Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 27, 2024

February 27, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Feb 27 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Feb 27 2024 – 12Z Thu Feb 29 2024

…Heavy snow returns over parts of the Cascades, the Northern
Intermountain Region, and Northern Rockies on Wednesday…

…Heavy snow over parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley and moderate to
heavy snow over the Cascades to Central Rockies on Tuesday…

…Light to moderate snow over the Great Lakes, Central Appalachians, and
Northeast on Wednesday…

…There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio
Valley/Great Lakes on Tuesday…

A strong winter storm and cold front will continue to progress through the
West, reaching the Central Rockies on Tuesday. Furthermore, the storm will
create near-blizzard conditions, resulting in dangerous travel. Snowfall
rates of 1-2 inches per hour will move into the Great Basin and Central
Rockies on Tuesday. These snow rates combined with winds gusting 50-65 mph
will produce near-blizzard conditions with significantly reduced
visibility and snow-covered roads leading to dangerous travel. Further,
significant snow accumulations will occur across the Colorado Rockies
southward into the San Juans and Sangre de Cristos; there is a high chance
(greater than 70%) of more than 8 inches of snow in the higher elevations.

In addition, widespread snow squalls are expected to develop along the
path of the cold front from Utah to Wyoming and Colorado on Tuesday. Where
snow squalls occur, intense snow rates will produce rapid drops in
visibility and icing on roadways, resulting in dangerous travel.

In addition, much colder air will move in behind the strong cold front.
Temperatures will fall into the teens and single digits Tuesday morning
throughout the Intermountain West.

Another powerful storm will move over the West, producing a significant
winter storm over the Pacific Northwest late Wednesday into Thursday, as
heavy snow returns to the Northern Cascades and Northern Intermountain
Region.

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, a front extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the
Central Rockies will create heavy snow over parts of the Upper Mississippi
Valley and moderate to heavy snow over the Upper Great Lakes. Ahead of the
front, southerly wind will bring warm temperatures of 15 to 30 degrees
above average to the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes. The warm and dry
conditions with gusty winds across the Southern Plains have resulted in an
Elevated Risk of Fire Weather (level 1/3) from the Storm Prediction Center
on Tuesday.

Additionally, moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico will stream
northward over the Southern Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley, and
Ohio Valley. The moisture will aid in creating showers and severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio Valley. Therefore, the SPC has issued
a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio
Valley, Middle Mississippi Valley, and Great Lakes through Wednesday
morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms are frequent
lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes.
Further, there is an increased threat of hail two inches or greater over
parts of southwestern Michigan, most of Illinois and Indiana, plus
southeastern Missouri.

Moreover, as the robust front moves across the Great Lakes to the East
Coast, moderate to heavy snow will develop over the Great Lakes into the
Northeast, with light to moderate snow over the Central Appalachians on
Wednesday into Thursday morning. Ahead of the snow, showers and
thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Northeast. The boundary will
also create showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Eastern Ohio
Valley, Central Appalachians, into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast.

Elsewhere, upper-level energy moving into the Southwest and Southern
Rockies will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms from Wednesday
afternoon into Thursday morning.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 26, 2024

February 26, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Feb 26 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Feb 26 2024 – 12Z Wed Feb 28 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of the Cascades, the Northern Intermountain
Region, Northern/Central Rockies, Sierra Nevada Mountains, and higher
elevations of the Great Basin…

…Moderate to heavy snow over parts of the Upper Midwest…

…There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio
Valley/Great Lakes on Tuesday…

A strong winter storm and cold front will move across the Pacific
Northwest to the Central Rockies by Tuesday evening. The strong cold front
will continue progressing through the region, reaching the Northern
Rockies on Monday and the Central Rockies on Tuesday.

The storm will create near-blizzard conditions, resulting in dangerous
travel. Snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are expected over the Oregon
Cascades and Northern Rockies Monday before spreading into the Great Basin
and Central Rockies Tuesday. These snow rates combined with winds gusting
50-65 mph will produce near-blizzard conditions with significantly reduced
visibility and snow-covered roads leading to dangerous travel.

