Sig Silber

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and three- and six-day World weather outlooks which can be very useful for travelers and understanding World News Events. We also provide continual coverage of world tropical events and special coverage for such events and other special weather situations impacting or likely to impact the United States.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast (SRF). The NWS text update (SRF) is updated twice a day around 3 p.m Eastern time and 1 a.m Eastern time.  The updates can be found HERE The times might be an hour later when we are on Daylight Savings Time.

The other images in this article automatically update with a few exceptions. The NWS Short-Range Forecast does not update automatically in my article because it is text not a graphic. I encourage you to click above as they do an excellent job and the page you go to has other features in addition to the Short Range Forecast. For many readers, the bullet points in the SRF may be all you need to read. I have maps below that show what is in the NWS SRF but sometimes a combination of words and images is helpful.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. The NWS SRF also provides the same way to get your local forecast.

If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Feb 16 2025
Valid 12Z Sun Feb 16 2025 – 12Z Tue Feb 18 2025

…Widespread showers with a line of strong to severe thunderstorms moving
across the East Coast today as flash flood threat diminishes across the
Ohio and Tennessee Valleys…

…Widespread moderate to locally heavy snowfall along with increasing
winds from the Great Lakes to New England today with a period of sleet/ice
from upstate New York to interior New England…

…A surge of arctic air will spread southward across the northern U.S.
for the next couple of days with snow developing from the northern Rockies
to the north-central Plains…

…Pacific system will bring more lower-elevation coastal/valley rain and
higher elevation snow to the Pacific Northwest…

An intensifying low pressure system responsible for the latest round of
impactful heavy rain event across the mid-Mississippi, Ohio and Tennessee
Valleys will continue to expand in size and track northeastward into New
England by this evening. Flash flooding threat across these impacted
areas will diminish as the heavy rain ends behind the system. Meanwhile,
a solid line of strong to severe thunderstorms, with possibly damaging
winds, will sweep from west to east across the East Coast today just ahead
of a potent cold front trailing south from the cyclone center. The front
will be moving off the East Coast later this afternoon, ending the severe
weather threat for the Eastern Seaboard. Near and to the north of the
cyclone track though, widespread impactful wintry weather can be expected
to move through the lower Great Lakes and New England today with moderate
to heavy snowfall. Areas ahead of and near the cyclone track will likely
see a period of sleet/ice, which can spread as far inland as the
Adirondacks in upstate New York, across the higher-elevation of interior
New England during the day today, and then through the southern half of
Maine into the evening. The deep low will also bring increasingly strong
winds across much of the East Coast. Arctic air will rush in behind the
big storm for the entire eastern U.S. for tonight, changing the rain to
snow along the western slopes of the central Appalachians where blizzard
conditions are possible over the western panhandle of Maryland. These
activities should slowly wind down as the system moves farther away but
lake-effect snow will once again makes its appearance along the Snow Belt
downwind from the Great Lakes Monday and into Tuesday.

Meanwhile, moisture from the next Pacific system will continue to bring
unsettled weather into the Pacific Northwest and northern California
through the next couple of days with lower-elevation rain and mountain
snow expected. The moisture will then penetrate further inland and
interact with an arctic front that will remain stationary along the spine
of the Rockies. Upslope snow will develop later today into Monday over
the northern Rockies with some moderate to locally heavy snow
accumulations possible. The snow will also spread into the northern High
Plains and toward the north-central Plains on Monday. By Monday night,
the coverage of the snow will expand into the central Plains as the arctic
airmass dips farther south and a wave of low pressure forms in the
southern Plains on the arctic front. By Tuesday morning, the risk of
freezing rain will begin to increase over central Oklahoma.

The aforementioned arctic air mass will be another major weather story as
well-below-average to dangerously cold temperatures overspreads the
eastern half of the country behind the big storm, especially for the
northern Plains. Life-threatening cold is expected for the northern
Plains with low temperatures into the -30s near the Canadian border for
the next couple of mornings. High temperatures will remain below zero.
Gusty winds will lead to windchill of 60 degrees below zero. Conditions
this cold can lead to frostbite in a matter of minutes. Further south,
forecast highs in the teens and 20s will be common across the central
Plains into the Midwest with 40s and 50s from Texas eastward into the
lower Mississippi Valley. More intense cold is expected here further into
next week. After a mild start ahead of the front along the East Coast,
colder temperatures will overspread these areas as well, with highs on
Monday dropping into the 20s to 40s for the Mid-Atlantic, 40s and 50s for
the Southeast, and 60s into Florida.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Feb 14 2025
Valid 12Z Fri Feb 14 2025 – 12Z Sun Feb 16 2025

