Is ENSO Static? Are they all Alike? Is there a Trend? – Posted on April 3, 2024

April 3, 2024Posted inClimate2 Comments

There was a very interesting blog post on ENSO.Gov that tries to assess this El Nino in the context of other El Ninos and I think they have done a very good job. I have reproduced the blog post in this article. Those who want access to any comments that have been submitted to that blog post can find the post HERE. Remember that all posts on the Climate.Gov ENSO Blog are attributed to the author who in this case is Nat Johnson. All the ENSO Blog posts are excellent. This one is beyond excellent.

The above shows that the current El Nino which is winding down has been pretty close to what would be expected from a typical El Nino. It also shows how both the typical El Nino and the current El Nino compare to Normal or Climatology. You can easily see the differences. The analysis is for the Meteorological Winter months of December through February.

There is a lot more to this blog Post so some readers will need to click on “Read More” to access the rest of this very interesting analysis.  If you accessed this article via the url you will already have the full article and will not need to click on “Read More”.

ENSO Blog: “How does El Niño influence winter precipitation over the United States?” December 5, 2023

December 5, 2023Posted inClimateNo Comments

You can read this post on the ENSO Blog HERE but you might find it convenient to read it here.

It is a great article and very worthwhile reading.

I have not added any comments to it in the body of this article. Any comments I have are here in the lede.

A. I question some of the graphics. re the La Nina part of the graphic since -1 is not stronger than -2

B. I was shocked at how poor the performance of the models is.  I think how much of a coat our animals grow may be a better predictor.

It is an excellent article, you should read it.

Perhaps I should publish my analysis tool which I used to do. But I would have to update it and that is a lot like work. I think I have the information to do the analysis now

Maps of U.S. precipitation

Please click below to read the full article and the comments to the article that show up as footnotes.