Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 16, 2023

January 16, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:50 p.m. EST January 16, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
223 PM EST Mon Jan 16 2023

Valid 00Z Tue Jan 17 2023 - 00Z Thu Jan 19 2023

...New storm system to bring heavy snowfall for the higher terrain of the
Four Corners region through Tuesday before advancing east into the Central
Plains on Wednesday...

...Severe thunderstorms are forecast to impact portions of the Lower
Mississippi Valley on Wednesday...

...Heavy rainfall and a localized threat of flash flooding is expected
from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Lower Ohio Valley on Wednesday...

...Much above normal temperatures are expected to overspread many areas of
the southern and eastern U.S. through midweek...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 15, 2023

January 15, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:05 pm EST Sunday January 15, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
137 PM EST Sun Jan 15 2023

Valid 00Z Mon Jan 16 2023 - 00Z Wed Jan 18 2023

...Rain and heavy mountain snow to continue across the West...

...Unseasonably warm temperatures in the central U.S. ahead of a
developing low pressure system this afternoon...

...Periods of snow and a wintry mix persist for coastal New England as the
rest of the East Coast begins a warm up Monday...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 14, 2023

January 14, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:25 p.m. EST Saturday, January 14, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
245 PM EST Sat Jan 14 2023

Valid 00Z Sun Jan 15 2023 - 00Z Tue Jan 17 2023

...Rounds of heavy rain and snow continue in the West through the
weekend...

...Unseasonably warm temperatures in the central U.S. ahead of a
developing low pressure system late Sunday...

...Conditions remain chilly across the East Coast and South with
temperatures near or below freezing spreading into Florida...
 

NOAA Updates it’s ENSO Outlook on January 12, 2023

January 14, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

On the second Thursday of every month, NOAA issues its analysis of the status of ENSO. This includes determining the Alert System Status. The best guess remains March.

But I have actually seen only a few signs of it starting to happen. But all the meteorologists agree that it will.  Could they all be wrong? Probably not.

Will this La Nina transition quickly to the El Nino phase? That would be unusual but some of the models suggest this will happen.  It seems likely that the ENSO Neutral Phase will at the very least have an El Nino Bias.

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 13, 2023

January 13, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:35 p.m. January 13, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
236 PM EST Fri Jan 13 2023

Valid 00Z Sat Jan 14 2023 - 00Z Mon Jan 16 2023

...Rounds of heavy rain and snow continue in the West through the
weekend...

...Unseasonably warm temperatures in the central U.S. through the
weekend...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 12, 2023

January 12, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:25 p.m. EST Thursday, January 12, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
242 PM EST Thu Jan 12 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Jan 13 2023 - 00Z Sun Jan 15 2023

...Atmospheric river expected to impact northern California and the
coastal Pacific Northwest through Friday night...

...Heavy snow possible across northern New England early Friday along with
a period of freezing rain/sleet...

...Heavy mountain snow expected in parts of the Sierra Nevada and Cascades
this weekend...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 11, 2023

January 11, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:05 pm Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
258 PM EST Wed Jan 11 2023

Valid 00Z Thu Jan 12 2023 - 00Z Sat Jan 14 2023

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Northern
California through Friday...

...Heavy snow for New England and rain/freezing rain over parts of the New
England and Central Plains/Middle Mississippi Valley...

...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Southeast on Thursday...

A Review of the U.S. 2022 Climate January 11, 2023

January 11, 2023Posted inClimateNo Comments

Here is the official Review of the 2022 Annual Climate. Actually, it is a summary of a summary. The full report will be released on January 12. John Batement does a good job of summarizing the summary report. I have provided his full report in the body of this article.

Here are my observations:

  • In terms of temperature, it was in the top third of the 128 years in the database, and in terms of precipitation, it was in the driest third of the 128 years of record. I am not impressed.
  • In terms of impacts, it was the third worst in the 43 years of record. That got my attention. I do not take this part of the report at face value. It needs further analysis.
  • In terms of drought it was the worst year in the 22 Year record of the Drought Monitor – Note we have 128 years of climate data but only 22 years of drought data.

Compared to the rest of the World, the U.S. got off lightly.  Below is John Bateman’s full report.

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 10, 2023

January 10, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:02 p.m. Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
248 PM EST Tue Jan 10 2023

Valid 00Z Wed Jan 11 2023 - 00Z Fri Jan 13 2023

...High Impact Heavy Precipitation will continue across much of California
through tonight...

...Heavy mountain snow will continue across the West through tonight...

...Next Atmospheric River arrives Wednesday and will impact northern
California and the Pacific Northwest...

...Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms possible in the Southeast on
Thursday...
 

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 9, 2023

January 9, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours from Monday Afternoon’s NWS forecast. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
232 PM EST Mon Jan 09 2023

Valid 00Z Tue Jan 10 2023 - 00Z Thu Jan 12 2023

...More high impact heavy precipitation on tap for much of California on
Tuesday and from northern California into the Pacific Northwest on
Wednesday...

...Heavy snows likely through the Sierra, Wasatch and Central Rockies...

...Arctic air to remain absent from the Lower 48 over the next several
days...