Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 28, 2024

November 28, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1105 PM EST Wed Nov 27 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Nov 28 2024 – 12Z Sat Nov 30 2024

…Thanksgiving Day storm to push into the Northeast today spreading
rainfall and New England snowfall in its vicinity…

…Increasingly below average temperatures spill out into the Great Plains
and Mississippi Valley through the end of the week…

…Lake Effect snows continue and will expand and intensify with time…

A dynamic mid-latitude cyclone tracks near the New England coast today.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms spread into the East Coast today. A
swath of moderate to heavy snowfall is likely to develop across portions
of the interior Northeast — winter storm watches and warnings are in
effect for portions of central New England related to the heavy snow
threat.

Elsewhere, Lake Effect snow showers across the Upper Great Lakes may yield
anywhere from 4-8 inches over the northern coastline of the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan as well as northern parts of the Lower Peninsula
today. A disturbance aloft will allow for the development of a new cold
front late today which moves east and south ahead of a strong and cold
surface high. In the wake of this front, as temperatures cool further,
lake effect snows should expand and intensify as they interact with record
warm Great Lakes temperatures for late November. Several additional inches
of snow are forecast on Friday bringing 2 day snowfall totals over a foot
with isolated higher amounts possible across downwind areas of the Great
Lakes by Saturday morning. Florida will remain mild to warm.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

27Nov2024 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Markets Decline As Data Shows Little Progress On Inflation

November 27, 2024Posted inmarketsNo Comments

There will be no newsletter on Thanksgiving. EconCurrents wishes all our readers and their families a Happy Thanksgiving.

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed down 138 points or 0.31%,
  • Nasdaq closed down 115 points or 0.60%,
  • S&P 500 closed down 23 points or 0.38%,
  • Gold $2,636 up $15.60 or 0.60%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $69 down $0.01 or 0.01%,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.250 down 0.052 points or 1.209%,
  • USD index $106.06 down $0.95 or 0.89%,
  • Bitcoin $96,629 up $4,685 or 5.1%, (24 Hours)

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing

Today’s Highlights

The U.S. stock market experienced a bad day on Wednesday as investors analyzed new inflation data. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed minimal progress towards the 2% target in October. Traders now estimate a 34% chance the Fed will maintain current interest rates, up from 24% a month earlier. The third-quarter GDP remained unchanged. Dell shares plummeted over 12% due to declining PC demand. HP stock also dropped more than 11% following its earnings report. The market mood was subdued ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, with markets set to close on Thursday and have shortened hours on Friday.

Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – November 2024 Economic Forecast: Our Index Marginally Declines – We Are Stuck With The Crappy Economy We Have Seen So Far This Year

Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:

New orders for manufactured durable goods in October 2024 were up 2.7% year-over-year (increased from -1.7% year-over-year last month). This was a healthy increase which suggests consumers returned to the spending trough in October.

Real (inflation adjusted) personal income improved from 2.6% year-over-year last month to 2.7% in October 2024. Real personal consumption expenditures declined from 3.1% last month to 3.0% in October. Inflation worsened with the PCE price index worsened from 2.1% last month to 2.3% in October and this same price index excluding food and energy worsened from 2.7% last month to 2.8% in October. As predicted, inflation worsened and I see inflation worsening for at least the next 6 months. This is the inflation index the Federal Reserve prefers to gauge inflation.

The second estimate of Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.8% in the third quarter of 2024. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.0 percent. This was unchanged from the advance estimate. The inflation measure in GDP (implicit price deflator) improved from 2.6% in 2Q2024 to 2.2% in 3Q2024. Not much I can add but in the new normal, growth over 2% year-over-year is good.

Pending home sales (homes under a sales contract) increased 5.4% year-over-year in October 2024 according to NAR. The NAR can be likened to the fox watching the chicken coop. In the graph below shows data provided by realtor.com – a licensee of the NAR owned by News Corp which shows year-over-year gains of 9.9% in pending home sales. In any event, pending home sales is trending up. Chief Economist Lawrence Yun adds:

Homebuying momentum is building after nearly two years of suppressed home sales. Even with mortgage rates modestly rising despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut the short-term interbank lending rate in September, continuous job additions and more housing inventory are bringing more consumers to the market.

In the week ending November 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims 4-week moving average was 217,000, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised up by 500 from 217,750 to 218,250. This data is consistent with a strong economy.

