September 14, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Heavy to excessive rainfall possible across parts of the Great Basin
and Northern Rockies through Wednesday, and into the far northern U.S. on
Thursday...

...Daily rounds of showers and storms likely across Florida...

...Much above normal temperatures for the central U.S., with much below in
parts of the West and the East...

September 13, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over Southwest and a
second area over the Northeast/northern Mid-Atlantic through Tuesday
morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall from parts of the Great
Basin/Southwest from Tuesday into Wednesday morning...

September 12, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over Upper Great Lakes,
Mid-Atlantic, and Eastern Gulf Coast through Monday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall from parts of the Upper
Great Lakes and a second area over the northern Mid-Atlantic from Monday
into Tuesday morning...

September 11, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over Southern California,
Nevada, and Arizona through Sunday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall from parts of the Eastern
Gulf Coast and a second area over the Central Appalachians/southern
Mid-Atlantic through Sunday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Upper
Great Lakes, a second area over the Mid-Atlantic, and a third over Eastern
Gulf Coast from Sunday into Monday morning...

...Elevated fire weather over parts of the Pacific Northwest...

September 9, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus our usual 48-hour report.

After the first week, there is a change in the pattern with more moisture in the Northern Tier and more heat first in the Great Plains and then drifting to the East. The anomalies in the second half of the 28-day period moderate.

NOAA updates many of its weather outlooks daily or even more frequently and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. We provide a daily report which focuses on the shorter-term predictions but has links to all the partial-month outlooks. One of the reports issued by NOAA only gets updated on Fridays and since this covers weeks 3 and 4 it is very important. The discussion that gets issued with this week 3-4 NOAA report is often where possible changes to the weather pattern are first identified.

So we have decided to issue a special report on Fridays (which most will read on Saturday) in which for a subset of the information, we show the actual forecast maps not just provide the links. This makes it easier for the reader. We will also include at the end of the article the other information from the daily article

When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued on Friday, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts.  This is important because it appears that changes are happening and the current view of the next 28 days differs substantially from the Monthly Outlook issued just a few days ago.

The regular 48-hour forecast article is included in this article and follows the 28-Day Analysis.

This week we also show the state rankings for August and compare them to the state rankings year to date (YTD).

September 9, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Updated at 1 pm EDT on September 9, 2022  to reflect updated information on now Tropical Storm Kay

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hazardous weather associated with Hurricane Kay to begin entering
southern California and parts of the Desert Southwest on Friday...

...Dangerous heat continues throughout central and northern California
through the end of the week, with well above average temperatures building
into the Pacific Northwest by the weekend...

...Powerful cold front will usher in much below-average temperatures for
the Intermountain West, Plains and Midwest this weekend...

...Unsettled weather and flash flood chances forecast over parts of the
Southeast and eastern Gulf Coast..

September 8, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to this morning and the next 48 hours from this morning’s NWS Forecast.

...Hazardous weather associated with Hurricane Kay to begin entering
southern California and parts of the Desert Southwest on Friday...

...Dangerous heat continues throughout central and northern California
through the end of the week, with well above average temperatures building
into the Pacific Northwest by the weekend...

...Critical Fire Weather conditions forecast throughout portions of the
Intermountain West and Central Plains...

...Unsettled weather and flash flood chances forecast over parts of the
Southeast and eastern Gulf Coast...

September 7, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Over 50 million residents are under either Excessive Heat Warnings or
Heat Advisories across the western third of the Lower 48...

...Critical fire weather over parts of the northern High Plains on
Wednesday...

...Unsettled weather and scattered flash flood chances linger over the
Mid-Atlantic and Southeast; Watching Hurricane Kay for potential impacts
in the Southwest late week...

September 6, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall over Southern
Appalachians and Southern New England/northern Mid-Atlantic through
Tuesday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall from parts of Southern New
England/Mid-Atlantic and a second area over the Central Appalachians from
Tuesday into Wednesday morning...

...Excessive Heat Warning and Heat Advisories over parts of California and
Southwest into parts of the Great Basin and Northern Intermountain
Region...

...Elevated fire weather over parts of the Northern High Plains...

September 5, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall from parts of the
Northeast to Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and Southern Appalachians and a small
area over the southern tip of Texas from Monday, Labor Day, into Tuesday
morning...

...Excessive Heat Warning and Heat Advisories over parts of California,
Southwest, into parts of the Great Basin and Northern Intermountain
Region...

...Critical to Elevated fire weather over parts of the West to Northern
High Plains...