Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 7, 2024

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Jan 07 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Jan 07 2024 – 12Z Tue Jan 09 2024

…Major winter storm will produce additional heavy snow for Northeast and
Central Appalachians today…

…Rapidly strengthening storm will lead to widespread, significant
impacts over much of the central U.S. beginning Monday…

…Major winter storm will dump several feet of snow over the Washington
and Oregon Cascades

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Notices: The article on the Updated Outlook for January 2924 can be accessed HEREWhat would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article.

Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)

Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE

TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).

TOMORROW

NEXT DAY

This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.

The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.

ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS

This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update.   Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.

Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here

There are three storm systems that are and/or will be impacting the CONUS
over the next few days. The first of the three is the major winter storm
bringing heavy snow and strong winds to the Northeast and Central
Appalachians today. Additional snowfall of 4-8 inches are expected for
much of the aforementioned areas through tonight when the storm is
expected to pull away into the Atlantic. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter
Weather Advisories are in effect. Conditions should improve on Monday.

The second storm system is one that will make its way through the Rockies
today. Heavy snow is likely across much of the Intermountain West and
Central/Southern Rockies. Snow is also likely over the Northern Rockies
but to a lesser extent. This system will reorganize over the Southern
Plains on Monday and develop into a deep and dynamic mid-latitude cyclone.
This storm will generate heavy snow and strong winds over the Plains and
Midwest on Monday and Tuesday. The heaviest snow totals are most likely in
parts of the Midwest, where local maxima up to 12 inches are likely.
Blizzard conditions are most likely in the Central Plains where wind gusts
in excess of 50 mph will lead to near zero visibility at times and
extremely dangerous travel. Blizzard conditions are possible in the
Midwest as well. Winter Storm Watches are in effect for parts of the
Southern High Plains, Central Plains and Middle Mississippi Valley.

Widespread and potentially significant river and flash flooding are likely
from the central Gulf Coast through much of the Eastern U.S. early this
week. Powerful onshore winds will lead to widespread coastal flooding
along the eastern Gulf Coast and much of the East Coast. Significant
coastal flooding is likely in some areas, especially in the Carolinas and
Mid-Atlantic. There is a Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall leading to
Flash Flooding for portions of the Gulf Coast. Storms will support 1.5 to
2.5 inch/hr rain rates with localized amounts of 4 to 6 inches possible.
There is a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Monday through Monday night
across parts of southeast Texas, southern Louisiana, southern Mississippi,
southern Alabama into the western Florida panhandle. Damaging wind gusts
and tornadoes are possible across those areas by late Monday night.
Widespread wind gusts in excess of 50 mph are likely in the eastern Gulf
Coast so prepare for power outages.

The third system arrives over the Pacific Northwest tonight. A deep
Pacific storm system will generate heavy coastal rain, heavy mountain snow
and strong winds across the region beginning tonight and continuing
through at least midweek. This major winter storm will bring several feet
of snow to the Washington and Oregon Cascades and will peak on Tuesday and
Wednesday.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)

Ski SnowReports

New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.

Snow Forecasts.  And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.

Day 1

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day1_psnow_gt_04.gif

Day 2

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_psnow_gt_04.gif

Additional snow information can be found here and here. The second link provides animations.

Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4.  An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.

Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.

Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays)
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ https://www.cpc.ncep   .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/

Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.

6–

10

 

8–

14

3–

4

HAZARDS OUTLOOKS

Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays.  Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report.  So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.

 

Daily Agricultural Weather Highlights can be found HERE

Month to Date Information

Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png

Precipitation month to date can be found at  https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png

World Forecast

Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6  forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE

World Temperature Anomalies

 

World Accumulated Precipitation

This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.

Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)

This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here  Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.

Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE.  Western Pacific information can be found HERE.

 

 

 I hope you found this article interesting and useful.

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *