Weekly Crop Report May 25, 2023 – Overall a very good Crop Report – Record Winter Wheat Abandonment but non-US Producers respond to the opportunity.

May 25, 2023Posted inagricultureNo Comments

This article is based primarily on the May 23, 2023, USDA Crop Bulletin which covers the May 15 – 21  period of time. The USDA report becomes available on Tuesdays. I will try to publish this article Tuesday night for viewing Wednesday morning but I am one day late this week.

Included in the USDA Crop Bulletin was information on the highest percentage abandonment of Winter Wheat since 2017. I included a link to additional information on this somewhat worrying trend. This year, drought in Kansas was a major factor in this. But it is more complicated than that.

The article includes a short international review of agricultural conditions.

It is still early in the season but we beginning to have information on most crops. And overall it looks like a very good year developing.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 25, 2023

May 25, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 11:18 p.m. EDT Thursday, May 25, 2023, to provide information on the new drought warning for the Midwest.

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
339 PM EDT Thu May 25 2023

Valid 00Z Fri May 26 2023 – 00Z Sun May 28 2023

…Locally heavy rain and thunderstorms possible in the Southeast, Great
Basin, northern Rockies, and High Plains over the next few days…

…Hazardous beach conditions in the Southeast this weekend…

…Above average temps in the Northwest and North-Central U.S. and below
average temps in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast through the weekend…

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 18, 2023

May 18, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 5:15 p.m. EDT Wed May 24, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
245 PM EDT Wed May 24 2023

Valid 00Z Thu May 25 2023 – 00Z Sat May 27 2023

…Severe thunderstorms likely across the southern High Plains this
evening…

…Isolated to scattered locally heavy rain and thunderstorms to impact
parts of the Southeast, Great Basin, northern Rockies, and much of the
High Plains over the next few days…

…Well above average temperatures confined to the northern Plains and
Upper Midwest through the end of the week, while much cooler temperatures
push into the Great Lakes and Northeast…

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 17, 2023

May 17, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1228 PM EDT Wed May 17 2023

Valid 00Z Thu May 18 2023 – 00Z Sat May 20 2023

…Above-normal temperatures continue in the West…

…An elevated risk of Flash Flooding exists over portions of the
Central/Southern Plains on Thursday night…

…A late spring freeze is possible over portions of the Northeast
tonight…

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:40 p.m. EDT Tuesday, May 16, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
333 PM EDT Tue May 16 2023

Valid 00Z Wed May 17 2023 – 00Z Fri May 19 2023

…Heavy rainfall, flooding and severe weather are possible across the
Mid-Atlantic and Tennessee Valley this evening…

…Above-normal temperatures continue in the West…

…Cooler, drier air across Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Northeast through
midweek in wake of potent cold front…

Our Report on the JAMSTEC Three-Season Forecast – May 15, 2023

May 15, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

The Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, or JAMSTEC, is a Japanese national research institute for marine-earth science and technology

From the JAMSTEC Discussion:

“Observation shows that the La Niña Modoki-like state persists. The SINTEX-F ensemble mean predicts that an El Niño will occur in June. However, there is a large uncertainty in the predictions of the amplitude, and the ensemble mean of the SINTEX-F2-3DVAR version predicts a relatively weak El Niño.” [This puts JAMSTEC in disagreement with NOAA and most other Meteorological Agencies]

Although it is a World forecast, it includes a forecast for North America since North America is part of the World.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 15, 2023

May 15, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:56 p.m. EDT Monday, May 15, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
349 PM EDT Mon May 15 2023

Valid 00Z Tue May 16 2023 – 00Z Thu May 18 2023

…Above-normal temperatures to persist in the West….

…Additional heavy rain and flooding possible from the Southern Plains to
the Southeast…

…Heavy rainfall for parts of the Northwest & Southwest; much cooler
temperatures arrive in the Northeast mid-week…

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 14, 2023

May 14, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:08 p.m. EDT Sunday, May 14, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
403 PM EDT Sun May 14 2023

Valid 00Z Mon May 15 2023 – 00Z Wed May 17 2023

…Above-normal temperatures to spread from the western into the central
U.S. early this week…

…Additional heavy rain and flooding possible for parts of the southern
Plains and mid Mississippi Valley into Monday…

…Heavy rainfall threat moving east into the lower Ohio and Tennessee
Valleys on Tuesday…

Weekly Crop Report May 13, 2023 – It looks like a good start but it is very early in season so too early to draw conclusions.

May 13, 2023Posted inagricultureNo Comments

This article is based primarily on the May 9, 2023, USDA Crop Bulletin which covers the May 1 – 7  period of time. The USDA report becomes available on Tuesdays but I plan to publish my article on Saturdays as it will be featured all day on Saturday. I may later decide to publish this report on Tuesday nights.   might add additional information. For those who need the information as soon as possible, the links to the information are provided at the end of the article.

This article includes a short international review of agricultural conditions also

It is early in the season so we are just beginning to have information on most crops. Moisture is not the major issue but some areas have to get a bit warmer.

Review of the World’s Weather in April of 2023 – May 13, 2023

May 13, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Every month the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information and other NOAA entities review the weather for the World in the prior Month. There is a long detailed report and I receive a summary of that report. In this article I am going to present two slides from the full report and then the email I received in its entirety.

Certainly, the Global ocean temperature setting a record for April is pretty significant. The combined land and ocean temperature being the fourth highest, to me is not a surprise at all as the first graphic in the body of the article suggests.