Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 2, 2024
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the highlights from the NWS.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Jan 02 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Jan 02 2024 – 12Z Thu Jan 04 2024…Pacific system to bring coastal/lower elevation rain and mountain snows
to California and the Pacific Northwest Tuesday, spreading into the Great
Basin and Southwest Wednesday……Moderate to locally heavy rainfall expected with showers and
thunderstorms for portions of Texas and the Gulf Coast……Lake-effect snows downwind from the Great Lakes over the next couple of
days…
For those who may have missed the January update, here is the key graphic.
| I provide the link to the full report published on Monday in the body of this article. The above shows in the top row the updated outlook for January. The bottom row is the three-month outlook issued on December 21. Do I think that outlook is still valid? I have to say no. The changes made to the January Outlook raise questions about the three-month outlook. But NOAA says the changes were due to the MJO and AO. The MJO will not impact February and March based on what happened in January. It is not clear if the changes to the AO will carry into subsequent months. And it is not clear that the changes in the outlook were fully explained in the discussion issued with the updated outlook. So we will be in suspense until the new Seasonal Outlook is issued on January 18, 2024. |