seasonable temperatures for the Northeast and the West
today…

A frontal system moving through the West bringing light to moderate lower
elevation wintry mix and higher elevation snow to the northern Rockies and
Great Basin this morning will continue eastward today, with precipitation
chances spreading into the central Rockies by Tuesday evening. At the same
time, another Pacific frontal system and accompanying Atmospheric River
will approach the West, bringing a wave of Pacific moisture and triggering
increasingly heavier lower elevation/coastal rain and higher elevation
mountain snow. The system will move inland bringing an expanding area of
lower elevation/coastal rain and high elevation mountain snow to northern
California and a wintry mix into the northern Rockies and Great Basin
through Wednesday. Favorable upslope regions along the coastal ranges and
Cascades will see locally heavy rainfall and the threat of some isolated
flooding today, expanding southward into coastal northern California on
Wednesday.

Some lingering light rain/snow showers may continue through Tuesday
morning across the Interior Northeast and Maine as a low pressure system
departs the region. Some heavier showers and thunderstorms are also
expected along the central Gulf Coast as moist flow from the Gulf
continues along a wavy frontal boundary. More widespread precipitation
chances will begin to pick up Tuesday evening as the first frontal system
over the West begins to move eastward out over the Plains. Initially
isolated showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage overnight as
the system moves eastward towards the Mississippi Valley and Gulf moisture
return intensifies into Wednesday morning. More widespread storms with
locally heavy rainfall are expected across the Lower Ohio/Tennessee
Valleys, Mid-South, and into the Lower Mississippi Valley Wednesday, with
some isolated flash flooding possible especially given wet antecedent
conditions from recent rainfalls. More light to moderate rainfall is
likely over the Great Lakes with lower instability and available moisture.
The system will push eastward towards the Appalachians by Thursday
morning.

Much of the central and eastern U.S. will continue to see above average
high temperatures of 5-15 degrees over the next couple of days. Forecast
highs range from the 40s in the Great Lakes, 50s in the northern Plains,
60s for the central Plains, 70s for Texas and the Southeast, and 80s along
the Gulf Coast. Highs will be more seasonable for the Northeast and
Midwest Tuesday following a cold front passage as highs mainly remain in
the 40s and 50s. Cooler, more seasonable temperatures will also come to
the Carolinas and Southeast Wednesday, with highs dropping into the upper
50s to mid-60s. The multiple frontal systems will keep temperatures cooler
across most of the West as well, with highs Tuesday mostly in the 40s and
50s for the Pacific Northwest and interior locations, 60s for coastal
California, and 60s and 70s for the Desert Southwest. Conditions will
moderate by around 5-10 degrees on Wednesday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

11 NOV 2024 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street’s Three Main Indexes Gapped Up At The Opening Bell To, Again, Record New Historic Highs, Finally Closing With New Closing Highs

November 11, 2024Posted inmarketsNo Comments

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed up 304 points or 0.69%, (Closed at 44,293, New Historic high 44,867)
  • Nasdaq closed up 12 points or 0.06%, (Closed at 19,299, New Historic high 19,366)
  • S&P 500 closed up 10 points or 0.06%, (Closed at 6,001, New Historic high 6,017)
  • Gold $2,630 down $64.80 or 2.40%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $68 down $2.16 or 3.07%,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.304 down 0.039 points or 0.898%,
  • USD index $105.49 up $0.49 or 047%,
  • Bitcoin $87,209 up $9,166 or 10.51%, (24 Hours) , (New Bitcoin Historic high 87,401)

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing

Today’s Highlights

The stock market experienced significant gains on Monday, continuing a robust post-election rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 44,000 for the first time, while the S&P 500 closed surpassing the 6,000 mark. Both indexes had just recorded their best week of the year, driven by optimism surrounding lower corporate taxes and deregulation anticipated from President-elect Donald Trump. Bitcoin reached a new high of $86,000, fueled by expectations of a crypto-friendly administration under Trump. Other cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin also saw gains. Tesla’s stock surged for the fifth consecutive session, climbing over 8%, reflecting investor confidence in its potential benefits from Trump’s presidency. In contrast, the Nasdaq Composite struggled, closing slightly down due to underperformance from major tech stocks like Nvidia, Apple, and Meta. Small-cap stocks also thrived, with the Russell 2000 index achieving its highest level since November 2021. Market sentiment was bolstered by the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut and positive consumer sentiment data released last week. However, some analysts express caution regarding the sustainability of this rally as they await upcoming inflation data that could influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions.

Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – November 2024 Economic Forecast: Our Index Marginally Declines – We Are Stuck With The Crappy Economy We Have Seen So Far This Year

Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:

No releases on Veteran’s Day

Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Shippers Brace for Impact as Freight Rates Climb
  • Venezuela’s Gas Pipeline Explosion Highlights Crumbling Infrastructure
  • U.S. Natural Gas Prices Jump Over 10% After Hurricane Rafael Hits
  • National Gasoline Prices Fall To 3-Year Low
  • Saudi-Iranian Relations Warm as Middle East Braces for Trump’s Return
  • Tesla shares pop 6% as postelection rally continues
  • Bitcoin tops $87,000 as crypto euphoria over Trump win shows no sign of waning
  • GM’s Wall Street vindication is happening as it outperforms its peers in 2024
  • Gunfire Hits Spirit Airlines Jet On Final Approach In Haiti, Crew Wounded
  • China’s Foreign Direct Investment Set For First Negative Year In History
  • ‘I’ve no interest in investing more money in the stock market’: I’m debt-free, retired, and ignoring the ‘Trump bump.’ What should I do with $400,000 in cash?
  • U.S. oil benchmark settles below $70 a barrel on China stimulus disappointment

Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 11, 2024

November 11, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Nov 11 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Nov 11 2024 – 12Z Wed Nov 13 2024

…An Atmospheric River will bring a couple rounds of heavy, lower
elevation rain and high elevation mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest
and northern California…

…Lingering precipitation chances for the Northeast and Carolinas Monday
with some locally heavier rainfall along the central Gulf Coast…

…Above average temperatures continue for much of the country, more
seasonable temperatures for the Northeast and the West on Tuesday…

A pair of Pacific storm systems will help to usher in waves of moisture
into the Pacific Northwest and northern California in an active
Atmospheric River pattern over the next couple of days. Moderate to heavy
coastal rain and high elevation mountain snow is already ongoing over the
Pacific Northwest this morning and will continue to spread inland as well
as into northern California throughout the day Monday. A moderate lower
elevation rain/wintry mix and higher elevation snow will also spread into
portions of the northern Rockies and Great Basin by Monday evening. Some
locally heavier snowfall totals of 8-12″+ will be possible for the
Cascades with more moderate totals elsewhere. Precipitation will linger
into Tuesday for the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies/Great Basin as
well as spread into the central Rockies as this system continues inland.
Then, on Tuesday evening, a second system will approach the Pacific
Northwest bringing the next wave of moisture inland. Showers and even some
thunderstorms along the coast and upslope portions of the Coastal Ranges
will lead to some heavier rainfall totals late Tuesday into early
Wednesday, with an isolated threat for flooding. Additional heavy snowfall
is also expected for the Cascades.

Some showers and thunderstorms will linger in the Carolinas and along the
central Gulf Coast ahead of a cold front pushing off the East Coast
through the day Monday. Higher moisture along the Gulf could lead to some
locally heavier downpours. A secondary cold front to the northwest will
also bring some additional light to moderate showers to the interior
Northeast, which may include a wintry mix by Monday evening. Elsewhere,
some isolated showers and storms will be possible across the
central/northern Plains and Mississippi Valley late Tuesday/early
Wednesday morning as the first storm system over the West reaches the
region.