…A western U.S. storm system bringing heavy rain into California and
widespread winter weather impacts across the Intermountain West…

…An impactful heavy rain and flooding event emerges over the Ohio
Valley, Tennessee Valley, and parts of the Appalachians this weekend with
severe thunderstorms across the Deep South…

…Widespread 6 to 10 inches snowfall expected from the upper Midwest
tonight, then through the Great Lakes into New England this weekend with a
swath of sleet/ice just to the south…

…Temperatures will be down to around 5-10 degrees below average across
much of the eastern U.S. followed by a more intense shot of arctic air
into the northern High Plains later this weekend…

A hyperactive weather pattern will bring an expansive low pressure system
across mainland U.S., resulting in widespread impactful weather to
progress from west to east across the country through the next few days.
The widespread heavy rain currently in progress across the lower
elevations of California, and mountain snows that have already overspread
much of the Intermountain West, are the harbingers of things to come for
the rest of the country. The expansive Pacific cyclone responsible for
the widespread inclement weather moving into the western U.S. will
continue to march eastward through the next few days. The heavy rain and
mountain snow impacting California this morning are expected to gradually
taper off later today into this evening when the center of the low
pressure system departs and redevelops over the High Plains.

Meanwhile, the latest surge of arctic air will bring a day of cold and
blustery conditions into the Northeast. But as the arctic high pressure
system quickly slides eastward into the East Coast this evening, moisture
well ahead of the low pressure system from the West will quickly reach the
upper Midwest where an outbreak of snow is anticipated tonight. A colder
surge of arctic air will also enter the northern U.S. this weekend, which
will provide energy for the low pressure system to develop and intensify
over the central Plains. This reinvigorated cyclone will become rather
expansive as it move across the Ohio Valley Saturday night into Sunday
morning. Widespread 6 to 10 inches of new snow is expected to fall from
the upper Midwest tonight, followed by the Great Lakes into New England
this weekend, along with a swath of sleet/ice just to the south possibly
as far south as the central Appalachians. As the cyclone intensify
further, the cold front trailing south of the cyclone center will become
quite potent, possibly bringing an outbreak of severe thunderstorms across
the Deep South Saturday night into Sunday morning ahead of the front. The
Storm Prediction Center has a Enhanced Risk from extreme eastern Texas to
western Alabama for the threats of large hail, severe wind gusts, and a
few tornadoes.

In between the wintry weather in the North and the severe weather in the
South, an impactful heavy rain and flooding event is forecast to emerge
over the Ohio Valley, Tennessee Valley, and parts of the Appalachians
during the weekend when the intensifying cyclone interacts with a warm
front coupled with an upper-level jet stream. A Moderate Risk for
Excessive Rainfall is in effect across these regions where rainfall totals
of 3-6 inches are forecast with locally heavier amounts likely in training
convection. Listen to your local officials and local weather forecast
office for more information regarding weather safety.

Much of the West and northern Plains will see below average temperatures,
while the South remains warm with many locations seeing high temperatures
over 80 degrees. The East Coast will be seasonably chilly with highs in
the 30s and 40s. As the next arctic outbreak reaches into the northern
High Plains, below zero temperatures are expected to appear near the
Canadian border this morning before plunging further down into the -20s by
Sunday morning.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Feb 13 2025
Valid 12Z Thu Feb 13 2025 – 12Z Sat Feb 15 2025

…There is a Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Thursday…

…There is a risk of rain/freezing rain over parts of the Pacific
Northwest with 0. 10 inches of ice accumulations possible on Thursday;
Rain/freezing rain over parts of the Northeast on Thursday and over parts
of the Central Plains to the Ohio Valley on Friday…

…Heavy snow over the Sierra Nevada Mountains and the highest elevation
across the West on Thursday; Heavy snow over parts of the Upper Midwest on
Friday…

…Temperatures will be 15 to 25 degrees below average across the
Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and the Central/Southern Plains…

On Thursday, an Arctic high over the Central/Southern Plains will slowly
move eastward to the off the Mid-Atlantic Coast by Saturday. The cold air
associated with the high will bring temperatures 15 to 25 degrees below
average across the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and the
Central/Southern Plains. The cold temperatures have prompted an Extreme
Cold Warning over the Northern Rockies to the Northern Plains. However,
the temperatures will start to moderate over the next few days.

