This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Jan 14 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Jan 14 2024 – 12Z Tue Jan 16 2024…Dangerous cold temperatures to persist across much of the U.S…
…Significant, impactful wintry precipitation to develop over the
Mid-South later today……Significant wintry weather winding down over the Pacific Northwest and
Great Basin…
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Updated Outlook for January 2924 can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
In the wake of the strong Midwest frontal system earlier this weekend, the
weather story across much of the Lower 48 is tied to an expansive area of
Arctic high pressure spilling out of the Canadian prairie, which is
responsible for dangerously cold temperatures extending from the Pacific
Northwest all the way into the Rust Belt. To highlight just how intense
this outbreak of Arctic air is, over 95 million citizens fall within a
Wind Chill Warning, Advisory, or Watch as of midnight tonight. Some of the
coldest temperatures associated with this outbreak may occur today, where
bitterly cold wind chills as low as 70 below are expected across Montana
and the Dakotas. Further south, wind chills plummeting below minus 30
degrees will be found across the Rockies, central Plains, and
mid-Mississippi Valley. Unfortunately, the dangerous cold weather could
stick around for the next several days as reinforcing cold air plunges the
front southward, which could yield additional record breaking, dangerously
low temperatures over parts of the Midwest and Deep South through mid-late
next week.Brutal cold aside, the Arctic air in place will also set the stage for
significant wintry precipitation to develop over the Mid-South later today
with a mess of snow, sleet, and freezing rain all expected. Through
Tuesday, the current forecast calls for 3-6 inches of snowfall over
portions of the Ozarks into the Tennessee Valley, with a tenth of an inch
of ice possible further to the south in the Lower Mississippi Valley. The
prolonged nature of this event could result in moderate to major potential
winter storm impacts over parts of Arkansas, northwest Mississippi, and
western Tennessee, where Winter Storm Warnings are in effect. Meanwhile to
the northeast, the Arctic blast will maintain heavy lake effect snowfall
downwind of the Great Lakes (focused over western and northern New York
State), while also producing snow showers or squalls over the Northeast
and northern Mid-Atlantic today.Otherwise, the significant snow and freezing rain over the Pacific
Northwest and Great Basin is winding down and will subside today. After a
significant episode of freezing rain, sleet, and snow yesterday,
conditions are expected to improve as the upper-trough responsible for the
precipitation pulls away to the east, with most of the Winter Storm
Warnings over the Pacific Northwest and western Great Basin set to expire
this morning. The same system will produce heavy mountain snowfall in Utah
and western Colorado however, with moderate to major potential winter
storm impacts expected today in the terrain as snow levels remain on the
floor.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6–
10
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| 8–
14 |
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| 3–
4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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