The full data sets for the 71 years from 1952 to 2022 show no discernable association patterns (correlations) for mortgage debt growth and inflation changes.1 This post continues that analysis by looking specifically at the various regimes of inflation change during the 71-year timeline.
From a photo by Tierra Mallorca on Unsplash
Mortgage debt is the third area of money creation that we examine for associations with inflation. Two previous studies have analyzed the areas of federal government deficit spending1 and consumer credit.2
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This article concludes the analysis of the correlation patterns between Household and Nonprofit Organization Credit (HNO) and Consumer Inflation (CPI). The last of the three types of inflation patterns (time periods with no significant inflation trends) is the subject of analysis here. The other two types of patterns (inflation surges1 and disinflation/deflation surges2) were analyzed previously. The conclusion discusses the correlation patterns for all time periods, looks for any common threads, and identifies important differences across time periods and types of correlation patterns.
From a photo by Stephen Phillips – Hostreviews.co.uk, on Unsplash.
For the past several months, we have examined what the U.S. data has to say about the relationships between deficit spending by the federal government and inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This post will summarize these results and discuss what they mean.
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One of the time periods without significant inflation changes is incorrectly specified in Part 15.1 This post corrects that error.
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This is a continuation of the analysis of each significant period of rising inflation since 1914. The first part1 covered the years up to the start of World War II. The second part2 covered the inflationary periods following World War II through 2022. This is an addendum to the second part.
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Previous posts have summarized the correlations for U.S. federal government deficit spending with inflation1 and deflation2 over the years from 1914-2022. In this article, the correlations of deficit spending with inflation are determined for the years not part of significant inflation surges (up or down).
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This is the second of two posts to analyze the eleven significant deflationary periods for the years 1914-2022. The first post was Part 14A.1
From image by Nicolae Baltatescu from Pixabay
We have failed to find systematic relationships between consumer inflation and federal deficit spending over long time periods. This is a continuation of looking at each period of significant inflation and disinflation/deflation individually. Parts 13A1 and 13B2 analyzed the ten significant inflation periods since 1914. This is the first of two posts to analyze the eleven significant deflationary periods for the years 1914-2022.
From photo by Guillaume de Germain on Unsplash
