NOAA Updates its Four Season Outlook on October 20, 2022 – Yet Another La Nina Winter
Preparing to say goodbye to La Nina early in 2023. Now it looks like La Nina will remain until Spring.
Today is the third Thursday of the month so right on schedule NOAA has issued what I describe as their Four-Season Outlook. The information released also includes the Early Outlook for the single month of November plus the weather and drought outlook for the next three months. I present the information issued and try to add context to it. It is quite a challenge for NOAA to address the subsequent month, the subsequent three-month period as well as successive three-month periods for a year or a bit more.
It is very useful to read the excellent discussion that NOAA issues with this Seasonal Outlook. NOAA seems to be more confident about making predictions beyond six months. They even predict a good monsoon next summer which they never do this far in advance.
I will be writing a subsequent article on the challenges to the Agriculture Sector in certain parts of CONUS.