Moreover, significant snow accumulations are expected, with snow totals
greater than 2 feet are expected (greater than 80% chance) in the Cascades
through Tuesday, with locally as much as 4 feet possible in the highest
terrain. Elsewhere across the Intermountain West, there is a high chance
(greater than 70%) of more than 1 foot of snow in the higher elevations.
Lowering snow levels to near sea level will also produce some
accumulations onto the valley floors.

Furthermore, widespread snow squalls are expected to develop along the
path of the cold front on Monday and Tuesday. Where snow squalls occur,
intense snow rates will produce rapid drops in visibility and icing on
roadways, resulting in dangerous travel.

In addition, much colder air will move in behind the strong cold front.
Temperatures will fall into the teens and single digits by Tuesday morning
along and east of the Rockies.

Meanwhile, southerly wind will bring warm temperatures to the Plains ahead
of the strong cold front. The warm and dry conditions with gusty winds
across the Southern High Plains have resulted in a Critical Risk of Fire
Weather (level 2/3) from the Storm Prediction Center on Monday, which is
likely to continue into Tuesday.

Additionally, moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico will stream
northward over the Southern Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley, and
Ohio Valley. The moisture will aid in creating scattered light rain
showers over parts of the Ohio Valley. By Tuesday, the moisture will
produce showers and severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio Valley.
Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio Valley, Middle Mississippi Valley,
and Great Lakes from Tuesday through Wednesday morning. The hazards
associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe
thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes. Further, on Tuesday,
there is an increased threat of hail two inches or greater over parts of
northern Illinois and Indiana, plus northwestern Ohio.

Moreover, as the strong front moves out of the Rockies onto the Plains,
light to moderate snow will develop over parts of the Northern
Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley on Monday. Moderate to heavy snow will
develop overnight Monday into Tuesday over northern Minnesota. Similarly,
overnight Tuesday into Wednesday, light to moderate snow will develop over
part of the western U.P. of Michigan. Elsewhere, showers and thunderstorms
will move into parts of the Central Appalachians and northern
Mid-Atlantic, with showers and thunderstorms extending into parts of the
Lower Mississippi Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 25, 2024

February 25, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Feb 25 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Feb 25 2024 – 12Z Tue Feb 27 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of the Cascades, the Northern Intermountain
Region, Northern/Central Rockies, and higher elevations of the Great
Basin…

…Light snow over parts of the Northeast and snow over the Northern
Plains on Monday...

…Heavy snow over parts of the Sierra Nevada Mountains on Monday…

A strong winter storm and cold front will move into the Northwest on
Sunday and progress southeastward into the Northern Rockies on Monday.
Heavy mountain snow over the Cascades will impact the passes by late
Sunday, with greater than 80% chance of at least a foot of snow above
1500ft through early Tuesday. In addition, snowfall will sometimes become
heavy, with rates of 1-2 inches per hour, along with windy conditions,
creating areas of blowing snow and drifting snow and significantly
reducing visibility.

Furthermore, snow squalls are likely along the path of the cold front on
Monday over the Northern Intermountain Region/Rockies, which could create
a rapid drop in visibility and icing on roadways, leading to dangerous
travel. Additionally, much colder air behind the strong cold front will
drop temperatures into the teens and colder by Tuesday morning.

Further, the system will produce coastal rain over the Northwest, with
snow levels lowering to near sea level after the front passes. Overnight
Sunday, rain will move into parts of California, with higher-elevation
snow. Moreover, on Monday, heavy snow will impact the Sierra Nevada
Mountains. A wave of low pressure will move over parts of the Northern
Plains by Monday evening as snow develops over the region. There is also a
risk of rain/freezing rain moving over parts of the Upper Mississippi
Valley.

