Authored by Steven Hansen
EconCurrent‘s Economic Index improved and now is insignificantly in negative territory. We do not see a recession baked in but now four major indicators are signaling a recession. Read on to understand the currents affecting our economic growth.
This article concludes the analysis of the correlation patterns between Household and Nonprofit Organization Credit (HNO) and Consumer Inflation (CPI). The last of the three types of inflation patterns (time periods with no significant inflation trends) is the subject of analysis here. The other two types of patterns (inflation surges1 and disinflation/deflation surges2) were analyzed previously. The conclusion discusses the correlation patterns for all time periods, looks for any common threads, and identifies important differences across time periods and types of correlation patterns.
From a photo by Stephen Phillips – Hostreviews.co.uk, on Unsplash.
The full data sets for the 71 years from 1952 to 2022 show no discernable association patterns (correlations) for household credit growth and inflation changes.1 Thus, we started an analysis by looking specifically at the various regimes of inflation change during the 71-year timeline. The most recent post2 analyzed the eight time periods over 71 years with positive inflation surges. This article analyzes the five periods for 1952-2022 with negative inflation (disinflation/deflation) surges.
From an image by Michal Jarmoluk from Pixabay
The full data sets for the 71 years from 1952 to 2022 show no discernable association patterns (correlations) for household credit growth and inflation changes.1 This post continues that analysis by looking specifically at the various regimes of inflation change during the 71-year timeline.
From a photo by CardMapr.nl on Unsplash
Authored by Steven Hansen
EconCurrent‘s Economic Index again declined and now has entered negative territory. We do not see a recession baked in but there continue to be three major indicators signaling a recession. Read on to understand the currents affecting our economic growth.
For the past several months, we have examined what the U.S. data has to say about the relationships between deficit spending by the federal government and inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This post will summarize these results and discuss what they mean.
Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay
Authored by Steven Hansen
EconCurrent‘s Economic Index modestly declined but remains in positive territory. We do not see a recession baked in but there are three major indicators signaling a recession (no change from last month) Read on to understand the currents affecting our economic growth.
This is a continuation of the analysis of each significant period of rising inflation since 1914. The first part1 covered the years up to the start of World War II. The second part2 covered the inflationary periods following World War II through 2022. This is an addendum to the second part.
From a photo by Colton Sturgeon on Unsplash
Previous posts have summarized the correlations for U.S. federal government deficit spending with inflation1 and deflation2 over the years from 1914-2022. In this article, the correlations of deficit spending with inflation are determined for the years not part of significant inflation surges (up or down).
From a photo by Haran Amorim on Unsplash
