This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Jan 16 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Jan 16 2024 – 12Z Thu Jan 18 2024…Snow continues across the Mid Atlantic and Northeast…
…Additional freezing rain and elevation snowfall expected over the
Pacific Northwest……Brief reprieve from the brutal cold after this morning; another Arctic
blast expected late this week…
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Updated Outlook for January 2024 can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
Once again winter weather headlines dominate much of the weather story
across the Lower 48, with concurrent areas of wintry precipitation along
both coastlines and frigid Arctic air sandwiched over the Central and
Southern U.S. After producing widespread snow, sleet, and freezing rain
over the Mid-Deep South the last 24 hours, a quick moving upper-trough and
associated coastal-low pressure area continues to spread moderate to heavy
snowfall into the Mid-Atlantic this morning. Widespread Winter Weather
Advisories blanket the Mid-Atlantic into New England, where minor to
locally moderate winter weather impacts are possible today where an
additional 2-4″ can be expected through New York state. As the coastal low
deepens this afternoon, moderate to heavy snowfall is expected in upper
New England leading to 6-8 inches through tomorrow. Meanwhile, heavy
lake-effect snowfall may briefly subside today, before renewing late this
week with Winter Storm Watches hoisted downwind of Lake Erie and Ontario
in New York.Over the Pacific Northwest, offshore low pressure interacting with the
stubborn cold Arctic airmass entrenched atop the region will lead to yet
another episode of significant freezing rain beginning this morning, which
includes the Portland metropolitan area. Ice Storm Warnings are in effect
through tomorrow morning as one quarter to a half inch of ice is expected.
Portions of the Cascades into the Northern Rockies will also see
significant impacts from this storm in the form of snow, with 15-28 inches
possible.One more day of record breaking cold temperatures can be expected across
much of the Rockies, Great Plains, and Midwest today with wind chills
below minus 30 extending into the mid-Mississippi Valley this morning.
Fortunately, a brief reprieve from the frigid air is expected as the
airmass moderates beginning Wednesday, leading to below average (but not
brutally cold temperatures) in its wake. Unfortunately, the break will not
last long as another surge of Arctic air reaches the Plains states and
Deep South by Thursday-Friday. Stay tuned as the forecast continues to
evolve with this upcoming surge of cold air.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6–
10
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| 8–
14 |
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| 3–
4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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