The Chicago Business Barometer™ eased 1.4 points to 40.2 in November 2024.  This was the second consecutive monthly fall from 46.6 in September, leaving the index 2.7 points below the year-to-date average. The decline was due to four of the five subcomponents falling (Production, New Orders, Order Backlogs and Employment), with only Supplier Deliveries rising in October. The Chicago PMI is believed to be a window into the PMI manufacturing index which will be released next week. Manufacturing is in a recession in the US.

Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Electric Capital Spending Has Skyrocketed, and It’s Only the Start
  • Reuters: Exxon Lobbyist Investigated Over Leak Of Environmentalist Emails
  • Lebanon Cease-Fire Deal Is a Major Victory For Israel
  • China’s Industrial Sector Posts Large Profit Decline In October
  • UAE’s Oil Giant Launches $80-Billion Chemicals and Green Energy Firm
  • Russia’s Fuel Exports Jump to 8-Month High
  • Russia’s Shadow Fleet Has Moved Its Oil Smuggling Operations to New Waters
  • Goldman Sachs: OPEC+ Cuts Provide Near-Term Upside to Oil Prices
  • Homebuyer demand for mortgages jumps 12% after first interest rate drop in over 2 months
  • U.S. Court Could Reopen Bidding for Oil Refiner Citgo After Failed Deal
  • ‘Europe’s Detroit’ built a thriving car industry. Trump tariffs now threaten to unravel its success
  • Is Reviving Keystone XL More Than Just A Pipe Dream?
  • Russia Reveals 2 Dead, Radar Site Damaged, After US-Supplied Missiles Struck Kursk

Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 27, 2024

November 27, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Nov 27 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Nov 27 2024 – 12Z Fri Nov 29 2024

…Pre Thanksgiving to Thanksgiving Day storm to push from the Mid
Mississippi/Ohio Valley today into the Northeast on Thursday…

…Dry conditions on tap for the West Coast after several days of wet
weather…

…Much above average temperatures from the Southern Plains into the Gulf
Coast today, while much below average temperatures spill out into the
Great Plains and Mississippi Valley through the end of the week…

A low pressure system responsible for heavy snowfall over the Colorado
Rockies (ending this morning) will intensify into a dynamic mid-latitude
cyclone, tracking through the Midwest and into the Northeast Coast through
Thanksgiving day. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across
the Mid/Lower Mississippi Valley and Ohio/Tennessee Valleys this afternoon
before spreading into the East Coast tonight and progressively shifting
eastward through Thanksgiving day. A swath of light to moderate snowfall
is likely to develop across portions of the interior Northeast, with the
Northern Appalachians forecast to receive 4-8 inches of snow by Friday
morning.

Elsewhere, snow showers across the Upper Great Lakes may yield anywhere
from 4-8 inches over the northern coastline of the Upper Peninsula of
Michigan as well as northern parts of the Lower Peninsula. A dry spell
ensues across the West as an upper ridge slowly settles over the region.
Shortwave energy will phase with a northern stream trough and amplify
across the eastern half of the country in the coming days. This
development will allow for a cool continental airmass to spill out across
the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley through Thanksgiving day before a
reinforcing arctic airmass plunges temperatures even more through this
holiday weekend. Prior to that, today will be the last day of much above
average temperatures throughout the South. Much of Texas will experience
high temperatures between 15-25 degrees above average.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

26 NOV 2024 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: The Dow And The S&P 500 Set New Historic Highs, But The S&P 500 Took A Steep Nosedive Ending Today’s Session Only Fractionally Higher In The Green

November 26, 2024Posted inmarketsNo Comments

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed up 124 points or 0.28%, (Closed at 44,293, New Historic high 44,903)
  • Nasdaq closed up 119 points or 0.63%,
  • S&P 500 closed up 35 points or 0.57%, (Closed at 6,001, New Historic high 6,021)
  • Gold $2,632 up $13.10 or 0.50%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $69 down $0.29 or 0.42%,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.296 up 0.035 points or 0.821%,
  • USD index $106.95 up $0.13 or 0.12%,
  • Bitcoin $91,333 down $2,325 or 3.79%, (24 Hours)

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing

Today’s Highlights

US stocks showed resilience on Tuesday despite President-elect Donald Trump’s threat to impose new tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. Both the Dow and S&P500 closed at record levels. Markets initially reacted negatively to Trump’s late Monday announcement of plans to implement significant tariffs on the US’s largest trading partners on his first day in office. This announcement reignited trade war concerns and dampened Wall Street’s expectations that Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent would moderate any extreme actions by the new administration. Carmaker stocks, both domestic and international, experienced declines following Trump’s “America First” stance. The Mexican peso and Canadian dollar dropped sharply as the US dollar rallied. Investors also analyzed the minutes from the recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which indicated a preference for gradual interest rate cuts if the economy remains stable. Some officials noted that persistent inflation or a labor market downturn could lead to a pause in the easing cycle.

Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – November 2024 Economic Forecast: Our Index Marginally Declines – We Are Stuck With The Crappy Economy We Have Seen So Far This Year

Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:

Sales of new single-family houses in October 2024 were 9.4% below October 2023. The median sales price of new houses sold in October 2024 was $437,300. The average sales price was $545,800. The seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of October was 481,000. This represents a supply of 9.5 months at the current sales rate. New home sales are declining due to high mortgage rates and high home prices.

Richmond Fed manufacturing activity remained sluggish in November 2024. The composite manufacturing index remained at −14 in November. Of its three component indexes, shipments decreased from −8 to −12, new orders edged down from −17 to −19, and employment increased from −17 to −10. Manufacturing remains in a recession in the US.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 4.6%, dropping from a 5.2% increase in the previous month. Home prices seem to be slightly moderating but home prices increasing do not make housing more affordable. I would expect further slowdown of existing home sales volumes.

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® increased in November 2024 to 111.7 (1985=100), up 2.1 points from 109.6 in October. Likely the results of the election pushed this OPINION index higher but I am not a fan of opinion. In the case of consumer confidence, it is generally believed that higher consumer confidence results in consumers spending more. Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board added:

Consumer confidence continued to improve in November and reached the top of the range that has prevailed over the past two years. November’s increase was mainly driven by more positive consumer assessments of the present situation, particularly regarding the labor market. Compared to October, consumers were also substantially more optimistic about future job availability, which reached its highest level in almost three years. 

The Federal Reserve issued meeting minutes for the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on November 6–7, 2024. I did not find any surprises in the meeting minutes. The following are a summary of the participants’ observations and evaluations:

  • Inflation has significantly decreased from its peak, although core inflation remains elevated. Most participants believe that inflation is on track to return sustainably to 2% despite expected month-to-month volatility. Disinflationary trends are evident across a broad range of core goods and services, with price increases now closer to historical stability rates. Participants noted increased consumer price sensitivity and reluctance from firms to raise prices.
  • While housing service prices are still high, expectations are that these will slow as rent increases for new tenants stabilize.
  • Recent data indicates solid labor market conditions, although temporary fluctuations have occurred due to strikes and natural disasters. Job vacancies and turnover rates are declining, suggesting easing labor demand. Nominal wage growth is decreasing, with job switchers facing a reduced wage premium. Participants noted that wage increases are unlikely to contribute to inflationary pressures in the near term. Businesses are becoming more selective in hiring due to a larger pool of qualified applicants willing to accept moderate wages.
  • Economic activity remains strong, supported by a robust labor market and rising household wealth. However, low-income households face financial strains, which could impact their spending behavior.
  • Favorable supply developments continue to support business expansion. However, there is uncertainty regarding the sustainability of recent productivity gains attributed to various factors including technology integration.
  • Participants agreed to lower the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 4.5%-4.75%. This adjustment aims to sustain economic strength while progressing toward inflation goals. Future monetary policy decisions will depend on economic data trends and risks associated with employment and inflation goals. Participants emphasized the need for a balanced approach in adjusting policies based on evolving economic conditions.
  • Participants noted vulnerabilities in the financial system, particularly concerning commercial real estate (CRE) and potential risks from unrealized losses on bank assets. Cyber risks and rising delinquency rates among low-income households were also highlighted as areas needing close monitoring.

Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Don’t Underestimate Trump’s Impact on U.S. LNG
  • U.S. Gas Drillers Saddle Up for Data Center-Fueled Demand Ride
  • U.S. Oil Output Hits Record High in August
  • Exxon: Don’t Expect ‘Drill, Baby, Drill’ Under Trump
  • China Set to Import Record-High Volume of Coal in November
  • Fed officials see interest rate cuts ahead, but only ‘gradually,’ meeting minutes show
  • Israel-Lebanon permanent ceasefire has been accepted, Biden says
  • Stocks rise Tuesday, Dow and S&P 500 close at records: Live updates
  • Small caps historically outperform even the Santa Claus rally, starting before Thanksgiving
  • Senate report slams airlines for raking in billions in seat fees
  • Bitcoin drops to $91,000 level as crypto markets slump: CNBC Crypto World
  • FOMC Minutes Show “Many” Members Suddenly Favor More Gradual Rate-Cutting-Cycle
  • 10-year Treasury yield logs biggest gain in 2 weeks after Fed minutes point to slower rate cuts

Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 26, 2024

November 26, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Nov 26 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Nov 26 2024 – 12Z Thu Nov 28 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of the Sierra Nevada Mountains, Great Lakes and
Central Rockies…

…Below average temperatures in the Plains…

A moderate level atmospheric river event will accompany a surface low
pressure system as it moves into the West today. This AR will spread
anomalous moisture over southern/central California, the Great Basin and
Central Rockies. Heavy coastal and mountain rain may lead to instances of
flash flooding, particularly over the windward foothills of the southern
Sierra Nevada below 8000 feet, where excessive rainfall may cause
land/rock/mudslides. Heavy snow accumulating between 1-3 feet are possible
over the higher elevations of the southern Sierra, as well as much of the
Intermountain West and Central Rockies today. Snow diminishes over the
Sierra on Wednesday while snow showers persist over the Colorado Rockies.
Snow showers continue across the Great Lakes this week with parts of the
Upper Peninsula of Michigan and downwind areas of Lake Ontario picking up
between 4-8 inches of snow by Thursday morning.

Troughing across the northern tier states will continue to promote below
average temperatures over the next several days. High temperatures in the
teens and 20s will represent a 15-25 degree departure from normal for much
of the far Northern Plains today and Wednesday. A pair of mid-level
disturbances are expected to phase over the Central U.S. and facilitate an
arctic outbreak across the region Wednesday night into Thanksgiving
Thursday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

25 NOV 2024 Market Close & Major Financial Headlines: Wall Street’s Three Main Indexes Opened In The Green, The Dow And The S&P 500 recorded New Historic Highs, Finally Closing Fractionally Higher

November 25, 2024Posted inmarketsNo Comments

Summary Of the Markets Today:

  • The Dow closed up 440 points or 0.99%,
  • Nasdaq closed up 51 points or 0.27%,
  • S&P 500 closed up 18 points or 0.30%,
  • Gold $2,629 down $84.30 or 3.12%,
  • WTI crude oil settled at $69 down $2.17 or 3.05%,
  • 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.265 down 0.147 points or 3.288%,
  • USD index $106.88 down $0.67 or 0.63%,
  • Bitcoin $94,959 down $1,700 or 1.79%, (24 Hours)

*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing

Today’s Highlights

U.S. stocks rose on Monday, driven by optimism over President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination of Scott Bessent for Treasury secretary. This announcement boosted investor sentiment, leading to significant gains across major indices: Dow Jones Industrial Average closing at a new record high. Russell 2000 surged over 2%, reaching a record high, as small-cap stocks rallied strongly. The market’s positive reaction was partly due to the perception that Bessent might moderate fiscal policies, which helped ease concerns about inflationary pressures. Additionally, investors are looking forward to the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, set for release on Wednesday. Bitcoin was attempting to reach the $100,000 mark but fell back below $95,000.

Click here to read our current Economic Forecast – November 2024 Economic Forecast: Our Index Marginally Declines – We Are Stuck With The Crappy Economy We Have Seen So Far This Year

Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, decreased to –0.24 in October 2024 from –0.21 in September. This is my favorite coincident indicator although like all indicators – at times, it is wrong in trend and value. And the 85 individual indicators it monitors will be revised for decades. That is why the CFNAI looks like it parallels GDP – but in real time it missed the start of the Great Recession. Consider this a tea leaf to be read in conjunction with other tea leaves.  According to the Chicago Fed: “a recession has historically been associated with a CFNAI-MA3 value below –0.70. Conversely, following a period of economic contraction, an increasing likelihood of an expansion has historically been associated with a CFNAI-MA3 value above –0.70 and a significant likelihood of an expansion has historically been associated with a CFNAI-MA3 value above +0.20.” Bottom line – there is little change in October which means the economy is not strong.

Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey was flat in November 2024 falling to a -0.9 level after rising to 14.6 last month. The new orders index pushed further negative to -11.9, indicating continued declines in demand. The capacity utilization and shipments indexes slipped back into negative territory, coming in at -4.8 and -5.9, respectively. Not a question in my mind that the manufacturing recession continues.

Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:

  • Russia’s Uranium Gambit: A Wake-Up Call for U.S. Energy Independence
  • Oil for Troops: Russia’s Barter System with North Korea Exposed
  • Oil Prices Fall On Possible Mid-East Peace Deal
  • UK Slaps Largest Sanctions Package Yet on Russia’s Shadow Tanker Fleet
  • IMF’s Proposed Carbon Restrictions Could Have Major Economic Repercussions
  • U.S. stock and bond markets love Trump’s pick of Bessent for Treasury — here’s why
  • Dow jumps 400 points to new record close, Russell 2000 hits all-time high as investors cheer Trump’s Treasury pick
  • Warren Buffett speaks out against creating family wealth dynasties, gives away another $1.1 billion
  • MicroStrategy acquires 55,500 more bitcoin amid stock volatility: CNBC Crypto World
  • Arabica Futs “Bull Run” Surges To 13-Year High Amid Panic About Brazilian Stockpiles
  • Gold tumbles 3% on reports of Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, US Treasury pick
  • Long-term Treasury bonds log biggest rally in nearly 4 months after Trump picks Bessent

Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 25, 2024

November 25, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Nov 25 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Nov 25 2024 – 12Z Wed Nov 27 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of the Sierra Nevada Mountains, Upper Great Lakes
and Central Rockies…

…Below average temperatures in the Northern Plains; above average temps
in the Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley today...

An upper-level trough will swoop into the West Coast from the northeast
Pacific early this week. This trough will direct a very anomalous
subtropical moisture plume along its base at central and southern
California today and Tuesday. A surface low pressure system will help
focus the anomalous moisture over coastal areas as well as the Sierra
Nevada. Parts of the southern Sierra below about 8000 feet may experience
instances of Flash Flooding today. Rock/mud slides and general debris flow
are some of the possible impacts from excessive rainfall in mountainous
areas. Heavy snow is probable at the higher elevations of the southern
Sierra, where 3-4 feet are forecast to accumulate with isolated higher
amounts possible by Wednesday morning. The anomalous moisture feed is also
expected to penetrate into the interior of the West. Parts of the Great
Basin will experience snow showers while heavy snow blankets the
Intermountain West and Colorado Rockies with 1-2′ (isolated 3′) likely
over the next couple of days.

Elsewhere, a pair of low pressure systems moving through the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes will generate several inches of snow over the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan, while snow showers occur across the greater Upper
Midwest and Lower Great Lakes. Temperatures will remain above average for
one last day from the Southern Plains into the Midwest before a strong
cold front pushes through on Tuesday. Some record high temperatures (in
the mid to upper 80s) might be set over south Texas today. Highs topping
out in the teens and 20s will represent a negative 20-30 degree departure
from normal for parts of the Northern Plains today. Mild conditions
continue over much of the East Coast through Tuesday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 24, 2024

November 24, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Nov 24 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Nov 24 2024 – 12Z Tue Nov 26 2024

…Heavy Snowfall for parts of the Sierra Nevada…

…Above average temperatures spread from the central U.S. into the East
while cold airmass descends into the Great Plains…

A weak low pressure system will continue directing a plume of moisture at
the West Coast over the next few days. This will likely result in coastal
and low elevation rain, while moderate to heavy snow proliferates across
the coastal ranges of Washington, Oregon and California. The heaviest
snowfall is likely to occur over portions of the Sierra Nevada, with the
southern Sierra poised to accumulate 2-3 feet with isolated higher
amounts. Snow showers will also impact the Colorado Rockies over the next
few days. Heavy rain and snow chances increase on Tuesday as another
atmospheric river event arrives across parts of central California.

Relatively zonal flow across the southern tier of the country will support
another day of above average temperatures for the Central/Southern U.S.
today. An upper trough will pickup steam over the northern tier and send a
strong cold front diving south through the Great Plains over the next 48
hours. Highs in the teens will represent 20-30 degree departures from
normal over the Northern High Plains through Monday. Temperatures will
drop precipitously, from highs in 60s and 70s today to 40s and 50s on
Monday over parts of the Southern Plains as the cold front propagates
through. The associated warm front will spread mild air across the Eastern
U.S. on Monday before the cold front arrives and drops temperatures for
the rest of the week.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.