October 11, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical and World Precipitation

October 12, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Isolated Flash Flooding over parts of southern California through
Thursday morning, Flood threat shifts east through the end of the week...

...Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall over much of the Northeast Thursday
through Friday morning...

...Elevated Fire Danger for portions of the Central and Northern Plains
through Wednesday...

October 10, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical and World Precipitation

October 11, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern
High Plains through Tuesday morning...

...There are Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings in effect over portions
of the interior Northeast as well as coastal Maine tonight...

October 9, 2022: U.S. 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical and World Precipitation

October 10, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Pleasant weather continues in eastern third of nation as temperatures
climb closer to average...

...Frontal system moves onshore Pacific Northwest Monday evening, bringing
end to warm and dry conditions...

...Big warm-up across the Plains as temperatures soar into the 70s and 80s
early this week...

October 7, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus our usual 48-hour report.

October 8, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated on October 9, 2022 at 10:30 a.m. EDT rather than publishing a new more abbreviated article today.

NOAA updates many of its weather outlooks daily or even more frequently and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. We provide a daily report which focuses on the shorter-term predictions but also has links to all the partial-month outlooks. Because WordPress does not provide the ability to have these maps automatically updated, our daily report shows some of the maps which we update each evening plus the links to the other important weather forecast Maps.

Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the next 28 days.

The week 3-4 outlook is only updated by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Service once a week on Friday. Thus, when we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the media and online.

We also include In Part II of the article the other information from the daily 48-hour forecast article. Importantly, this time of the year, it includes updates on tropical events. In both Parts I and II we include some worldwide forecasts also. We also include tonight an interesting podcast that reviews the summer monsoon and discusses how the La Nina will impact Fall and Winter.

It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts If you read this article a few days or more after it is published. And there will be a totally updated version next Friday.

October 6, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 7, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Temperatures plunging across the Central U.S. as strong cold front
pushes southward...

...Much improved conditions in the Northeast through Friday before cooler
air filters in behind cold front...

...Daily showers and thunderstorms continue for the Southern Rockies/High
Plains and the Southwest, with isolated instances of flash flooding
possible...

...Pleasant weather across much of the West through the end of the week...

October 5, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 6, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Conditions finally improving across the Northeast as pesky upper-level
low moves further offshore...

...Plunging temperatures in the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi
Valley as a potent cold front begins pushing southward late Wednesday...

...Daily showers and thunderstorms continue for the Southern Rockies and
High Plains, with isolated instances of flash flooding possible...

...Pleasant weather across much of the West through the end of the week...

October 4, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 5, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

  Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Rainy, breezy, and cool conditions persist from the Mid-Atlantic to
southern New England through Wednesday...

...Showers and thunderstorms in the Southwest, with isolated heavy
rainfall...

...Above-average temperatures throughout the Plains and Midwest before a
strong cold front begins pushing southward late Wednesday...

...Pleasant weather across the Pacific Northwest and California through
the end of the week...

October 3, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 4, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Rainy, breezy, and cool conditions expand from Mid-Atlantic to southern
New England coast...

...Showers and thunderstorms expected across much of New Mexico...

...Above average temperatures forecast for the West Coast, Great Plains
and Mississippi Valley...

October 2, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus our usual 48-hour report.

October 3, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 7:08 p.m. EDT October 3, 2022 to have some of the maps be more up to date.

NOAA updates many of its weather outlooks daily or even more frequently and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. We provide a daily report which focuses on the shorter-term predictions but also has links to all the partial-month outlooks. Because WordPress does not provide the ability to have these maps automatically updated, our daily report shows some of the maps which we update each evening plus the links to the other important weather forecast Maps.

Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the next 28 days.

The week 3-4 outlook is only updated by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Service once a week on Friday. Thus, when we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. Since we are publishing this week on Sunday night it is only a 26-day view. This makes very little difference but I mention it simply to be technically correct. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the media and online.

We also include In Part II of the article the other information from the daily 48-hour forecast article. Importantly, this time of the year, it includes updates on tropical events.

It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts If you read this article a few days or more after it is published. And there will be a totally updated version next Friday.

NOAA Updates their October 2022 Outlook on September 30, 2022

October 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

 Drought expands in the Southern and to a lesser extent Central Great Plains. Anomalous wetness centered on Colorado and a cool/wet Mid-Atlantic Region.

At the end of every month, NOAA updates their Outlook for the following month which in this case is October. They also issue a Drought Outlook for the following month. We are reporting on that tonight.

There have been some significant changes in the Outlook for October and these are addressed in the NOAA Discussion so it is well worth reading. We highlighted some of the important changes within the NOAA Discussion.

Of significant interest is the Drought Outlook for October. Tropical activity has eliminated the East Coast Drought but we are beginning the increase in drought for the Great Plains that will likely continue until the end of this La Nina.

We have also included four months of Wildland Fire Potential Outlooks and also a map showing the year-to-date precipitation in the West. We also provide the Week 2/3 Tropical Outlook for the World