Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 14, 2023 – Hurricane Lee is Still a Factor

September 14, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Sep 14 2023
Valid 12Z Thu Sep 14 2023 – 12Z Sat Sep 16 2023

….As Lee continues to track north, tropical storm conditions are
possible across a large portion of coastal New England beginning Friday
night…

…Life-threatening storm surge flooding possible in portions of
southeastern Massachusetts beginning late Friday…

…Unsettled weather, with heavy rain and strong storms possible, to
continue into the weekend over the southern Plains…

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Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 13, 2023

September 13, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Sep 13 2023
Valid 12Z Wed Sep 13 2023 – 12Z Fri Sep 15 2023

….Showers and thunderstorms are likely, with heavy rainfall and flooding
possible, across portions of the southern Plains over the next few days…

…More heavy is rain likely, with possible flooding, for portions of the
Northeast today…

…Dangerous surf and rip current conditions to spread north along the
East Coast over the next couple of days…

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Looking Back at August 2023 in the U.S. September 12, 2023

September 12, 2023Posted inweather2 Comments

Usually for this article where I provide a review of the prior month, I reproduce John Bateman’s email in its entirety.  But John Bateman has not yet sent out his email because NCEI has not yet published their review of August 2023.  I suspect the delay is due to the Labor Day weekend but there may have been other factors.  But I also like to add a few additional graphics, namely the state ranking maps after John Bateman’s email. These maps show how temperature and precipitation for each state rank relative to the 129 (article originally mistakenly said 139) years of what is considered to be the most reliable data we have.

That information became available today so I am publishing it tonight. When NCEI issues their report and if John Bateman sends me his email, I will publish it or the NCEI report which is the basis for John Bateman’s email separately.

Now we will discuss the State Rankings for the single month of August 2023.  Let me remind you that this shows where the Temperature and Precipitation in August rank within the 129-year history of that state. It is a good way to put August in perspective.

Three states set records for average temperature. That is a lot. Many others were much above average.

But only two states set a record for the maximum temperatures.

The same two states set a record for the highest minimum temperatures usually meaning there was a lot of humidity.  There were a lot of states that were much above average but not always the same states that were much above average in the first measure and graphic which is average temperature. It can get a bit confusing. High minimum temperatures mean a high use of air conditioning and for people without air conditioning, uncomfortable nights.

One state set a record for being the driest in its history. However, there were many states that had much above-average precipitation.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 12, 2023

September 12, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Sep 12 2023
Valid 12Z Tue Sep 12 2023 – 12Z Thu Sep 14 2023

…Cool, wet weather with heavy rainfall and flooding possible across the
Southwest and southern Plains…

…More heavy rain and possible flooding expected across the Northeast….

…Dangerous surf and rip current conditions developing along the East
Coast…
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Select Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 10, 2023: Questions about Hurricane Lee Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 11, 2023: Still Watching Hurricane Lee

September 11, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Sep 11 2023
Valid 12Z Mon Sep 11 2023 – 12Z Wed Sep 13 2023

…Decreasing temperatures with an increasing chance for showers and
thunderstorms expected across the Southwest early this week…

…Strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rain expected across portions
of the southern Plains today…

…Unsettled weather with heavy rain and flooding possible across portions
of the Northeast today…
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Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 10, 2023: Questions about Hurricane Lee

September 10, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Sep 10 2023
Valid 12Z Sun Sep 10 2023 – 12Z Tue Sep 12 2023

…Dangerous heat to persist for one more day across portions of the
Southwest, before temperatures begin to steadily fall early this week…

…Showers and thunderstorms and cooler temperatures to spread across the
northern to central Plains and the Midwest…

…Locally heavy rain, with flash flooding possible today from the
southern and central Appalachians to New England…
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Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 9, 2023: Eyes Still on Hurricane Lee

September 9, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Sep 09 2023
Valid 12Z Sat Sep 09 2023 – 12Z Mon Sep 11 2023

…Dangerous heat will build across the Southwest, while continuing across
parts of Texas…

…Widespread showers and storms and cooler temperatures will spread
across the northern to the central Plains and the upper to mid Mississippi
Valley…

…Unsettled weather will continue across the East, with locally heavy
rainfall and flooding possible…

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 8, 2023: Eyes Still on Hurricane Lee

September 8, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Sep 08 2023
Valid 12Z Fri Sep 08 2023 – 12Z Sun Sep 10 2023

…Severe storms possible today across portions of the Northeast, Mid
Atlantic, and from the Red River to the upper Texas and Louisiana coasts
…

…Dangerous heat continues across parts of the Northeast, south-central
U.S., and the Southwest…

…Increasing chance for heavy rain across portions of the Southeast on
Saturday…

Crop Report September 7, 2023 – Crops Look Good – The Price Received to Cost Paid Ratio Not So Much

September 7, 2023Posted inagriculture, weatherNo Comments

This article is based primarily on the August 29, 2023, USDA Crop Bulletin which covers the week ending September 3, 2023. The USDA report usually becomes available on Tuesdays but was issued this week due to the National Holiday. The full USDA Crop Bulletin can be accessed HERE.

It again seems like an average crop. Hurricane Idalia seems to have had little if any impact but the reporting may need another week to be sure of that.

The article includes a short international review of agricultural conditions. I also included crop-related weather information. I have included the Agricultural Prices Report and it suggests problems for the agriculture sector.

First, we take a look at the impact of Hurricane Idalia

It did not seem to impact the cotton growing area to the extent I had expected it to do but it certainly impacted the citrus growing area. We do not have a report on the impacts of the storm on citrus this week.  This graphic shows the weather impacts but we do not know how it impacted the crop.

We begin with the National Agriculture Summary.  The Tables below the summary have additional data. The boxes with my comments may be incomplete so for crops of interest check the data out yourself to be sure.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted September 7, 2023: Eyes on Hurricane Lee

September 7, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Sep 07 2023
Valid 12Z Thu Sep 07 2023 – 12Z Sat Sep 09 2023

… On Thursday, there is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts
of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians…

…There are Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings over parts of the
Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley and Heat Advisories over the
Northeast on Thursday…

…Air Quality Alerts over parts of the Central Plains, Upper Mississippi
Valley, and Maine on Thursday…