This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Jan 22 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Jan 22 2024 – 12Z Wed Jan 24 2024…More unsettled weather expected to impact the West Coast with heavy
rain impacting California today……Freezing rain across the central Plains this morning is expected to
rapidly spread northeastward into the Midwest today followed by another
round of freezing rain tonight from the Midwest to the lower Great Lakes……Accumulating snowfall across the lower Great Lakes on Tuesday…
…A couple rounds of heavy rain will raise flooding potential across
eastern Texas today, expanding east into the lower Mississippi Valley
Tuesday into early Wednesday…
Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.
| Notices: The article on the Updated Outlook for January 2024 can be accessed HERE. What would you like to learn about? Please provide that to me via the comment section at the end of the article. |
Now more detail on the 48-Hour Forecast (It is a 48 to 72 Hour Forecast actually)
Daily weather maps. The Day 1 map updates twice a day and the Day 2 and 3 maps update only once a day. These maps update automatically. But if that does not happen, you can get updates by clicking HERE
TODAY (or late in the day the evening/overnight map will appear) (Key to surface fronts shown on maps and you will then also be able to insert a city name or zip code and get a local NWS forecast).
TOMORROW
NEXT DAY
This animation shows how things may play out over the next 60 hours. To update click here.
The NWS Climate Prediction Center’s: Watches, Warnings, and Advisories plus other information can be found HERE. We post at least one of those updates daily, sometimes both. The Highlights are shown in the lede paragraph of this article.
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
This tells us what is approaching the West Coast. Click HERE to update If I have not gotten around to doing the update. Here is some useful information about Atmospheric Rivers.
Continuation of the NWS Short Range Forecast. It is updated by NWS twice a day and these updates can be found here
As an expansive arctic high pressure system slides eastward across the
eastern U.S. today, deep return flow behind the system is directing a
channel of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into the southern Plains.
Heavy rain has quickly spread across southern Texas this morning. Farther
to the north where the presence of arctic air is being felt, snow, sleet
and ice are impacting portions of Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, and
Missouri. Strong upper-level flow will direct this channel of moisture
quickly northeastward today, bringing periods of freezing rain and sleet
up across the Midwest, reaching into the lower Great Lakes tonight.
Additional upper-level energy exiting the Rockies and moving into the
southern Plains will develop a couple of low pressure systems, bringing a
couple quick rounds of rain across the Midwest on Tuesday and again by
Wednesday. Colder air farther to the north will support accumulating
snowfall from the upper Midwest to the lower Great Lakes and then across
portions of New England Tuesday and into early Wednesday as the next round
of heavy rain develops across eastern Texas.Along the West Coast, a parade of frontal systems arriving from the
Pacific will bring more active weather onshore through the next couple of
days. Heavy rain will likely continue across northern California today,
followed by a lull on Tuesday before the next surge of heavy rain expected
to reach northwestern California early on Wednesday. Meanwhile, heavy wet
snow is expected along the Sierra Nevada during similar time frame. Mixed
precipitation will also penetrate further inland across the Intermountain
region and into the Rockies with frequent passages of upper-level troughs.
Unsettled weather will also continue along the coast of the Pacific
Northwest with a lull expected Tuesday night.With no additional replenishment of arctic air from Canada, a steady
warm-up is expected to spread across the country from west to east through
the next couple of days. Today will be the final day of the deep freeze
over the East Coast where temperatures will start out in the teens but
they will quickly rebound to near normal levels on Tuesday.
Learn about wave patterns HERE.
Below is the current five-day cumulative forecast of precipitation (Updates can be found HERE)
Ski SnowReports
New Feature – Ski Reports. It is difficult to find reports that auto-update on-screen (and they are very long) but these links will get you to them – If you have additional suggestions make them in the comments section after every Econcurrents Article and we may add those links. We will try to not have too much overlap as that can add to the confusion.
Snow Forecasts. And remember this shows natural snow. Ski resorts also make their own snow.
Day 1
Day 2
Additional snow information can be found here, here, here, and here. The second link provides animations.
Now we look at Intermediate-Term “Outlook” maps for three time periods. Days 6 – 10, Days 8 – 14, and Weeks 3 and 4. An outlook differs from a forecast based on how NOAA uses these terms in that an “outlook” presents information as deviation from normal and the likelihood of these deviations.
Below are the links to obtain updates and additional information. They are particularly useful if you happen to be reading this article significantly later than when it was published. I always try to provide readers with the source of the information in my articles.
Days 6 – 10 (shown in Row 1) Days 8 – 14 (Shown in Row 2) Weeks 3 and 4 (Shown in Row 3 but updates only on Fridays) https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa. gov/products/predictions/610day/ https://www.cpc.ncep .noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/ Showing the actual maps. They should now update automatically. The Week 3 – 4 Outlook only updates on Fridays. So below is what I call the Intermediate-term outlook. On Fridays, it extends out 28 Days. That declines day by day so on Thursday it only looks out 22 days until the next day when the Week 3 – 4 Outlook is updated and this extends the outlook by one additional week.
6– 10
8– 14
3– 4
HAZARDS OUTLOOKS
Click here for the latest complete Day 3 -7 Hazards forecast which updates only on weekdays. Once a week probably Monday or Tuesday I will update the images. I provided the link for readers to get daily updates on weekdays. Use your own judgment to decide if you need to update these images. I update almost all the images Friday Night for the weekend edition of this Weather Report. So normally readers do not need to update these images but if the weather is changing quickly you may want to.
Temperature month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
Precipitation month to date can be found at https://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis /MonthPNormUS.png
World Forecast [that website is has been intermittant so be patient]
Below are the Day 1 -3 and 4-6 forecasts for temperature and precipitation. Updates and much additional information can be obtained HERE
World Temperature Anomalies
World Accumulated Precipitation
This information is provided by the University of Maine. They draw upon many different sources. There is a lot of information available at the link provided. I have just provided two useful forecasts. There are probably over a hundred different forecasts available from this source.
Worldwide Tropical Forecast (This is a NOAA Product)
This graphic updates on Tuesdays) If it has not been updated, you can get the update by clicking here Readers will only have to do that if they are reading this article much later than the date of it being published.
Information on Tropical Storms can be found HERE. Western Pacific information can be found HERE.
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I hope you found this article interesting and useful. –