A front extending from the Lower Great Lakes to Central Appalachians and
then to the Central Gulf Coast will move off the Eastern Seaboard by
Thursday evening. The system will produce showers and thunderstorms from
the Central Gulf Coast to the southern Mid-Atlantic that will linger over
parts of the Southeast overnight Thursday.

In addition, on Thursday, heavy snow will develop over Northern New
England and light to moderate snow will continue across the Great
Lakes/Ohio Valley, with heavier amounts downwind from Lakes Superior,
Erie, and Ontario. As the storm moves eastward, the ice storm ends in the
Central Appalachians. Ice accumulations from freezing rain will transition
to plain rain in the Central Appalachians. Dangerous travel conditions
will continue with ongoing power outages and tree damage. The snow over
the Great Lakes to the Northeast will wane on Friday morning.

Meanwhile, a strong storm will move onshore Thursday over the West Coast.
The associate area of low pressure will move eastward from Northern
California/Pacific Northwest on Thursday to the Central High Plains by
Friday evening. The system will continue to move into the Southern Plains
by Saturday.

On Thursday, the storm will produce heavy rain inland into the Central
Valley and Southern California. The rain will produce flash flooding in
urban areas, small streams, and some minor river flooding. Additionally,
the risk of flash flooding will be highest in and near recent burn scar
areas in Southern California. The flooding may include debris flows. Those
around recently burned areas should listen carefully to instructions from
local officials. Flash flooding in burn scars will be life-threatening.

Therefore, the WPC has issued a Moderate Risk (level 3/4) of excessive
rainfall over parts of Southern California through Friday morning.
Numerous flash flooding events are possible. Many streams may flood,
potentially affecting larger rivers. Flooding may include debris flows in
or near recently burned areas.

Moreover, significant mountain snowfall will develop as snow spreads into
much of the Western U.S. on Thursday and Friday. The heaviest snow will
develop in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, with 72 to 100 inches of snow.
Snow levels will rise through the event, but heavy snow is likely to cause
dangerous travel at many of the area passes due to snow-covered roads and
low visibility. Significant snow will also develop in the mountains of
Utah and western Colorado. Freezing rain will produce ice accumulations in
northwest Oregon, too.

Furthermore, as the energy from the storm moves into the Rockies and
Mississippi Valley, moderate to heavy snow will develop over parts of the
Upper Mississippi Valley and Upper Great Lakes on Friday into Saturday.
Showers and thunderstorms will also develop over parts of the Southern
Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley, along with the
adjacent portions of the Middle Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Further,
rain will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley and Ohio
Valley. Moreover, rain/freezing rain will develop along the rain/snow line
from the Central Plains to the Ohio Valley on Friday into Saturday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Feb 12 2025
Valid 12Z Wed Feb 12 2025 – 12Z Fri Feb 14 2025

…Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California
on Thursday; There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of
Northern/Central California and Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southern
Appalachians on Wednesday…

…Rain/freezing rain over parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians
to Lower Great Lakes with 0. 25 inches of ice accumulations possible on
Wednesday: Rain/freezing rain over parts of the Southern Plains to the
Ohio Valley/Great Lakes with 0. 10 inches of ice accumulations possible on
Wednesday…

…Rain/freezing rain over parts of the Pacific Northwest with 0. 10
inches of ice accumulations possible on Wednesday into Thursday;
Rain/freezing rain over parts of Northeast the with 0. 01 inches of ice
accumulations possible on Thursday…

…There is a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms over parts of the Lower
Mississippi Valley and the Southeast on Wednesday…

…Temperatures will be 25 to 35 degrees below average across the Northern
Rockies eastward to the Upper Mississippi Valley and southward to the
Southern Plains…

On Wednesday, an Arctic high over the Northern Intermountain Region to the
Northern Plains will slowly move southeastward to the Ohio Valley/Central
Appalachians by Friday. The cold air associated with the high will bring
temperatures 25 to 35 degrees below average across the Northern Rockies
eastward to the Upper Mississippi Valley and southward to the Southern
Plains. The cold temperatures have prompted an Extreme Cold Warning over
the Northern Rockies to the Northern Plains.

