Flipping a coin three times seems like a simple process. But there are myriad complications that can arise. In Part 1 of this series, we saw that data sampling for coin flips can influence how results are interpreted. In this post, we will look closely at how probability assessments (possibilities) can lead to propositions deviating from the reality ensuing when coin flips are actually carried out. We will consider the concept of ‘alternate universes’. Who would have guessed that flipping a coin three times would go there?
In a previous post (Dancing Queens & Kings: Call for Participation (5)), I highlighted 10 dancing queens or kings as examples (age-group):
Now, let me highlight how they did at USDC 2023 last month (9/4-10).
My forthcoming book “Dancing Queens & Kings” is calling for participation. The only requirement is that you have competed at the USDC or OSB (2023 inclusive), with an interesting story to tell. Below is the timeline:
I am looking for 50 stories and will accept up to 60 submissions of 1 page (1st come, 1st accepted). After your 1 page is accepted, your 8-page is almost guaranteed to be included in the book unless it is so poorly written that it is totally unsalvageable.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Oct 01 2023
Valid 12Z Sun Oct 01 2023 – 12Z Tue Oct 03 2023…There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the east
coast of Florida on Sunday and over the Southern High Plains on Monday……There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Southern High Plains on Monday……Heavy snow over parts of the higher elevations of northeastern Utah…
My forthcoming book “Dancing Queens & Kings” is calling for participation (Dancing Queens & Kings: Call for Participation (4)). The only requirement is that you have competed at the USDC or OSB (2023 inclusive). Below is the timeline:
I am looking for 50 participants and will accept up to 60 submissions of 1 page (1st come, 1st accepted). After your 1-page is accepted, your 8-page is almost guaranteed to be included in the book unless it is so poorly written that it is totally unsalvageable.
In this post, I will answer some FAQs (frequently asked questions).
In a previous post (Dancing Queens & Kings: Call for Participation (4)), I highlighted eight dancing queens or kings as examples (age-group):
Now, let me highlight how they did at USDC 2023 last week (9/4-10).
Written by Steven Hansen
The Federal Reserve data release (Z.1 Flow of Funds) – which provides insight into the finances of the average household – shows an increase in average household net worth and an improvement in income. Our modeled “Joe Sixpack” – who owns a house and has a job, but essentially no other asset – is better off than he was last quarter.
My forthcoming book “Dancing Queens & Kings” is calling for participation (Dancing Queens & Kings: Call for Participation (4)). The book is to promote pro/am ballroom dancing by highlighting amateurs, with their teachers (aka “pro partners”) being the secondary beneficiaries. One of the secondary beneficiaries is Slawek Sochacki.