It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Mar 31 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Mar 31 2024 – 12Z Tue Apr 02 2024…Heavy snow over parts of the higher elevations of Wyoming, Nevada,
Colorado, Utah, and Arizona……There is a Sight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of over parts of
the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys on Monday……There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Middle
Mississippi and Ohio Valleys on Sunday; there is an Enhanced Risk of
severe thunderstorms over parts of the Southern Plains, Middle
Mississippi, and Ohio Valleys on Monday…A front extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the Central Plains will be
quasi-stationary through Monday morning. Moisture from the Western Gulf of
Mexico will pool along the boundary, creating showers and severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys.
Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys
through Monday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few
tornadoes. Farther east along the boundary, showers and thunderstorms will
develop over parts of the Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic on Sunday.On Monday, the threat of severe thunderstorms increases over parts of the
Southern Plains, Middle Mississippi, and Ohio Valleys. Therefore, the SPC
has issued an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms over the
parts of the Southern Plains, Middle Mississippi, and Ohio Valleys from
Monday into Tuesday morning. The hazards associated with these
thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts,
hail, and a few tornadoes. Moreover, there is an increased threat of EF2
to EF5 tornados over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley into the
Western Ohio Valley. In addition, there is an increased threat of hail two
inches or greater in size over parts of the Southern Plains/Middle
Mississippi Valley.Furthermore, the showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rain over
parts of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Therefore, the WPC has
issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys from Monday to Tuesday morning. The
associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash
flooding, with urban areas, roads, and small streams the most vulnerable.
Likewise, showers and thunderstorms will extend into the Central
Appalachian and Mid-Atlantic on Monday.Meanwhile, the threat of excessive rainfall is a Marginal Risk over parts
of Southern California and Arizona on Sunday. The associated heavy rain
will create localized areas of flash flooding, affecting areas that
experience rapid runoff and burn scars. In addition, the moisture streamed
inland due to the upper-level low off the Southern California Coast will
aid in creating heavy snow over the higher elevations of Wyoming, Nevada,
Colorado, Utah, and Arizona through Monday. Moderate to heavy snow will
linger over parts of Utah, Arizona, Colorado, and New Mexico from Monday
evening into Tuesday. Rain will develop over lower elevations of the
Southwest and Southern Rockies, ending on Tuesday. Additionally, light to
moderate snow will develop over parts of the Northern/Central Plains on
Sunday. The snow will linger over the area on Monday and end overnight on
Monday.
To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.
Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.
| Notices: What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles. These links may also be useful for those viewing this article on a cell phone or other small screen.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
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10
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittent so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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