Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 9, 2022 – Updated as Needed

December 13, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:06 p.m. December 13, 2022. Thursday afternoon and evening map is now included.

Here is what we are paying attention to Today and the next 48 hours from Tuesday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we publish each morning. On Weekends, we will publish late Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
336 PM EST Tue Dec 13 2022

Valid 00Z Wed Dec 14 2022 - 00Z Fri Dec 16 2022

...There is an Enhanced Risk of severe thunderstorms and a Slight to
Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall over the Lower Mississippi
Valley/Central Gulf Coast through Thursday...

...Heavy snow over the Upper Midwest on Wednesday and over parts of the
Lower Great Lakes, Central Appalachians, and the northern Mid-Atlantic on
Thursday...

...Rain/freezing rain over parts of the Upper Midwest on Wednesday and
Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians on Thursday...

Looking Ahead 28 Days from December 9, 2022 Plus Weekend Report

December 10, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:55 p.m. Monday December 12, 2022

Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days 1 and 2, Days  1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. We also include a next-day and 10-Day Global Average Temperature and Cumulative Precipitation Forecast. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the weekend and the next 28 days. I will update the article with more recent short-term forecasts: Saturday through Monday

Over the weekend and into Monday there will be frequent updates of the short-term forecast.

Looking out 28 days, what we see is

  • For Temperature: Very cold air entering the Northwest and over the course of 28 days moving east to the Northern Great Plains while moderating to some extent.
  • For Precipitation: An unusually wet pattern that gradually becomes more spotty. We will learn more on Thursday when NOAA issues its Seasonal Outlook. But it looks like it will evolve into a few months of Southern Tier drought for the first part of 2023.

When we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the Media and online. The amount of information about weather provided to the general public is quite limited. It is available to the public. But most do not have the time or level of interest to seek it out. My articles are at an intermediate level between what is generally available from the Media (ten-day forecasts and a good explanation for the first couple of days and the information used by meteorologists to produce these forecasts for general distribution. So I focus on longer timeframes and more depth into why the forecasts are what they are.

Weather Forecast: Today, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 9, 2022

December 9, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:04 p.m. EST December 9, 2022

Here is what we are paying attention to today and the next 48 hours from Friday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we publish each morning. On Weekends, we will publish late Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
250 PM EST Fri Dec 09 2022

Valid 00Z Sat Dec 10 2022 - 00Z Mon Dec 12 2022

...Major storm system to bring heavy mountain snow and coastal rain to the
West this weekend...

...Episodes of moderate to locally heavy rain possible as showers and
thunderstorms continue for the South...

...Wintry weather expected to enter the Northeast early Sunday...

Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 7, 2022

December 8, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 6:05 p.m. December 8, 2022 to include the afternoon NWS 48 hour forecast. We will publish again tonight but also we will also publish the ENSO Update.

Here is what we are paying attention to this afternoon and the next 48 hours from Thursday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we will publish each evening. On Weekends, we will publish Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
309 PM EST Thu Dec 08 2022

Valid 00Z Fri Dec 09 2022 - 00Z Sun Dec 11 2022

...Episodes of moderate to heavy rain expected to track across the
Southern Plains to the Mid-Mississippi Valley the next couple of days...

...Wintry weather spreading into the Central/Northern Plains today and
into the Upper Midwest on Friday...

...Heavy precipitation expected for the Pacific Northwest and northern
California today before significant mountain snowfall arrives tomorrow...



















	




	
	

		Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World December 6, 2022	





		
			
		
		December 7, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Updated at 4:37 p.m. EST December 7, 2022


Here is what we are paying attention to this afternoon and the next 48 hours from Wednesday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we will publish each evening. On Weekends, we will publish Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.


Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
305 PM EST Wed Dec 07 2022

Valid 00Z Thu Dec 08 2022 - 00Z Sat Dec 10 2022

...Heavy rain and marginal flash flooding threat across the Central Plains
through Thursday morning...

...Wintry weather spreading into the Central/Northern Plains tonight into
tomorrow...

...Next round of heavy precipitation expected to reach the Pacific
Northwest later tonight before spreading inland and down into California
Thursday night into early Friday...




















	




	
	

		Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Five Days, 10 Days U.S. and World  December 5, 2022	





		
			
		
		December 6, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Updated at 9 p.m. EST December 6, 2022.  It now provides a little glimpse of Tuesday Night and Wednesday.


Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from Tuesday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. During the week we will publish each evening. On Weekends, we will publish Friday night and do updates during the weekend. Either way, you will have current forecasts with a longer forecast on the weekends. This is a combination of a U.S. plus World Weather Article.


Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
303 PM EST Tue Dec 06 2022

Valid 00Z Wed Dec 07 2022 - 00Z Fri Dec 09 2022

...Isolated flash flooding possible over the Central Plains later on
Wednesday into Thursday...

...Accumulating snows across the Northern Plains and through portions of
the Northern and Central Rockies...

...Widespread much above average temperatures across the southern and
eastern U.S. in stark contrast with Arctic air across the Northern
Plains...



















	




	
	

		Looking Ahead 28 Days from December 2, 2022 Plus Weekend Report	





		
			
		
		December 3, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Updated at 4:40 p.m. EST on December 5, 2022


Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days 1 and 2, Days  1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. We also include a next-day and 10-Day Global Average Temperature and Cumulative Precipitation Forecast. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the weekend and the next 28 days. I will update the article with more recent short-term forecasts: Saturday through Monday


We see the expected movement of cold air from west to east of the pattern described in our prior Friday article and perhaps the area impacted shrinking in Weeks 3 and 4. It is quite similar to the overall Outlook predicted when the December Outlook was updated on Wednesday. Precipitation is expansive at first but the southern tier drought pattern gets started in Weeks 3 and 4. We had concerns about the 28-Day Outlook last week and did an experiment where we added the daily updates of the 6 – 10 and 8 – 14 day forecasts each day through Monday. We did not learn too much but I think we are seeing that the forecast last week may have been just a little bit early with its forecast as the flow seems smoother this week. But it may be that they actually nailed it last week. The maps are easy to read. But the maps reflect compromises by the forecasters. They are dealing with conflicting results from their various tools. But they can only produce one map (or that is all they issue). There is a discussion for the 6 – 10 day and 8 – 14 day maps but I do not include them to keep the size of the article reasonable. The links provided would take you to those discussions except on weekends as they are not issued on weekends. I could update those maps on Mondays (like I did last week) but it is a lot of work for me and most readers would not come back on Monday to see the comparison and I am not always available to do an update when NOAA issues their Monday version of the maps with their discussions until later in the day. But the links are there for the curious.


When we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the Media and online. The amount of information about weather provided to the general public is quite limited. It is available to the public. But most do not have the time or level of interest to seek it out. My articles are at an intermediate level between what is generally available from the Media (ten-day forecasts and a good explanation for the first couple of days and the information used by meteorologists to produce these forecasts for general distribution. So I focus on longer timeframes and more depth into why the forecasts are what they are.





















	




	
	

		U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather –  Updated during December 1 and 2, 2022	





		
			
		
		December 1, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Here is what we are paying attention to tonight (Updated at 5:40 pm EST December 2, 2022) and the next 48 hours from Friday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. We may do some additional updating on this article but it will be replaced tonight or early Saturday morning with the 28-Day Outlook so look for it Econcurrents.com Author Sig Silber.


...Critical Fire Weather threat for parts of the Central Plains...

...Coastal rain and heavy mountain snow likely in the West...

...Cool down in store for northern tier and eastern half of country this
weekend...




















	




	
	

		November 29-30, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks, Tropical, and World Weather	





		
			
		
		November 29, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Updated on Tuesday November 29, 2022


Here is what we are paying attention to tonight and the next 48 hours from Tuesday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast.


...Heavy snow for the Cascades, Sierra and Northern Rockies...

...There are moderate flash flooding and severe weather threats over
portions of the Lower Mississippi & Tennessee Valleys and Southeast
tonight...




















	




	
	

		Looking Ahead 28 Days from November 25, 2022 Plus Weekend Report	





		
			
		
		November 26, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments




	
Updated at 9:30 p.m. EST November 28, 2027.  Our Monday – Tuesday 48-Hour forecast will be published soon.  And there will be an updated Outlook for the Month of December issued by NOAA CPC Wednesday and we will report on that Wednesday evening/Thursday morning.


Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days 1 and 2, Days  1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. We also include a next-day and 10-Day World Temperature and Precipitation Forecast. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the weekend and the next 28 days. Saturday through Monday I will update the article with more recent short-term forecasts.


Because like last week there is a major change in the forecast shown mid-month (and last week the 6 to 14 Day part of the outlook was dramatically changed on the Monday following Friday), I have included excerpts from the discussions at the beginning of the article as you will see. This will allow us to track how that part of the Outlook might change over the weekend.


The comments within the article discuss what we observed.


When we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the media and online.