Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 15, 2023

June 15, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Jun 15 2023

Valid 12Z Thu Jun 15 2023 – 12Z Sat Jun 17 2023

…Numerous severe thunderstorms expected today across parts of the
central and southern Plains…

…Additional chances for flash flooding and severe weather throughout the
central/eastern Gulf Coast and Southeast, as well as into the central High
Plains through Friday…

…Mid-June heat wave underway across much of Texas and the Deep South…

…Poor air quality due to Canadian wildfire smoke forecast over the
northern Plains and Midwest today…

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 14, 2023

June 14, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:09 p.m. EDT June 14, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Wed Jun 14 2023

Valid 00Z Thu Jun 15 2023 - 00Z Sat Jun 17 2023

…Active stretch of heavy rain with the risk for flash flooding and
severe weather continues for the Southeast, Plains, and Rockies…

…Record-breaking and oppressive heat for portions of Texas and South
Florida…

…Unsettled and cool weather forecast across the Northeast; tranquil,
near-average conditions for the West Coast…

Looking back at May 2023 in the U.S.

June 13, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Every month NOAA takes a look at the prior month and sends me an email with their analysis. I am showing their full email report and I have added some additional images which support the report issued by NOAA. Some pretty interesting weather for May of 2023. This report also looks at the three-month period March through May which is meteorological spring. There has been a blocking pattern for some time which at least partially explains the west/east divide in the temperature and precipitation patterns. The NOAA report is very good and the state ranking graphics I added help to understand what has taken place as ENSO Neutral has tried to become El  Nino.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 13, 2023

June 12, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 10 31 p.m. EDT June 13, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Tue Jun 13 2023

Valid 00Z Wed Jun 14 2023 – 00Z Fri Jun 16 2023

…Severe thunderstorm and excessive rainfall threat located across the
Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast over the next few
days…

…Locally heavy rain possible within scattered thunderstorms throughout
the Intermountain West, Rockies, and central High Plains today…

…Triple digit heat to expand throughout most of Texas by the end of the
week; Critical fire weather today across southern New Mexico…

Carbon Dioxide Levels Continue to Increase June 12, 2023

June 12, 2023Posted inClimateNo Comments

There is a constant flow of news about Global Warming. One indicator of the drivers of Global Warming is the concentration of carbon dioxide concentrations. NOAA Report. We have previously explained how carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases cause the atmosphere to warm. Knowing the current level of carbon dioxide in the air is essential. Based on the assumption that we have a well-mixed atmosphere one could in theory measure it anywhere. An isolated place like Mauna Loa in Hawaii is ideal except when the volcano is erupting. Usually, it is close to a perfect location. It is measured in more than one place since the assumption that the atmosphere is well-mixed is an approximation. NOAA reports on the level monthly and I thought this would be a good time to provide one of their reports and explain the Keeling Curve.

 

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 12, 2023

June 11, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
345 AM EDT Mon Jun 12 2023

Valid 12Z Mon Jun 12 2023 – 12Z Wed Jun 14 2023

…Multi-day severe thunderstorm and flash flooding threat to continue
between the southern Plains and Southeast over the next few days…

…Instances of flash flooding and severe weather possible across parts of
the central High Plains and Mid-Atlantic today…

…Triple digit and potentially record-breaking heat expected throughout
much of central and southern Texas…

Colorado River and Utah Basins June 1, 2023 Condition Report Published on June 11, 2023 – Again Slightly Less Good than the Prior Month but Still Looking Very Good

June 11, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

The mission of the National Weather Service Colorado Basin River Forecast Center (CBRFC) is to produce river, flood and water supply forecasts for the Colorado Basin and the Great Basin in support of saving lives and property and to enhance the region’s environment and economy.

In this article, I am providing a summary of the situation as of June  1, 2023.  The situation is very good but flood risk from the snow meltdown has increased in a few places.

I have also included information on the current reservoir storage levels including a few that are outside of the Colorado River Basin.

The image below shows part of the area covered in the CBRFC Report.  The map shown here is only the Colorado Basin. The Eastern Great Basin is to the west of this map. The maps shown in the article cover both basins but are not as scenic as this map.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 11, 2023

June 11, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:22 p.m. Sunday June 11, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
357 PM EDT Sun Jun 11 2023
Valid 00Z Mon Jun 12 2023 – 00Z Wed Jun 14 2023

…Severe thunderstorms and an isolated threat of flash flooding will
exist across parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley
through this evening…

…Locally heavy rainfall and a threat for flash flooding will exist over
the central High Plains through Monday…

…Unsettled weather with a threat for additional rounds of severe
weather, heavy rain and possible flash flooding is expected Monday and
Tuesday from the Red River Valley of the South through portions of the
Mid-South and Gulf Coast states…

…Triple digit and potentially record-breaking heat builds into much of
Texas over the next few days...

June World Agriculture Production Report – June 2023

June 10, 2023Posted inagriculture, weatherNo Comments

Yes USDA monitors overseas crops as well as U.S. crops. This is done by the USDA Foreign Agriculture Service. I am reporting on this month’s report which just came out. It covers mostly May but it addresses the dam breach in Ukraine.

Some may find this information useful. Others will find it interesting. It is interesting to me that cool temperatures right now are more of a problem than warm temperatures. That is an interesting topic with respect to the impact of Global Warming. Many crops benefit from warm temperatures and sunshine to a point.   When that point is reached it becomes a problem. Stormy weather is usually bad for plants and predictable weather is an advantage.

There is a lot of information in this report but you have to look for it. The World is a very large place to be reporting on in a single article.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 10, 2023

June 10, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 6:57 p.m. Saturday, June 10, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Sat Jun 10 2023

Valid 00Z Sun Jun 11 2023 – 00Z Tue Jun 13 2023

…Severe thunderstorms expected across parts of the Southern Plains and
Lower Mississippi Valley through tonight…

…Locally heavy rainfall and some potential for flash flooding will shift
over into the Ohio/Tennessee valleys on Sunday, but will also still be a
concern for the central High Plains…

…Triple digit heat builds into much of Texas over the next few days…