Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 31, 2024
It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Mar 31 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Mar 31 2024 – 12Z Tue Apr 02 2024…Heavy snow over parts of the higher elevations of Wyoming, Nevada,
Colorado, Utah, and Arizona……There is a Sight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of over parts of
the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys on Monday……There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Middle
Mississippi and Ohio Valleys on Sunday; there is an Enhanced Risk of
severe thunderstorms over parts of the Southern Plains, Middle
Mississippi, and Ohio Valleys on Monday…A front extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the Central Plains will be
quasi-stationary through Monday morning. Moisture from the Western Gulf of
Mexico will pool along the boundary, creating showers and severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys.
Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys
through Monday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few
tornadoes. Farther east along the boundary, showers and thunderstorms will
develop over parts of the Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic on Sunday.On Monday, the threat of severe thunderstorms increases over parts of the
Southern Plains, Middle Mississippi, and Ohio Valleys. Therefore, the SPC
has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms over the
parts of the Southern Plains, Middle Mississippi, and Ohio Valleys from
Monday into Tuesday morning. The hazards associated with these
thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts,
hail, and a few tornadoes. Moreover, there is an increased threat of EF2
to EF5 tornados over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley into the
Western Ohio Valley. In addition, there is an increased threat of hail two
inches or greater in size over parts of the Southern Plains/Middle
Mississippi Valley.Furthermore, the showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rain over
parts of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Therefore, the WPC has
issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys from Monday to Tuesday morning. The
associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash
flooding, with urban areas, roads, and small streams the most vulnerable.
Likewise, showers and thunderstorms will extend into the Central
Appalachian and Mid-Atlantic on Monday.Meanwhile, the threat of excessive rainfall is a Marginal Risk over parts
of Southern California and Arizona on Sunday. The associated heavy rain
will create localized areas of flash flooding, affecting areas that
experience rapid runoff and burn scars. In addition, the moisture streamed
inland due to the upper-level low off the Southern California Coast will
aid in creating heavy snow over the higher elevations of Wyoming, Nevada,
Colorado, Utah, and Arizona through Monday. Moderate to heavy snow will
linger over parts of Utah, Arizona, Colorado, and New Mexico from Monday
evening into Tuesday. Rain will develop over lower elevations of the
Southwest and Southern Rockies, ending on Tuesday. Additionally, light to
moderate snow will develop over parts of the Northern/Central Plains on
Sunday. The snow will linger over the area on Monday and end overnight on
Monday.