South of the Artic High, a front extending from the Southeast to the
Southern Rockies and then to the Great Basin will spawn a wave of low
pressure over the Tennessee Valley that moves northeastward to southeast
Ontario, Canada, by Thursday and then into Southeastern Canada by Friday.
On Wednesday evening, the associated front over the Tennessee Valley will
move off the Eastern Seaboard by Thursday evening.

The system will spread snow from the Central Plains into the Great Lakes
on Wednesday and into far northern New England by Wednesday night and
early Thursday. In Addition, bursts of heavy snow, accumulating at times
to an inch per hour, may lead to hazardous driving conditions and disrupt
travel. Heavier snow rates should develop in time for the evening rush
hour in Milwaukee, Chicago, Grand Rapids, and Detroit, among other
locations. Plan ahead if you are commuting. Further, a wintry mix of snow,
sleet, and freezing rain on the south side of the main snow band will lead
to hazardous travel conditions elsewhere in the Midwest and Northeast.

Moreover, a damaging freezing rain, ice event, will continue on Wednesday,
particularly in the Blue Ridge from far northwest North Carolina into
western Virginia and the Allegheny Mountains near the West Virginia and
Virginia border, with 0.25 inches of ice accumulations. Dangerous travel
is expected; power outages and tree damage are likely.

Furthermore, moisture from the Gulf will stream northward over the
Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and the Southeast on Wednesday.
The moisture will aid in producing showers and severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast. Therefore, the SPC
has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of
the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast through Thursday morning. The
hazards associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe
thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes.

Moreover, the showers and thunderstorms will have heavy rain. Therefore,
the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Southern Appalachians
through Thursday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly
localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams,
and low-lying areas the most vulnerable. On Thursday, the threat of severe
thunderstorms and excessive rainfall will decrease to a marginal risk over
the Southeast.

Meanwhile, on Wednesday, a storm over the Eastern Pacific will begin to
move onshore over the West Coast. The system will produce rain and
higher-elevation snow over parts of Central/Southern California. As the
storm moves farther inland, heavy rain will arrive late Wednesday Night in
Central California and then spread inland into the Central Valley and down
the coast to Southern California on Thursday. The heavy rain may cause
flooding in urban areas and small streams, as well as some minor river
flooding. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of
excessive rainfall over parts of Central California through Thursday
morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of
flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and burn scars the
most vulnerable.

The risk of flash flooding will be highest in and near recent burn scar
areas in Southern California. Flooding may include debris flows. People
living in or near recently burned areas should listen carefully to
instructions from local officials.

On Thursday, the threat of excessive rainfall increases over Southern
California. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Moderate Risk (level 3/4) of
excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California from Thursday into
Friday morning. Numerous flash flooding events are possible. Many streams
may flood, potentially affecting larger rivers. Flooding may include
debris flows in or near recently burned areas.

Also, on Thursday, coastal rain and higher-elevation snow will move into
the Pacific Northwest. Additionally, snow will spread into much of the
Western U.S. Thursday and Friday. The heaviest snow is expected in the
Sierra Nevada and Northern California mountains. Snow levels will rise
through the event, but heavy snow will likely cause dangerous travel at
many mountain passes due to snow-covered roads and low visibility.
Significant snow is also likely in the mountains of Utah and western
Colorado. Ice accumulations are possible in northwest Oregon.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Feb 11 2025
Valid 12Z Tue Feb 11 2025 – 12Z Thu Feb 13 2025

…Heavy snow over the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday; Heavy snow over the
Central Plains to the Great Lakes on Wednesday…

…Rain/freezing rain over parts of the Southern Plains to the
Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians with 0. 50 inches of ice accumulations
possible on Tuesday and Wednesday: Rain/freezing rain over parts of the
Southern Plains to the Northeast with 0. 10 inches of ice accumulations
possible on Wednesday…

…There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Lower
Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, and Southern Appalachians on Tuesday
and Wednesday…

…There is a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms over parts of the Lower
Mississippi Valley and the Southeast on Wednesday…

…Temperatures will be 25 to 35 degrees below average across the Northern
Rockies eastward to the Upper Great Lakes and southward to the Central
High Plains…

On Tuesday, an Arctic high over the Northern Plains will slowly move
southward to the Central /Southern Plains by Thursday. The cold air
associated with the high will bring temperatures 25 to 35 degrees below
average across the Northern Rockies eastward to the Upper Great Lakes and
southward to the Central High Plains. The cold temperatures have prompted
an Extreme Cold Warning over the Northern Rockies to the Northern Plains.

