Looking back at May 2023 in the U.S.

Every month NOAA takes a look at the prior month and sends me an email with their analysis. I am showing their full email report and I have added some additional images which support the report issued by NOAA. Some pretty interesting weather for May of 2023. This report also looks at the three-month period March through May which is meteorological spring. There has been a blocking pattern for some time which at least partially explains the west/east divide in the temperature and precipitation patterns. The NOAA report is very good and the state ranking graphics I added help to understand what has taken place as ENSO Neutral has tried to become El  Nino.

August 21, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus a Review of State Temperature and Precipitation Rankings

Updated at 6 pm EDT August 23, 2022. It was not possible to update the Week 3-4 Outlooks as they only update on Fridays

Southern Tier to be very wet for the next two weeks.

NOAA updates many of their weather outlooks and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. On Fridays, they issue a week 3 – 4 outlook which is farther out than the typical 10-day forecast and the discussion is excellent. So we have decided to issue a weekly special report on Fridays.

When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts. Since we are often publishing this article on Sunday, we then only have a 26-day view of the future. Sorry about that. It is really a 27-day view but Sunday readers are seeing it one day late. But 26 days is still a pretty long forecast. The update I just made did not update the week – 4 Outlook but it updated all the Outlooks for the next 14 days. There will be a new article soon with the updated Week 3 – 4 Outlook, but I might update it in this article also. The links are provided for all the graphics so the reader can get the updated version but this article is now up to date except for the Week3 – 4 Outlook which can not be updated until Friday.

We have also taken a look at the state temperature and precipitation rankings for Sept to November LAST YEAR and Year to Date (YTD) This year. Some may view that as apples and oranges but it will give us something to compare against as the next three months evolve. So we can come back in early December to see how the two years compare.  My guess is that it will be pretty similar but it may be interesting to some people.

Drought Update August 11, 2022: Marginal Temporary Improvement

It is a good time to look at how the drought situation in the Continental U.S. has changed over the last couple of months. There is a big debate as to whether the increased precipitation in June and July really changed the situation or was simply a drop in the bucket and I am tending to agree with the “drop in the bucket” assessment.  Keep on reading to find out why I have drawn that conclusion.

July 29, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus a Review of State Temperature and Precipitation Rankings

Northeast Quadrant is predicted to be Hot early in August and then the Heat shifts to the Northwest.

NOAA updates many of their weather outlooks and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. On Fridays, they issue a week 3 – 4 outlook which is farther out than the typical 10-day forecast and the discussion is excellent. So we have decided to issue a weekly special report on Fridays.

When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted, but in the article there are links to obtain updated forecasts.

We have also taken a look at the state temperature and precipitation rankings for June and Year to Date (YTD). It is not a surprise that they differ.