This post continues the analysis of the Fed Funds Rate’s behavior during the positive inflation surges between 1951 and 2024.2 Specifically, we look at the inflation of the 1970s and 1980s.
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This post continues the analysis of the Fed Funds Rate’s behavior during the positive inflation surges between 1951 and 2024.2 Specifically, we look at the inflation of the 1960s.
From a photo by Giorgio Trovato on Unsplash
This post develops 49 timeline offset tables to determine how CPI inflation varies as the Fed Funds rate changes. It examines the first application of these timeline tables.
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How does CPI inflation vary as the Fed Funds rate changes? That is the next question in our investigation of possible cause-and-effect relationships for changes in inflation.
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, Wikipedia,
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported license.
Notice: This post has incorrect calculations for changes in the Fed Funds rate. See Fed Funds Rate and Inflation: Part 1 – Corrected.
How does CPI inflation vary as the Fed Funds rate changes? That is the next question in our investigation of possible cause-and-effect relationships for changes in inflation.
Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, Wikipedia,
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Unported license.
This post ranks the associations between changes in various sources of money and subsequent CPI inflation for inflationary surges from 1952 to 2023.
Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay.
Last week’s results show that confounding is possible for correlations of Household and Nonprofit Organization (HNO) Credit changes and Nonfinancial Corporate (NFC) Debt changes with subsequent CPI inflation changes.1 This post adds some detail to those observations.
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Previous results1 show that during a specific inflation surge, Household and Nonprofit Organization (HNO) Credit changes and Nonfinancial Corporate (NFC) Debt changes are correlated with each other and with subsequent CPI inflation changes. In such situations, confounding of associations are possible.
Confounding can be an issue when analyzing the association between quantities of money and inflation. Last week, we looked closely at a possible example of confounding. This week, we consider that example further.
Image by Richard Reid from Pixabay.
Confounding can be an issue in analyzing the association between quantities of money and inflation. In this post, we look more closely at a possible example of confounding.
Photo by Daniele Levis Pelusi on Unsplash.