South of the Artic high, a front extending from the Southeast to the
Southern Rockies and then to the Great Basin will spawn a wave of low
pressure over the Lower Mississippi Valley that moves northeastward,
almost to the Southern Appalachians, by late Tuesday night. Additionally,
a second wave of low pressure just off the Southeast Coast moves northward
to near Cape Hatteras also by late Tuesday night and then moves out over
the Western Atlantic.

Moisture from the Gulf will stream northward over the Southern Plains and
Lower Mississippi Valley, intersecting the cold air moving south over the
Plains, producing an area of moderate to heavy snow over Central
Rockies/Plains into parts of the Middle Mississippi.

Moreover, showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the
Southern Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley on Tuesday,
producing heavy rain. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level
2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern Plains/Lower
Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley through Wednesday morning. The
associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash
flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas the
most vulnerable.

Meanwhile, a significant Winter Storm begins Tuesday. The storm will
produce heavy snow from northeast Kentucky into West Virginia through the
I-95 corridor from Richmond to Philadelphia. Snowfall rates will sometimes
reach 1 inch per hour, with heavy, wet snow totals of 4-8 inches expected.
Isolated power outages are possible, and travel may become extremely
hazardous (especially during the Tuesday evening commute).

In addition, a long-duration freezing rain event is expected to occur
across portions of the Central Appalachians, especially within the Blue
Ridge from far northwest North Carolina into southwest and central
Virginia. There is a high chance (60-80%) of 0.25 inch plus for ice
accumulations in these areas and a medium chance (30-50%) for 0.50 inch
plus of ice accumulations. The freezing rain will result in dangerous
travel and may cause power outages and tree damage. Further, rain will
develop over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and southern Mid-Atlantic
and will expand into parts of the Southeast by late Tuesday night.

Furthermore, a second wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the
Southern Plains on Wednesday morning and move northeastward to southeast
Ontario, Canada, by Thursday. On Wednesday, the system will produce severe
showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and
the Southeast. Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of
severe thunderstorms over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and the
Southeast from Wednesday through Thursday morning. The hazards associated
with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind
gusts, a few tornadoes, and a minimal threat of hail.

Moreover, the showers and thunderstorms will have heavy rain. Therefore,
the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Southern Appalachians from
Wednesday into Thursday morning. The associated heavy rain will create
mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small
streams, and low-lying areas the most vulnerable.

Furthermore, heavy snow will develop on Wednesday from parts of the
Central Plains to the Great Lakes, with snowfall rates of around 1 inch
per hour and a (>50% chance) of producing at least 5 inches of total snow
accumulation. A wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain over central/eastern
Oklahoma into the Ozarks will produce ice accumulation of a tenth of an
inch or more. Any amount of freezing rain could make for hazardous travel
on untreated surfaces.

One more system will start to move into the West Coast late Wednesday
night into Thursday morning. The Storm will produce rain and
higher-elevation snow over parts of the Pacific Northwest and California.

Elsewhere, lake-effect snow will wind down downwind from Lakes Superior,
Michigan, and Ontario on Tuesday. The heaviest snowfall will be over the
Keweenaw Peninsula in Northern Michigan and the Tug Hill Plateau in New
York State.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Feb 10 2025
Valid 12Z Mon Feb 10 2025 – 12Z Wed Feb 12 2025

…Heavy snow over the Central Plains and Ohio Valley into the
Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday…

…Rain/freezing rain over parts of the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi
Valley, and Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians with 0.25 inches of ice
accumulations possible…

…There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Lower
Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, and Southern Appalachians on
Tuesday…

…Temperatures will be 25 to 40 degrees below average across the Northern
Rockies/Northern High Plains…

On Monday, an Arctic front will extend from the Upper Great Lakes to the
Central Plains and into the Northern Rockies. The boundary will move
eastward to the Northeast by Tuesday evening. The western part of the
front will merge with a front extending from the southern Mid-Atlantic
across the Gulf Coast States to the Great Basin. In the wake of the front,
an Arctic high will move into the Upper Midwest by Tuesday evening. Cold
air associated with the high will bring temperatures 25 to 40 degrees
below average across the Northern Rockies/Northern High Plains.