Meanwhile, moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico will stream northward
over the Southern Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley, and Ohio
Valley. The moisture will aid in creating scattered light rain showers
over parts of the Ohio Valley overnight Sunday into Monday. By Tuesday,
the moisture will produce showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio
Valley. Furthermore, upper-level energy will assist in creating light snow
over parts of the Northeast overnight Sunday into Monday evening.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 24, 2024

February 24, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Feb 24 2024
Valid 12Z Sat Feb 24 2024 – 12Z Mon Feb 26 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of Cascades and the Northern Intermountain Region
on Sunday…

…Light snow over parts of the Central Appalachians on Saturday and over
the Northeast on Sunday…

…Light snow over parts of the Northern Plains and Upper Great Lakes…

A front extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the Central Plains will move
southward to the Southeast to the Lower Mississippi Valley before
dissipating by Sunday morning. The boundary will have a wave of low
pressure over Central Appalachians, moving eastward off the East Coast by
Saturday evening. The system will create light snow over parts of the
Central Appalachians and Southern Appalachians overnight Saturday, ending
by Sunday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will also develop over parts
of the southern Mid-Atlantic, ending by Sunday morning.

Meanwhile, on Saturday, weak onshore flow and upper-level energy will
produce light snow over parts of the Northern Cascades and Northern
Intermountain Region. Overnight Saturday, a front will move southward out
of Central Canada to the Northern Plains by Sunday morning and into the
Great Lakes by Monday. On Sunday, the system will produce light snow over
parts of the Northern Plains and Upper Great Lakes.

Moreover, more robust onshore flow will aid in producing rain and higher
elevation snow over the Pacific Northwest on Sunday. Heavy snow will
develop over parts of the Cascades and the Northern Intermountain Region
into Monday morning. In addition, overnight Sunday, a front will move
across the Pacific Northwest, lowering the snow levels over the region.

Elsewhere, moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico will start to stream
northward over the Southern Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley, and
Ohio Valley starting overnight Saturday. The moisture will aid in creating
scattered light rain showers over parts of the Ohio Valley overnight
Sunday into Monday. Furthermore, upper-level energy will assist in
creating light snow over parts of the Northeast overnight Sunday into
Monday morning.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 23, 2024

February 23, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Feb 23 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Feb 23 2024 – 12Z Sun Feb 25 2024

…Light snow over parts of Northern New England on Saturday…

…Light snow over parts of the Upper Midwest to the Central
Appalachians…

…Rain along the East Coast from the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast on
Saturday…

A front along the East Coast will move eastward off the East Coast by
Friday evening. The system will create snow over parts of Northern New
England and rain over Southern New England through Friday evening. In
addition, showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the
Southeast through late Friday night.

Meanwhile, a second front extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the
Northern Plains will move southward to the Gulf Coast States by Sunday and
eastward off the Northeast Coast by Saturday morning. A wave of low
pressure over southern Wisconsin will move southeastward to the Central
Appalachians by Saturday. On Friday, the system will produce light snow
over parts of the Northern Plains, Upper Mississippi Valley, and Upper
Great Lakes. Overnight Friday, the slight snow will move into parts of the
Ohio Valley and the Lower Great Lakes into parts of the Northeast. On
Saturday light snow will develop over parts of the Central Appalachians
and Southern Appalachians overnight Saturday. Light rain will develop over
parts of the southern Mid-Atlantic overnight Saturday, ending by Sunday.

Furthermore, upper-level energy moving over the Pacific Northwest to the
Northern Plains will create light snow over parts of the Northern
Intermountain Region/Northern Rockies through Saturday evening. A third
front will also move southward out of South-Central Canada into the
northern Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley by Sunday morning. Scattered
light snow will develop over parts of the Northern High Plains overnight
Saturday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 22, 2024

February 22, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
230 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2024

Valid 12Z Thu Feb 22 2024 – 12Z Sat Feb 24 2024

…Pleasantly mild across most of the country through the end of the
week…

…Showers and thunderstorms from the Gulf Coast to the Ohio Valley on
Thursday…

Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop across the Ohio Valley
and the Mid-South during the day on Thursday ahead of an approaching cold
front. The greatest rainfall totals with this event are expected roughly
from northern Kentucky to western Pennsylvania, where the combination of
moisture and atmospheric forcing will be the greatest. Isolated to
scattered coverage is expected across much of the Southeast U.S. and into
the Mid-Atlantic region, and possibly some mixed precipitation across
interior portions of the Northeast U.S. and snow for northern New England
going into Thursday night and Friday. Improving weather conditions are
likely by late Friday for most of the East Coast as the cold front moves
offshore.

