Mikhail Gorbachev vs. Deng Xiaoping

Mikhail Gorbachev vs. Deng Xiaoping

Mikhail Gorbachev just passed away (Mikhail Gorbachev, Soviet leader who ended Cold War, dies at 91). Hailed as a hero in America, he will eventually be, if not already has been, regarded as a traitor in Russia. In contrast. China’s Deng Xiaoping has proven to be the greatest peaceful transformation leader in human history!

What, then, is the relationship between Gorbachev and Deng?

30 August 2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street Fell Like A Rock After Positive Opening, Main Indexes Traded Sideways Most Of Session. Happy Birthday Warren Buffett

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 308 points or 0.96%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 1.12%,
  • S&P 500 down 1.10%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $92 down 4.98%,
  • USD $108.78 down 0.05%,
  • Gold $1735 down 0.82%,
  • Bitcoin $19,995 down 1.64% – Session Low 19,591,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.112 unchanged

Today’s Economic Releases:

On the last business day of July, the number and rate of job openings were little changed at 11.2 million and 6.9 percent, respectively. Job openings increased in transportation, warehousing, and utilities (+81,000); arts, entertainment, and recreation (+53,000); federal government (+47,000); and state and local government education (+42,000). Job openings decreased in durable goods manufacturing (-47,000). The weird situation continues where the economy is running cool whilst demand for workers exceeds supply. Note that hires and separations historically have little impact on the economy.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported an 18.0% annual gain in June, down from 19.9% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 17.4%, down from 19.1% in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted an 18.6% year-over-year gain, down from 20.5% in the previous month. The moderation of home prices is expected for a variety of reasons – the main reasons are 1) that home price increases are now being compared to the higher home prices of one year ago and 2) the demand for houses are these elevated prices have cooled. A perspective from CoreLogic Deputy Chief Economist Selma Hepp:
In June, the CoreLogic S&P Case-Shiller Index posted an 18% increase, down from a 19.9% gain in May, marking the third month of slower home price growth and decided reversal toward long-run rate of about 5%. Housing market activity cooled markedly since the June’s surge in mortgage rates leading to widespread slowing of home price growth and rising concerns over potential home price declines in the future. 

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A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Oil Falls 5% On Growing Inflation Fears
  • Royal Caribbean partners with SpaceX’s Starlink for onboard internet
  • Home prices weakened in June, but were still much higher than a year ago, says S&P Case-Shiller
  • China Is Aggressively Reselling Russian Gas To Europe
  • Investing legend Warren Buffett turns 92 today. Here are his top 5 investing mantras
  • The Wall Street Journal: Secret Service official who figures in Jan. 6 investigation of Trump retires

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

August 30, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Slight to enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of the
Midwest tonight...

...Slight risk of excessive rainfall for parts of the Southern Plains and
Lower Mississippi Valley tonight...

...Record heat likely to build into parts of the West this week..

29 August 2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street’s Three Main Indexes Heading Lower Extending Decline After See-Sawing Across The Unchanged Line. Investors Concerned With Powell’s Inflation Rhetoric

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 184 points or 0.57%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 1.02%,
  • S&P 500 down 0.67%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $97 up 4.13% for the week,
  • USD $108.77 down 0.03%,
  • Gold $1749 unchanged,
  • Bitcoin $20,144 up 2.9% – Session Low 20,082,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.11% unchanged

Today’s Economic Releases:

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index modestly fell to 1.2 in August 2022 from 3.8 in July which is indicative of little growth and little change from the previous month.

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • U.S. Utilities Desperately Need To Spend More On Energy Infrastructure
  • The Global Gas Crisis Is Spilling Into The United States
  • Honda and LG Energy Solution to build $4.4 billion EV battery plant in U.S.
  • Cash is king for EV makers as soaring battery prices drive up vehicle production costs
  • US shares fall on the threat of interest rate rises
  • Store closures at the lowest level for seven years
  • Market Snapshot: Dow, S&P 500 edge lower as investors digest Fed’s vows not to waver in inflation fight

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.

August 29, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Slight risk of severe thunderstorms across the Upper Mississippi Valley
into early this evening...

...Showers and thunderstorms likely across the Midwest and the Gulf
Coast/Florida...

...Warming trend begins for the Northwest and the Ohio Valley/Northeast...

August 28, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...Slight risks of excessive rainfall and severe thunderstorms are in
effect for parts of the Upper Midwest tonight...

...Localized heavy to excessive rainfall possible across parts of the
Southeast/Gulf Coast and the Southwest...

...Warming trend begins for Northwest and Northeast...

August 27, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days

Southern Tier to be very wet and the Northwest warm. But there is a high level of uncertainty relative to the week 3 – 4 Outlook.

NOAA updates many of their weather outlooks and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. On Fridays, they issue a week 3 – 4 outlook which is farther out than the typical 10-day forecast and the discussion is excellent. So we have decided to issue a weekly special report on Fridays which for most people will be read on Saturday as it gets published late Friday night.

When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts.

August 27, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from this evening’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Lower
Mississippi Valley/Central Gulf Coast through Saturday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Northeast through Saturday morning...

...Increasing fire weather risk over parts of the Great Basin, Northern
Intermountain Region, and Northern Rockies...

26 August 2022 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street Waterfalls At Opening Bell After Powell Warns Of Pain Ahead And Continued Losses During Final Hours Of Session, Dow Slides 1000 points As Losses Mount, Main Indexes Close At Session Lows

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 1,008 points or 3.03%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 3.94%,
  • S&P 500 down 3.37%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $93 up 2.73% for the week,
  • USD $108.81 up 0.36%,
  • Gold $1750 down 1.2%,
  • Bitcoin $20,670 down 4.37% – Session Low 20,581,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 3.039 Unchanged
  • Baker Hughes Rig Count: U.S. +3 to 765 Canada unchanged at 201

Today’s Economic Releases:

Real (inflation-adjusted) disposable personal income increased 0.3% in July 2022 and real personal consumption expenditures increased 0.2%. We are not a fan of looking at month-over-month changes are the volatility is misleading. The year-over-year inflation-adjusted data shows personal consumption expenditures increased 2.2% (and this increase has been relatively steady for the last 5 months) whilst disposable personal income declined 3.7% (and has been in negative territory all of 2022).

A summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Russia Is Flaring Natural Gas While Choking Supply To Europe
  • Oil Rig Count Climbs As Permian Drilling Picks Up
  • Bed Bath & Beyond says it will share its comeback strategy next week
  • Zelensky Warns Of “Radiation Disaster” As Reconnected Nuclear Reactor Is Building Up Capacity
  • Bond Report: Two- and 10-year U.S. bond yields rise for a fourth straight week after Powell’s hawkish Jackson Hole address
  • Market Snapshot: Dow tumbles 950 points, Nasdaq drops 3.8% after Powell warns of pain to households in inflation battle

These and other headlines and news summaries moving the markets today are included below.