NOAA Updates it’s ENSO Outlook on December 8, 2022

Updated at 3:45 p.m. December 9, 2022 to complete certain edits that were not completed at the time this article was published. They add a little more clarity to the discussion.

On the second Thursday of every month, NOAA issues its analysis of the status of ENSO. This includes determining the Alert System Status. Although the current status remains the same i.e.  La Nina Advisory, the forecast has again been adjusted slightly from the prior month. There is some disagreement on when this La Nina will end with the best guess being perhaps March. But some meteorological agencies believe it could be sooner than that.

But I have actually seen only a few signs of it starting to happen. But all the meteorologists agree that it will.  Could they all be wrong? Probably not.

Will this La Nina transition quickly to the El Nino phase? That would be unusual but some of the models suggest this will happen.

Weather Forecast: Today, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 9, 2022

Updated at 3:04 p.m. EST December 9, 2022

Here is what we are paying attention to today and the next 48 hours from Friday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we publish each morning. On Weekends, we will publish late Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
250 PM EST Fri Dec 09 2022

Valid 00Z Sat Dec 10 2022 - 00Z Mon Dec 12 2022

...Major storm system to bring heavy mountain snow and coastal rain to the
West this weekend...

...Episodes of moderate to locally heavy rain possible as showers and
thunderstorms continue for the South...

...Wintry weather expected to enter the Northeast early Sunday...

08Dec2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Major Wall Street Indexes Opened Higher, Traded Sideways, And Closed In The Green

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed up 184 points or 0.54%,
  • Nasdaq closed up 1.13%,
  • S&P 500 up 0.75%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $71 down $0.59,
  • USD $105.13 down $0.44,
  • Gold $1800 up $2.10,
  • Bitcoin $17,203 up 2.25% – Session Low 16,797,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.487% up 0.81%

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing.


Click here to read our Economic Forecast for December 2022


Today’s Economic Releases:

Join in celebrating the holidays with Elliott Wave International’s 12 Days of Elliott! Each day will reveal a new premium resource to help you build confidence in the markets using a tried and true method. December 1-12 Yes, it’s FREE!

The Atlanta Fed’s Wage Growth Tracker is a measure of the nominal wage growth of individuals. It was 6.4 percent in November, the same as in October. For people who changed jobs, the Tracker in November was 8.1 percent, compared to 7.6 percent in October. For those not changing jobs, the Tracker was 5.5 percent, similar to the 5.4 percent reading in October.

In the week ending December 3, the advance figure for unemployment insurance weekly claims 4-week moving average was 230,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised up by 250 from 228,750 to 229,000.

 

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • No Relief In Sight For Bosphorus Oil Tanker Jam
  • Iron Ore Futures Jump As Chinese Cities Ease Covid Restrictions
  • GameStop shares rise after earnings report
  • Paramount shares fall as CEO lowers fourth-quarter ad revenue forecast
  • Microsoft Slides After FTC Blocks Activision Deal, Drags Market Lower
  • House Passes Record $858 Billion Defense Policy Bill
  • US stocks open higher after recent selloff

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 7, 2022

Updated at 6:05 p.m. December 8, 2022 to include the afternoon NWS 48 hour forecast. We will publish again tonight but also we will also publish the ENSO Update.

Here is what we are paying attention to this afternoon and the next 48 hours from Thursday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we will publish each evening. On Weekends, we will publish Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
309 PM EST Thu Dec 08 2022

Valid 00Z Fri Dec 09 2022 - 00Z Sun Dec 11 2022

...Episodes of moderate to heavy rain expected to track across the
Southern Plains to the Mid-Mississippi Valley the next couple of days...

...Wintry weather spreading into the Central/Northern Plains today and
into the Upper Midwest on Friday...

...Heavy precipitation expected for the Pacific Northwest and northern
California today before significant mountain snowfall arrives tomorrow...

07Dec2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street Ended The Day Little Changed

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed up 1.58 points or 0.00%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 0.51%,
  • S&P 500 down 0.19%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $72 down $1.92,
  • USD $105.13 down $0.44,
  • Gold $1800 up $17.50,
  • Bitcoin $16,832 down 0.94% – Session Low 16,755,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.413% down 0.10%

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing.


Click here to read our Economic Forecast for December 2022


Today’s Economic Releases:

3Q2022 nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased 1.3% year-over-year (blue line on the graph below) while labor costs increased 5.3% (red line on the graph below) year-over-year.

As job cuts rise and economic softness looms, the number of seasonal jobs added in Retail has fallen to the lowest level for November since 2008, according to an analysis of non-seasonally adjusted data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) by global outplacement and executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. Retailers added 256,700 jobs in November, according to non-seasonally adjusted data from the BLS, down 26% from the 348,600 jobs added in November last year, and the lowest number of jobs added in the sector for that month since 2008, when 213,600 Retail positions were added. That year, 15,351,700 were employed in Retail companies.