It will feel more like March and early April across much of the nation to
close out the week, especially across the Plains and Midwest where highs
could easily be 10-20 degrees above late February averages. Widespread
60s and 70s will be common from Texas to the Deep South both Thursday and
Friday, and 50 degree highs could reach as far north as southern Minnesota
and southern Wisconsin on Thursday. A return to reality arrives in time
for the weekend as a cold front from central Canada brings more
January-like readings for the northeastern quadrant of the nation, while
the Great Plains continue to remain mild.

Elsewhere across the continental U.S., a mainly dry weather pattern can be
expected through Saturday with perhaps a few snow showers across portions
of the central and northern Rockies, and rain showers for portions of
western Oregon and Washington on Thursday. There may also be a few light
snow showers with the cold front crossing the Ohio Valley region Friday
night and the central Appalachians on Saturday, but nothing major
expected. Elevated fire weather conditions are forecast by the Storm
Prediction Center across portions of southwestern Texas owing to increased
winds and low humidity in the vicinity of a cold front passing though the
region.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 21, 2024

February 21, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon update can be found here if I have not updated it.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Feb 21 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Feb 21 2024 – 12Z Fri Feb 23 2024

…Rain and snow impacts across California come to an end today…

…Above average temperatures across the lower 48 into late week…

…Critical Fire Weather day over portions of the Southern High Plains on
Wednesday…

Rain and snow showers will gradually weaken across the state of California
today before coming to an end tonight. In the meantime, snow showers will
produce 6-12 inches of new snow for the Intermountain West and Central
Rockies. Surface cyclogenesis over the lee of the Rockies will support
strong west/southwesterly winds carrying dry air out of the Southwest and
into the Southern High Plains this afternoon. Thus, the Storm Prediction
Center issued a Critical Risk of Fire Weather over portions of
southeastern New Mexico into far western Texas.

The upper-level trough responsible for the unsettled weather in the West
will quickly move across the Rockies today and into the Plains by
Thursday. This will spawn a low pressure system over the Central/Southern
Plains which will tap some moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as it moves
across the Mississippi Valley. This interaction will produce rain showers
and scattered thunderstorms across the Midwest/Ohio Valley on Thursday.

Meanwhile, an upper ridge will generate temperatures that are well above
average across the Plains and Mississippi Valley today. Temperatures will
be anywhere from 20-30 degrees above average in these areas. Southerly
flow will send mild temperatures streaming into the East Coast on Thursday
ahead of the approaching low pressures system. The Florida peninsula will
remain below average temperature-wise through the end of the week.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 20, 2024

February 20, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon update can be found here if I have not updated it.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Feb 20 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Feb 20 2024 – 12Z Thu Feb 22 2024

…Heavy rain and heavy mountain snow in California are expected to become
less intense…

…A Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall remains in effect along portions
of coastal southern California today…

…Warming trend expected to expand from the Great Plains into the Midwest
through midweek…

Heavy rain, snow, high winds and thunderstorm impacts will gradually
diminish across California today, as the upper trough supporting them
pushes farther inland. A quasi-stationary front will be the focus for
additional heavy rainfall over southern California today. A Moderate Risk
of Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding (level 3/4) is in effect
for portions of Los Angeles and Orange Counties where between 1-3 inches
of rain are possible. Higher totals are expected along the immediate coast
and favored terrain of the Transverse Ranges. A broader Slight Risk area
(level 2/4) is in effect from Humboldt County down to San Diego, as well
as the Sacramento Valley and adjacent upslope areas of the Sierra.
Additional accumulations of 6-12 inches of snow are expected for the
Sierra, while 1-2 feet are likely over the Shasta Siskiyous today.
Persistent troughing and upsloping will support moderate to heavy snow
over the Intermountain West where generally between 6-12 inches of snow
can be expected. This snowfall is likely to continue into Wednesday and
expand in coverage into the Central Rockies.