Upslope snow will develop over parts of the Northern Rockies on Monday and
expand into parts of the Northern Plains, continuing to expand into the
Central/Plains/Middle Mississippi Valley by Monday evening. In the
meantime, a front extending from the southern Mid-Atlantic southwestward
to the Southern High Plains will aid in producing showers and
thunderstorms over the Southern Plains on Monday.

Also on Monday, moisture from the Gulf will stream northward over the
Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley, intersecting the cold air
moving south over the Plains, producing a broad area of light snow over
Central Plains and Middle Mississippi/Ohio Valleys. Showers and
thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Southern Plains/Lower
Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley on Tuesday. The storms will
produce heavy rain over the area. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight
Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern
Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley from Tuesday into
Wednesday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized
areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and
low-lying areas the most vulnerable.

Meanwhile, a winter storm exiting the Rockies on Tuesday will impact the
Central Plains Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Heavy snow is possible by
early Wednesday, with

snowfall rates of around 1 inch per hour may (>50% chance) produce at
least 5 inches of total snow accumulation for much of central Kansas along
the I-70 corridor.

Moreover, over central/eastern Oklahoma into the Ozarks, a wintry mix of
sleet and freezing rain may yield some ice accumulation of a tenth of an
inch or more from Monday evening into Wednesday morning. Any amount of
freezing rain could make for hazardous travel on untreated surfaces.In
addition, a significant winter storm with impactful wintry weather,
including snow and freezing rain, will spread across the Central
Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states Tuesday through Wednesday. Snow,
sleet, and freezing rain are all likely. Furthermore, heavy snow will
develop from eastern Kentucky through the I-95 corridor from Richmond to
Philadelphia. Snowfall rates may reach 1 inch per hour and likely be
heavy, wet snow, making isolated power outages possible. Travel will
become extremely hazardous, especially during the Tuesday evening commute.

Moreover, a long-duration freezing rain event will occur across portions
of the Central Appalachians, especially within the Blue Ridge from far
northwest North Carolina into southwest Virginia. More than 0.25 inch of
ice is likely (70%). The freezing rain will make travel dangerous and may
cause power outages and tree damage.

Elsewhere, lake-effect snow will develop downwind from Lakes Superior,
Michigan, and Ontario. The heaviest snowfall will be over the Keweenaw
Peninsula in Northern Michigan and the Tug Hill Plateau in New York State.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Feb 09 2025
Valid 12Z Sun Feb 09 2025 – 12Z Tue Feb 11 2025

…Snow will taper off across parts of the Northeast…

…Lake-effect snow downwind from the Great Lakes…

…Temperatures will be 10 to 25 degrees below average across the Northern
Rockies/Northern High Plains…

As low pressure moves off the Northeast Coast, the associated snow will
slowly taper off on Sunday. Lake-effect snow will develop over parts of
the Upper Great Lakes from Sunday into Tuesday. In addition, lake-effect
snow will develop downwind from Lake Ontario, starting later on Sunday and
continuing into Monday. Rain will continue from parts of the southern
Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians to the Lower Mississippi Valley, slowly
tapering off to over parts of the southern Mid-Atlantic and Lower
Mississippi Valley by Sunday evening.

Meanwhile, on Sunday, an Arctic front over Western Canada will move
southeastward to the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley and westward to the Great
Basin by Tuesday. In the wake of the front, an Arctic high will move into
the Northern Plains by Tuesday. Cold air associated with the high will
bring temperatures 10 to 25 degrees below average across the Northern
Rockies/Northern High Plains.

Upslope snow will develop over parts of the Northern Rockies on Sunday,
as weak onshore flow will produce coastal rain and snow over parts of the
Pacific Northwest. On Monday, the snow will expand into parts of the
Northern Plains, continuing to expand into the Central/Plains/Middle
Mississippi Valley by Monday evening.

