August 3, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

August 3, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Monsoonal Rains to continue across much of the Southwest U.S. as heavy
rain and possibly severe thunderstorms move across the Great Lakes/Midwest
during the next couple of days...

...Some relief from the prolonged heatwave across the Northwest but record
high temperatures are possible on Thursday over the northern High Plains
and parts of the Northeast...

...Fire Weather Threat to continue from the Northwest into the northern
High Plains..

02August2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Another Session Of Financial Uncertainty Results In A Down Session

August 2, 2022Posted inmarketsNo Comments

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 402 points or 1.23%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 0.16%,
  • S&P 500 down 0.67%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $94 up 0.362%,
  • USD $106.20 up 0.10%,
  • Gold $1761 up 0.07%,
  • Bitcoin $23,001 up 0.10% – Session Low 22,697,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 2.761 up 1.56%

Today’s Economic Releases:

The CoreLogic Home prices (HPI) increased year-over-year by 18.3% in June 2022 and on a month-over-month basis, home prices increased by 0.6%.  The CoreLogic forecast indicates that home prices will increase on a year-over-year basis by 4.3% from June 2022 to June 2023.

The number of job openings decreased to 10.7 million on the last business day of June 2022. Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.4 million and 5.9 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (4.2 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.3 million) were little changed.

The New York Fed’s Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The Report shows an increase in total household debt in the second quarter of 2022, increasing by $312 billion (2%) to $16.15 trillion.

The signs from the releases today are of a slowing economy. Remember the 2007 recession was offically recognized one year after it began. If the economy continues to slow, the beginning recession marker would be in 1Q2022.

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Gas Shortage Sparks Energy Security Fears In Asia
  • Venezuela’s Oil Exports Drop By More than A Third In July
  • Mall owners say retailers are still opening stores in spite of recession fears
  • Molson Coors stock falls as company cites split in consumer spending on beer
  • Ford stock notches its best month since the Great Recession — and keeps rising
  • LA County Removes Citizenship Requirements For Government Jobs
  • Crypto: Bitcoin has already bottomed, has a fair value of $40,000, says Anthony Scaramucci

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

NOAA Updates their August 2022 Outlook on July 31, 2022

August 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Short-term improvement in drought for August.

At the end of every month, NOAA updates their Outlook for the following month which in this case is August. They also issue a Drought Outlook for the following month. We are reporting on that tonight.

There have been some significant changes in the Outlook for August and these are addressed in the NOAA Discussion so it is well worth reading. We highlighted some of the important changes within the NOAA Discussion.

Of significant interest is the Drought Outlook for August. It is a big improvement but unfortunately, it probably is a one-month event. We have also included four months of Wildland Fire Potential Outlooks and also a map showing the year-to-date precipitation in the West. We also included a Monsoon related Podcast that is very interesting.

August 2, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

August 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Heavy Rains and Flash Flooding possible across the Central
Appalachians...

...Monsoonal Rains to continue across much of the Southwest U.S., posing a
Flash Flood risk...

...Some Relief from Record High Temperatures across the Northwest...

...Fire Weather Threat to continue from the Northwest into the Northern
High Plains..

01August2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street Rode A Bucking Bronco Traversing The Unchanged Line Before The BTFDers Ran Out Of Money, The Three Main Indexes Closed In The Red Culminating an Interesting Investing Session

August 1, 2022Posted inmarketsNo Comments

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 47 points or 0.14%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 0.18%,
  • S&P 500 down 0.28%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at 94 down 4.50%,
  • USD $105.43 down 0.47%,
  • Gold $1771 down 0.07%,
  • Bitcoin $22,988 down 3.78% – Session Low 22,891,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 2.595% down 0.47%

Today’s Economic Releases:

Construction spending during June 2022 was down 1.1% month-over-month and up 8.3% year-over-year. During the first six months of this year, construction spending is up 10.7% over the same period in 2021. But folks, since there is inflation, construction spending is contracting in 2022 and is down year-over-year – see the red line in the graph below:

According to the Institute of Supply Management, manufacturing activity was little changed in July 2022 – and remains at a level modestly in expansion and remains on an 18-month decline.

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Today’s Energy Crisis Spells Disaster For The Global Economy
  • Home prices cooled at a record pace in June, according to housing data firm
  • Mortgage rates fall sharply after negative GDP report and Fed’s latest hike
  • Ford CEO offers more clues about the automaker’s ambitious electric vehicle plans
  • “No One Is Positioned For Any Good News:” Record Shorting In Tech Ensures ‘Most Hated Rally’ Will Continue
  • Bond Report: Treasury yields fall in choppy trade to start August
  • Living With Climate Change: Americans want EV tax incentives. But are they ready to lose gas cars forever?

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

August 1, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

August 1, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Heavy rain is likely to continue the flash flood risk over the southern
Mid-Atlantic, central/southern Appalachians, and into parts of the
Ohio/Tennessee Valley through this evening...

...Anomalous monsoonal moisture over the Southwest to continue the threat
of flash flooding over the next few days...

...Some severe thunderstorms will be possible across the Upper Midwest
this evening and into the Ohio Valley on Monday, before returning to the
Upper Midwest on Tuesday...

...Excessive heat persists over the Pacific Northwest on Monday, while
spreading into the northern Plains to start the month of August...

July 31: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical also

July 31, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Heavy rainfall will continue to support broad concerns for flash
flooding from the Southwest U.S. east to the Middle Mississippi Valley,
the Tennessee Valley, and the southern Mid-Atlantic region through
Monday...

...Some severe thunderstorms will be possible across the Upper Midwest
today...

...Excessive heat persists over the Pacific Northwest and the northern
Great Basin through the weekend...

July 29, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus a Review of State Temperature and Precipitation Rankings

July 30, 2022Posted inweather1 Comment

Northeast Quadrant is predicted to be Hot early in August and then the Heat shifts to the Northwest.

NOAA updates many of their weather outlooks and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. On Fridays, they issue a week 3 – 4 outlook which is farther out than the typical 10-day forecast and the discussion is excellent. So we have decided to issue a weekly special report on Fridays.

When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted, but in the article there are links to obtain updated forecasts.

We have also taken a look at the state temperature and precipitation rankings for June and Year to Date (YTD). It is not a surprise that they differ.