Elsewhere, the ongoing warming trend is expected to continue across the
Great Plains and Mississippi Valley through Wednesday before moderating a
bit and resurging once again heading into the weekend. High temperatures
will be 15-25 degrees above average today and Wednesday over the Great
Plains and Mississippi Valley while mild air shift slowly into the Midwest
and East Coast. The Florida Peninsula will remain below average
temperature-wise due to a deepening upper trough in the western Atlantic.
A developing low pressure system will bring showers and thunderstorms to
the Midwest on Thursday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 19, 2024

February 19, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon update can be found here if I have not updated it.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
251 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2024

Valid 12Z Mon Feb 19 2024 – 12Z Wed Feb 21 2024

…There’s a Moderate risk of excessive rainfall along coastal southern
California today…

…Heavy Snow likely over Sierra Nevada and Shasta Siskiyous in
California…

…Warming trend expected to expand across the Great Plains through
midweek…

A potent upper-level low will continue directing subtropical moisture over
much of California today. Heavy coastal and low elevation rain,
thunderstorms, heavy mountain snow and high winds are all expected from
this Atmospheric River event. Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding
is possible for much of the state today. A Slight Risk of Excessive
Rainfall (level 2/4) is in effect from Humboldt to Orange County as well
as over parts of the Sacramento Valley and along upslope portions of the
Sierra. A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is in effect for parts of
the Sacramento Valley where an isolated tornado will be possible. A
targeted Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall is in effect for Santa
Barbara and Ventura where heavy rainfall will focus, especially over
elevated terrain. Heavy Snow will blanket the Sierra Nevada and Shasta
Siskiyous today as well, with those mountains forecast to receive 1-3 feet
(isolated higher) of snow by Tuesday morning.

The moisture feed into California will weaken considerably and sag south
on Tuesday, but the threat of Flash Flooding will persist across southern
California, in particular. Upslope flow into the Transverse ranges will
support a renewed threat of Flash Flooding. A Slight Risk of Excessive
Rainfall is in effect from Humboldt down through San Diego County on
Tuesday mainly due to sensitive soils from today’s heavy rain. Up to a
foot of additional snow accumulations with locally higher amounts are
possible over the Sierra and Shasta Siskiyous on Tuesday. Damaging wind
gusts should continue into Wednesday morning before gradually weakening.

Elsewhere, lake effect snow will come to an end this afternoon across the
Lower Great Lakes. Upper level ridging with embedded shortwave energy will
support a warming trend acrosss the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley
through midweek when anomalous temperatures are expected to reach their
peak for the week. High temperatures will be between 15-25 degrees above
average by Wednesday over much of the central U.S..

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 18, 2024

February 18, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon update can be found here if I have not updated it.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Feb 18 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Feb 18 2024 – 12Z Tue Feb 20 2024

…There’s a Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding
over portions of Southern California…

…Heavy Snow likely over Sierra Nevada and Shasta Siskiyous…

…Warming trend continues across Central U.S. through midweek…

A closed upper-level low will direct a plume of subtropical moisture into
California over the next few days. A low pressure system at the surface
will focus the moisture along its attendant surface fronts as it makes
it’s way into the state. Heavy Rainfall is expected for the coastal areas
as well as much of the inland valleys of northern/central California and
into the windward foothills of the Sierra beginning this evening. Some
instability will work it’s way into portions of southern California
tonight and continue into Monday morning, which will lead to the chance
for thunderstorms and increased rain rates. Thus, a Moderate Risk of
Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding (level 3/4) is in effect for
portions of Santa Barbara County tonight and expanding into Ventura on
Monday as the heavy rain drifts southward along a cold front. Slight Risks
(level 2/4) are in effect for Humboldt down to Ventura today and then
expanding down to Orange through Tuesday.

Meanwhile, heavy snow will develop over the Sierra and Shasta Siskiyous
tonight. This snowfall is expected to continue into Tuesday when the
Pacific moisture feed is likely to end. Between 2-4 feet of snow are
forecast for the Sierra and Shasta by Tuesday morning with locally higher
amounts possible. Elsewhere, a stalled out surface front will focus
showers and thunderstorms across the Florida Peninsula today. A stripe of
1-2 inches of rain is probable across central/southern portions of the
peninsula. Lake effect snow showers continue downwind of the Great Lakes
through Sunday night. An upper ridge with embedded shortwave energy will
support a warming trend across the Great Plains, Mississippi Valley and
Midwest over the next several days.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.