In the meantime, a front extending from the southern Mid-Atlantic
southwestward to the Southern High Plains will aid in producing scattered
rain along the boundary through Monday morning. Also on Monday, moisture
from the Gulf will stream moisture northward over the Southern Plains and
Lower Mississippi Valley, intersecting the cold air moving south over the
Plains, producing a broad area of light snow over Northern/Central Plains
and Middle Mississippi/Ohio Valleys and Upper Mississippi Valley. Steadier
rain and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Southern
Plains/Lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley on Monday into
Tuesday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Feb 08 2025
Valid 12Z Sat Feb 08 2025 – 12Z Mon Feb 10 2025

…Moderate to heavy snow across parts of the Upper Great Lakes and heavy
snow over parts of the Northeast...

…Rain/freezing rain from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic with up to
0.25 inches of ice accumulations over the Central Appalachians…

…Light to moderate snow over parts of the Pacific Northwest and Northern
Intermountain Region…

A strong storm over the Central/Southern Plains will move northeastward to
off the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Coast by late Saturday night. The storm
will produce a swath of 4-8 inches of snow across parts of Minnesota and
the Great Lakes through Saturday evening. Hazardous travel is possible in
affected areas.

Moreover, heavy snow will impact the Northeast Saturday night into Sunday.
At times, snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour will produce as much as
6-12 inches of snow from Upstate New York through southern New England.
Hazardous travel is likely due to low visibility, snow-covered roads, and
slippery roads.

Furthermore, a wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will result in
light ice accumulations from the Ohio Valley into the northern
Mid-Atlantic, with significant icing possible in the Central Appalachians
up to 0.25 inches of ice accumulations. Power outages and minor tree
damage are possible where ice is the heaviest. Elsewhere, minor freezing
rain accumulations on roadways will make for dangerous travel. Be sure to
check conditions before venturing out and drive slowly.

In addition, rain will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi/Ohio
Valleys into parts of the Central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic Through
Saturday evening. From Saturday evening into late Sunday morning, rain
will continue from parts of the Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and
southern Mid-Atlantic. On Sunday evening, rain will develop over parts of
the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley and continue over parts
of the southern Mid-Atlantic.

Meanwhile, upper-level energy will move into the Pacific Northwest on
Saturday, producing coastal rain and higher-elevation snow. The snow will
expand inland to the Northern Intermountain Region overnight Saturday into
Sunday. The snow will move into parts of the Northern Rockies by Sunday
evening.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Feb 07 2025
Valid 12Z Fri Feb 07 2025 – 12Z Sun Feb 09 2025

…Moderate to heavy snow across parts of the Northern Intermountain
Region and the Northern Rockies…

…Moderate to heavy snow from the Northern High Plains to the Lower Great
Lakes and moderate to heavy snow over parts of the Northeast…

…Rain/freezing rain from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic on
Saturday…

A strong storm over the Pacific Northwest/Northern Intermountain Region
will move roughly eastward to off the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Coast by
Sunday. On Friday, the system will produce moderate to heavy snow over
parts of the Northern Intermountain Region/Northern Rockies. In addition,
light rain and higher-elevation snow will develop over parts of California
through Friday evening. By Friday afternoon, moderate to heavy snow will
expand out of the Northern Rockies onto the Northern Plains and into the
Upper Mississippi Valley by Friday evening.

On Saturday, the moderate to heavy snow will expand out of the Upper
Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes and into the Lower Great Lakes by
Saturday evening. Overnight Saturday, moderate to heavy snow will develop
over parts of the Northeast into Sunday.

Meanwhile, on Friday, along the eastern half of the associated boundary,
light rain will develop over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley into
parts of the Tennessee/southern Ohio Valley and eastward into parts of the
Mid-Atlantic. Early on Saturday morning, along the rain/snow line, light
rain/freezing rain areas will develop over parts of the Central
Appalachians. Also, rain will extend from parts of the Ohio/Tennessee
Valley on Saturday into the Mid-Atlantic. Moreover, light rain/freezing
rain will also develop over parts of the Ohio Valley and the Mid-Atlantic.
Up to 0.10 inches of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the
Northern Mid-Atlantic.

Furthermore, upper-level energy will move into the Pacific Northwest on
Saturday, producing coastal rain and higher-elevation snow. The snow will
expand inland to the Northern Intermountain Region overnight Saturday into
Sunday. Moreover, a wave of low pressure over the Central/Southern Rockies
will create light snow over parts of the Central Rockies.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code. If the Hazards Outlook is not updated click here but remember it does not update during the weekend.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.