November 14, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this morning’s NWS Forecast.

...Light snow accumulations across the mid-Missouri Valley and Midwest
through Tuesday morning...

...Coastal rain; inland mixed precipitation on Tuesday evening into
Wednesday across Northeast and Mid-Atlantic as coastal low develops and
moves up coast...

...Anomalously cold air will continue to grip the lower 48 through the
work week...

...Strong Santa Ana winds return across Southern California on Tuesday;
High Wind Warnings in effect...

November 13, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Lake-effect snow downwind from the Great Lakes Sunday night into
Monday...

...Light snow from the Southern High Plains to the Upper Midwest Monday
evening into Tuesday...

...There are Winter Weather Advisories across parts of the Central Plains
for Monday...

November 11, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicole will merge with an approaching cold front
while spreading heavy rain across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast through
Saturday...

...Below average temperatures for much of the lower 48 by Sunday...

...Freeze and Hard Freeze Warnings in effect over portions of the Southern
Plains tonight...

November 10, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Tropical Cyclone NICOLE will slowly weaken and move northward, becoming
Post-Tropical by Friday evening...

...Heavy snow is to begin to wind down over the Upper Midwest on Friday...

...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Southeast through Saturday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Southeast on Thursday, moving to the Northeast on Friday...

November 9, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this morning’s NWS Forecast.

...Tropical Cyclone Nicole will continue impacting Florida, Georgia, and
South Carolina today, impacts will spread north Friday into the weekend...

...Heavy snow and blizzard conditions possible in the northern High
Plains, Great Plains, and Upper Mississippi Valley today into Friday...

...Strong cold front to spread below normal temperatures across most of
the nation by the end of the weekend...

November 8, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this morning’s NWS Forecast.

...Heavy mountain snow today for the Sierra Nevada, Intermountain West,
and northern Rockies...

...Major winter storm impacts possible for portions of the northern Plains
and Upper Mississippi Valley today through Thursday...

...Tropical Cyclone Nicole forecast to bring hurricane conditions to
portions of the Southeast coast and east-central Florida late today or
tonight...

November 7-8, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this morning’s NWS Forecast.

...Heavy rain and flash flooding likely across parts of southwestern
California today...

...Heavy mountain snow to continue through Wednesday for the Sierra
Nevada, Intermountain West, and northern Rockies...

...Impacts from Subtropical Storm Nicole expected to begin late today in
eastern Florida...

...Heavy snow and blizzard conditions possible for portions of the
northern High Plains, Great Plains, and Upper Mississippi River Valley
Wednesday through Thursday...

November 4, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus our usual 48-hour report.

Part II was updated at 6:05 p.m. EST on November 6 2022 to reflect the updated Sunday and Monday forecast. We will do another update later and then publish a new 48-hour report tonight.

Cold plus moisture means snow for the Northwest

NOAA updates many of its weather outlooks daily or even more frequently and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. We provide a daily report which focuses on the shorter-term predictions but also has links to all the partial-month outlooks. Because WordPress does not provide the ability to have these maps automatically updated, our daily report shows some of the maps which we update each evening plus the links to the other important weather forecast maps.

Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the next 28 days.

The week 3-4 outlook is only updated by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Service once a week on Friday. Thus, when we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the media and online.

The key dynamic is the High Pressure over Alaska which brings cold air into the U.S. Northwest. Combined with the ongoing atmospheric river we end up with a wet and snowy Northwest. The intensity and extent of this pattern vary through the month as does the level of confidence in the strength of the pattern. Drought intensifies in other parts of the U.S.

We also include In Part II of the article the other information from the daily 48-hour forecast article. Importantly, this time of the year, it includes updates on tropical events. In both Parts I and II we also include some worldwide forecasts.

It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts If you read this article a few days or more after it is published. And there will be a totally updated version next Friday.

November 3, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical and World Precipitation

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Moderate to heavy mountain snow moving across the central Rockies today
into early Friday...

...Severe thunderstorms likely across the southern Plains on Friday ahead
of and along a potent cold front...

...Above-average temperatures across northern Plains and Midwest today;
spreading eastward this weekend...

...Atmospheric River will bring widespread rain and high-elevation snow
across the Pacific Northwest...