Congratulations to Donald Trump on his impressive win in the 2024 election!
In this post, I will openly advise President Trump on how to act in this real world of Three New Kingdoms.
1. Three New Kingdoms
Read Three New Kingdoms.
Bottom line: The balance of power among the three countries has recently greatly shifted away from America to Russia and China for one main reason: The Russia-China alliance is arguably more powerful than any American alliance, including NATO (Why America Should Fear Russia-China Alliance).
2. What do the three countries need today?
To briefly highlight the needs of the three countries one by one.
2.1 What does Russia need?
Simply put, Russia needs four things:
- National pride: “Make Russia Great Again.” Russia is a prideful country, and must hence maintain, and even gradually expand, its sphere of influence, for which it must end the war in Ukraine, while keeping Crimea for access to the Black Sea.
- Political stability at home, for which President Putin has been very successful, with consistently high approval ratings (Putin’s approval rating in Russia).
- Economic stability at home, for which Russia needs China for many of its daily material needs in exchange for natural resources. In other words, no Western sanctions against it will work, if Russia just keeps its back-door to China open.
- High oil prices, for which Russia needs to maintain and expand its global influence, from Europe to the Mideast.
Bottom line: Russia relies on China for survival, but does not need America much, other than wishing America not to further mess up in Ukraine.
2.2 What does China need?
Simply put, China needs four things:
- National pride: “Make China Great Again.” China is a world leader, and must maintain, and expand its sphere of influence. China will never compromise on its “internal affairs” (e.g., Taiwan).
- Political stability at home, for which China must constantly improve, as its system (i.e., state capitalism) is only slightly better than America’s (America is a plutocracy!).
- Economic stability at home, for which China must keep its high growth going for years, if not decades, to come.
- A peaceful world, as China wants to trade with everybody and needs natural resources, mostly from Russia and the Mideast.
Bottom line: China needs (1) Russia for natural resources and (2) America to trade.
2.3 What does America need?
Simply put, America needs four things:
- National pride: Truly “Make America Great Again,” for which America must recognize that the era of its global hegemony is over (The BRICS Summit Should Mark the End of Neocon Delusions). America must therefore re-position itself globally (The Monroe Doctrine at age 200), yielding more of its global influence to China and Russia, while sharply focusing inward by getting its own house in order.
- The MIC: Dismantle it (America’s evil MIC), especially its military ventures abroad.
- Political stability at home: America must reform its failing pollical system, as I have suggested (History 2.0 – China’s Comeback vs. America’s Decline), and it’s now up to President Trump mostly (Donald Trump vs. Deng Xiaoping).
- Economic stability at home: America must strive to become a harmonious society, like China has been doing over the past 2,500 years.
3. What do the three countries want today?
To briefly highlight the wants of the three countries one by one.
3.1 What does Russia want?
Short term: Russia wants to end the war in Ukraine. Specifically, here are four Russian demands in 2021 (4 things Russia wants right now):
- A guarantee Ukraine can never join NATO.
- NATO arms out of Eastern Europe.
- A ban on NATO missiles within striking distance.
- Autonomy for eastern Ukraine.
Long term: Russia wants America out of Europe.
3.2 What does China want?
Short term: China wants America to end the trade war and stop interfering in its domestic affairs, especially Taiwan.
Long term: China wants America out of East Asia.
3.3 What has America wanted?
To maintain its global hegemony by all means! Specifically,
- Keeping the war in Ukraine going forever, while ignoring Russia’s 2021 demands (com/watch?v=_mwgXQVN02A).
- Slowing China down, Tonya Harding style (com/watch?v=DjjND_ky6t4).
President Trump must change it, or we may face WW III (Will America lie all the way into WW III?)!
4. Some candid advice for President Trump
- Better understand America as well as the world.
- Mind our own business, especially on political reforms (Donald Trump vs. Deng Xiaoping).
- Stop exporting democracy, because it does not even work at home (Western liberal democracy is a lie!).
Now, some specific advice on Russia and China, respectively.
4.1 On Russia
- Better understand Russia and stop vilifying President Putin.
- End the war in Ukraine and scale back in East Europe. A simple question: what if Russia moved to our front door (e.g., Cuba)? We all know the answer: Wikipedia – Cuban Missile Crisis.
- Accept Russia as a world power. Russia wants, and deserves, more space as its sphere of influence. Ukraine is the least America should yield to Russia.
- Lift all the sanctions against Russia as soon as possible. They do not work, as Russia has a huge back-door to China to get everything it needs.
4.2 On China
- Better understand China and stop China-bashing.
- Accept China as a world power. China wants, and deserves, more space as its sphere of influence. East Asia is the least America should yield to China.
- Leave Taiwan alone – It will be peacefully reunited with the mainland over time, without America.
- End the trade war – It has been hurting America far more than China.
5. Discussion
The most urgent action required by President Trump is to end the war in Ukraine, or it may lead to WW III (Will America lie all the way into WW III?)!
Over time, if America continues its current foreign policy unchanged, do not be surprised to see Russian and Chinese warships showing up together at America’s coast lines, in the name of “freedom of navigation,” on top of the fact that the Russians are already there (Russian navy fleet, including frigate nuclear-powered sub, arrives in Cuba).
It is called “let America taste its own medicine!”
More profoundly, America, reform our failing political system, as I have suggested (History 2.0 – China’s Comeback vs. America’s Decline), or become a fiddle, second to China!
6. Closing
President Trump, America’s future is in your hand. I wish you well!