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Food Security Has Become A Central Priority For Many Emerging Markets
  • Mining Giant Glencore Sees Huge Deficit In Copper Coming
  • Saudi Arabia Vows To Stick With China As An Energy Partner
  • Southwest Airlines reinstates dividend after nearly three years as travel rebounds
  • Mortgage demand falls again even as rates sink further
  • AOC Under Investigation By House Ethics Committee
  • Futures Movers: U.S. oil prices drop 3%, pressured by China demand uncertainty, rise in domestic product stocks
  • Get ready for a ‘conundrum’ of a respiratory illness season

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 6, 2022

Updated at 4:37 p.m. EST December 7, 2022

Here is what we are paying attention to this afternoon and the next 48 hours from Wednesday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we will publish each evening. On Weekends, we will publish Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
305 PM EST Wed Dec 07 2022

Valid 00Z Thu Dec 08 2022 - 00Z Sat Dec 10 2022

...Heavy rain and marginal flash flooding threat across the Central Plains
through Thursday morning...

...Wintry weather spreading into the Central/Northern Plains tonight into
tomorrow...

...Next round of heavy precipitation expected to reach the Pacific
Northwest later tonight before spreading inland and down into California
Thursday night into early Friday...

06Dec2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street Slips Again Leaving The Three Major Indexes Down More Than 1% Today

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 351 points or 1.03%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 2.00%,
  • S&P 500 down 1.44%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $74 down $2.52,
  • USD $105.55 up $0.26,
  • Gold $1784 up $2.40,
  • Bitcoin $16,992 up 0.23% – Session Low 16,926,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.519% down 0.08%

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing.


Click here to read our Economic Forecast for December 2022


Today’s Economic Releases:

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $78.2 billion in October 2022, up $4.0 billion from $74.1 billion in September, revised. The October increase in the goods and services deficit reflected an increase in the goods deficit of $6.1 billion to $99.6 billion and an increase in the services surplus of $2.1 billion to $21.4 billion.

Home prices nationwide increased year over year by 10.1% in October 2022 compared with October 2021. On a month-over-month basis, home prices declined by 0.1% in October 2022 compared with September 2022. The CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase on a month-over-month basis by 0.0% from October 2022 to November 2022 and on a year-over-year basis by 4.1% from October 2022 to October 2023.

 

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • High Oil Prices Are Fueling Economic Growth In The Middle East
  • Russias Army Is Running Out Of Ammunition
  • Here’s what America’s top CEOs are saying about a possible recession in 2023
  • Boeing’s last 747 is rolling out of the factory after a more than 50-year production run
  • Rising thefts at Walmart could lead to price jumps, store closures, CEO says
  • GM continues to evaluate Twitter’s advertising suspension following Musk’s takeover
  • Goldman, BofA, JPM CEOs Paint Grim Picture Of US Economy, Market In 2023
  • Did Trump Really Call For Termination Of The Constitution?
  • Washington Watch: Here are the politicians who received money from FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 5, 2022

Updated at 9 p.m. EST December 6, 2022.  It now provides a little glimpse of Tuesday Night and Wednesday.

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from Tuesday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we will publish each evening. On Weekends, we will publish Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
303 PM EST Tue Dec 06 2022

Valid 00Z Wed Dec 07 2022 - 00Z Fri Dec 09 2022

...Isolated flash flooding possible over the Central Plains later on
Wednesday into Thursday...

...Accumulating snows across the Northern Plains and through portions of
the Northern and Central Rockies...

...Widespread much above average temperatures across the southern and
eastern U.S. in stark contrast with Arctic air across the Northern
Plains...

05Dec2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street Equities Opened Lower And Trended Down To Close Near Session Bottom As Economic Soft Landing Hopes Fade

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 483 points or 1.40%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 1.93%,
  • S&P 500 down 1.79%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at 77 down $2.67,
  • USD $105.32 uo $0.78,
  • Gold 1780 down $29.70,
  • Bitcoin $16,945 down 1.45% – Session Low 16,895,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.588% up 0.085%

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing.


Click here to read our Economic Forecast for December 2022


Today’s Economic Releases:

Join in celebrating the holidays with EWI’s 12 Days of Elliott! Each day will reveal a new premium resource to help you build confidence in the markets using a tried and true method. December 1-12 Yes, it’s FREE!

New orders for manufactured goods in October 2022, up twelve of the last thirteen months, increased by 1.0%, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. In perspective, inflation-adjusted sales (red line on the graph below) – continue in contraction year-over-year.

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Gasoline Prices Continue To Plummet In The U.S.
  • Apple Ramps Up Efforts To Move Production Of Out China
  • North Face owner VF Corp. falls 10% after guidance cut, CEO steps down
  • DHL buying Ford E-Transit cargo vans showcases the automaker’s electric vehicle strategy
  • Los Angeles bans oil and gas drilling within city limits
  • Stocks, Bonds, Bullion, & Black Gold Battered As ‘Soft Landing’ Hopes Fade
  • Iranians Skeptical That Morality Police Actually Disbanded After Surprise Announcement
  • FA Center: This little-known but spot-on economic indicator says recession and lower stock prices are all but certain

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.