This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Jan 25 2024 – 12Z Sat Jan 27 2024…Flash Flooding and Severe Weather concerns continue for portions of the
Southern Plains, Gulf Coast, Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast……Freezing rain impacts possible over parts of southern Maine/central New
England……Unseasonably warm air surges into the eastern third of the country
leading to widespread record low temperatures Thursday night…[Editor’s Note: not clear. It should say the low of the day will be warm enough to break records]
Looking out a bit farther
Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. This evening we are looking at temperatures and the baseline here is such that it will tend to show warmer than baseline-normal temperatures due to the trend in temperatures.
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Updated Outlook for January 2024 can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
A shortwave trough crossing the central U.S. will support repeated rounds
of convection across the southern tier. Some of these storms will have the
potential to become severe today across the Gulf states and Southeast.
Scattered to widespread heavy rain will be the main hazard given the
influx of anomalous moisture and significant instability into the region.
A Slight Risk (level 2/4) of Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding
is in effect for portions of Louisiana to western portions of North
Carolina, where the confluence of moisture, instability and lift along the
surface front will be greatest. The primary Flash Flood risk pivots into
parts of the Southeast and Southern Appalachians while remaining over the
central Gulf Coast. The Severe threat remains for the Lower Mississippi
Valley and Southeast.The anomalous moisture mentioned above with continue to spread into the
Northeast ahead of the approaching low pressure system over the Ohio
Valley. Rain showers in the warm sector are likely for much of the
Northeast and Lower Great Lakes tonight while freezing rain gets going
over parts of Vermont, New Hampshire and southern Maine. Freezing rain
accumulations aren’t expected to eclipse 0.1″. Light snow will occur over
central and northern Maine. Conditions should improve by Thursday
afternoon for the Northeast.Unseasonably warm temperatures will overspread the East Coast and portions
of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Low temperature anomalies between 40-50
degrees above average will lead to widespread records being broken tonight
and Thursday night. Elsewhere, low pressure in the West will produce snow
showers over the Cascades, Sierra and Rockies over the next couple of
days. New accumulations of 4 to 6 + inches are possible today and into
Friday – a few isolated areas may exceed 8 inches.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
| Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) | Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) | Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) |
| https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ | https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ |
Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
| 6–
10
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| 8–
14 |
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| 3–
4 |
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HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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| I hope you found this article interesting and useful. |
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