Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 18, 2023

August 18, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Aug 18 2023
Valid 12Z Fri Aug 18 2023 – 12Z Sun Aug 20 2023

…Heavy rainfall and flash flooding becoming more likely over parts of
the Southwest…

…Critical fire conditions expected from the Northwest to the northern
High Plains today…

…Dangerous heat redeveloping over the central U.S…..

 

Crop Report August 17, 2023 – Corn and Soybeans have made remarkable recoveries.

August 17, 2023Posted inagriculture, weatherNo Comments

This article is based primarily on the August 15, 2023, USDA Crop Bulletin which covers the week ending August 13, 2023. The USDA report usually becomes available on Tuesdays. I have omitted a number of graphics that are available in the full USDA Crop Bulletin which can be accessed HERE.

It now seems like an average crop especially given the recovery of the corn and soybean crops as the drought in the important growing area for those two crops let up.

The article includes a short international review of agricultural conditions. I wanted to include a report on technology use in farming but the August version does not come out until later today so I will add it then.

We begin with the National Agriculture Summary.  The Tables below the summary have additional data. The boxes with my comments may be incomplete so for crops of interest check the data out yourself to be sure.

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 17, 2023

August 17, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Aug 17 2023
Valid 12Z Thu Aug 17 2023 – 12Z Sat Aug 19 2023

…Hot/record temperatures to shift focus out of the Northwest and into
the central U.S.; Critical Risk of Fire Weather in the Northwest…

…Showers, thunderstorms, and an increasing risk of flash flooding for
the Southwest...

…Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances continue along the East
Coast…

 

Looking Back at the Global Climate in July 2013 – This past July seems to have been the warmest July on record.

August 16, 2023Posted inClimate, weatherNo Comments

Please note the title was meant to be Looking Back at the Global Climate in July 2023, not July 2013.

Every month, John Bateman sends me a nice email. Actually, he sends me two: one about the U.S. and one about the world.  I have already published an article based on his U.S.-focused email and you can find it HERE. Two days ago he sent me the email for the world. Since they are emails, I usually can not provide a link to what he sent me. He is a spokesperson (not sure that is the right description of his job) for NOAA both NCEI and other parts of NOAA.  For this monthly article, all of the information in his email comes from the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information so the information he includes in his email and much more can be found HERE.

Since he is a very good writer I use a lot but not all of his material and supplement it with some additional material from the NCEI website or other NOAA websites. I have not indicated what I took from his letter and what I added but if someone has questions on that I can explain it.

Obviously the headline this month is that it looks like July has been the warmest July since this data has been collected.

This is the record of July-only land and ocean temperature anomalies and this July appears to have set a new record high. It is just speculation on my part but I think it is the stepwise rise in temperature we get with an El Nino.

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 16, 2023

August 16, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2023

Valid 12Z Wed Aug 16 2023 – 12Z Fri Aug 18 2023

…Dangerous Heat Wave continues over the Pacific Northwest/Northern
Rockies as heat builds back in over Texas Thursday…

…Severe thunderstorms possible for the Upper Midwest Wednesday…

…Showers, thunderstorms, and isolated flash flooding will continue
across the Four Corners region…

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 15, 2023

August 15, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Aug 15 2023
Valid 12Z Tue Aug 15 2023 – 12Z Thu Aug 17 2023

…Dangerous heat continues across the Pacific Northwest into the Northern
Rockies as much of the South sees a brief reprieve from recent oppressive
heat…

…Flash flooding and severe thunderstorms possible for portions of the
coastal Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas Tuesday…

…Monsoonal showers continue across the Four Corners region with some
locally heavy downpours possible…

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 14, 2023

August 14, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Aug 14 2023

Valid 12Z Mon Aug 14 2023 – 12Z Wed Aug 16 2023

…Flash flooding and severe thunderstorms possible for the Great
Lakes/Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic Monday, lingering along the coast into
Tuesday…

…Portions of the South to see a brief reprieve from the heat mid-week as
a heat wave intensifies across the Pacific Northwest into the Northern
Rockies…

…Monsoonal showers continue across the Four Corners region with some
locally heavy downpours possible…

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 13, 2023

August 13, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Aug 13 2023
Valid 12Z Sun Aug 13 2023 – 12Z Tue Aug 15 2023

…Flash flooding and severe thunderstorms possible for portions of the
Plains/Mississippi Valley Sunday, shifting to the Great Lakes/Ohio
Valley/Mid-Atlantic Monday…

…Dangerous heat persists across much of the South while another heat
wave begins across the Pacific Northwest Sunday…

…Monsoonal showers continue across the Four Corners region with some
locally heavy downpours possible…

 

World Agriculture Production and More: August 12, 2023

August 12, 2023Posted inagriculture, opinion, weatherNo Comments

Once a month USDA issues two reports on World Agriculture Production. The primary statistical report is issued by the USDA Chief Economist and the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service issues a companion report with is not as extensive but contains maps and other information that is always very interesting. I do not publish this article every month since it is difficult to prepare but this is a time of the year when the information is very relevant and important in terms of:

A. How it might be impacted by Global Warming and

B. The impact on the World GeoPolitical situation.

I am publishing it tonight and I may add some commentary tomorrow.

People like maps and graphs so we will start with those provided by USDA. It does not provide a total picture of World Production but many of what I will provide I think is interesting. There are so many that we will provide them without additional commentary. I am providing all of the maps and graphics but here is the LINK to the report.  This will be followed by the summary from the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report which is called WASDE. Here is the LINK to that report.  It contains a lot more information but in table form with no maps and graphics.

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 12, 2023

August 12, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Aug 12 2023

Valid 12Z Sat Aug 12 2023 – 12Z Mon Aug 14 2023

…Dangerous heat will persist across much of the South through this
weekend, with another heat wave expected to develop across the Pacific
Northwest Sunday…

…Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding possible Saturday for parts of
the Ohio Valley and Northeast, shifting to the Plains and Mississippi
Valley Sunday…

…Heavy rainfall expected for the High Plains late Saturday with
Monsoonal showers expected across the Four Corners region…