Forecast high temperatures Monday continue to remain above average by
around 5-15 degrees for much of the country. Some of the most unseasonably
warm highs will be throughout New England, with highs in the 50s and 60s,
and the Mid-Atlantic, with highs into the 60s and 70s. Otherwise,
temperatures range from the 40s and 50s in the northern Plains/Midwest;
the 50s and 60s for the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Basin,
and California; the 50s for the central Plains and Ohio Valley; and the
70s and 80s for the Desert Southwest, Texas, and the Southeast. A cold
front passing through the Northeast will bring much cooler, more
seasonable temperatures Tuesday, as highs fall into the 40s and 50s. The
Pacific system passing through the West will also bring some more
seasonable temperatures Tuesday, with highs falling into the 40s for the
Great Basin/northern Rockies and the 60s and 70s in the Desert Southwest.

[Image of cumulative wind history]

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 10, 2024

November 10, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Nov 10 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Nov 10 2024 – 12Z Tue Nov 12 2024

…Wet Sunday for much of the eastern U.S., including beneficial rainfall
for the Northeast…

…An Atmospheric River will bring heavy coastal rain and high elevation
snowfall to portions of the Pacific Northwest beginning Sunday night…

…Above average temperatures will continue into next week for most of the
country…

A broad area of showers and thunderstorms ahead of a low pressure
system/arcing frontal boundary through the Midwest south into the
Mississippi Valley early Sunday morning will continue eastward through the
day, bringing an expanding area of moderate to heavy rainfall over the
eastern U.S. The front will push eastward through the Ohio Valley/interior
Northeast and into New England and the Mid-Atlantic by Sunday evening,
bringing beneficial rainfall following many weeks of little to no
precipitation. Further south, the front will make slower progress and keep
additional storm chances focused over the Tennessee and Lower Mississippi
Valleys following heavy rain Saturday. Moisture streaming northward from
the Gulf, influenced in part by Tropical Storm Rafael, will lead to some
locally heavy downpours, with isolated flash flooding possible. A
localized Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 2/4) is in place over
central Louisiana where continued rainfall early Sunday over very
saturated grounds/ongoing flooding may lead to a few more scattered
instances of flash flooding. An additional area of showers and
thunderstorms is expected for portions of the coastal Carolinas/Georgia
and into Florida in vicinity of a wavy frontal boundary. Most of the
rainfall should come to an end by early Monday as the front begins to
clear the coast over the Northeast and moisture return decreases to the
south, though some lingering showers will remain possible for the interior
Northeast as a secondary cold front passes through.

Some light to moderate lower elevation rain showers and higher elevation
snows will continue over portions of the Pacific Northwest/northern
Rockies through Sunday afternoon as a wavy frontal boundary lingers in the
region. Then, a stronger Pacific storm system/Atmospheric River will
approach the Pacific Northwest Sunday evening bringing moderate to heavy
coastal rains by Sunday night. This system will continue inland into the
day Monday with an expanding area of precipitation across the Pacific
Northwest, northern Great Basin/Rockies, and northern/central California.
Favorable upslope areas along the coastal mountain ranges may see 2-3″ of
rain, with some potentially moderate to heavy accumulating snows for
higher elevations of the Cascades, Sierra Nevada, and northern Rockies.
Another system just beyond the current forecast period looks to bring
another round of heavy rain and mountain snows mid-week.

Most areas of the country will continue to see temperatures 5-15 degrees
above average over the next couple of days. Forecast highs Sunday range
from the 50s for the Pacific Northwest, Great Basin, northern
Rockies/Plains, Great Lakes, and New England; the 60s in California,
central Plains, Ohio Valley, and Mid-Atlantic; and the 70s and 80s for the
Desert Southwest, Texas, Lower Mississippi Valley, and the Gulf Coast.
Much of the East Coast will see even warmer highs on Monday as rain clears
out, with highs rising into the 60s for coastal New England and the 70s
for the Mid-Atlantic, Carolinas, and Georgia. One region that will remain
colder will be portions of the central/southern Rockies and High Plains
where grounds remain snow covered following this past Friday’s historic
storm, with highs mainly in the 40s to low 50s.

[Image of cumulative wind history]

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