September 29, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 30, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hurricane Ian forecast to make second landfall in South Carolina Friday
bringing wind, heavy rain, and the threat of severe weather to the
Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic...

...Unseasonably cool temperatures forecast across the Eastern U.S. to
start the weekend...

...Showers and thunderstorms expected across portions of the Rockies,
Great Basin, and Southwest...

September 27, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 28, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hurricane Ian is forecast to make landfall on the west coast of Florida
late Wednesday; slow forward motion of Ian will likely prolong impacts
from high winds, heavy rain, and flooding even for areas further inland...

...Cool weather expected to persist across the Northeast and Great Lakes
through at least mid-week...

...Well above average temperatures across much of the West, with excessive
heat continuing over parts of southern California, followed by arrival of
rain and cooler temperatures over the Pacific Northwest later on
Wednesday...

September 24, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 25, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Recent record heat coming to an end across the Central/Southern Plains
into the Lower Mississippi...

...Below average temperatures to spread from the Great Lakes into the Ohio
Valley, while much above average temperatures spread across the West...

...Rains from Ian to push northward into South Florida on Monday...

September 23, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus our usual 48-hour report.

September 24, 2022Posted inweather2 Comments

Updated slightly at 2 pm EDT on September 24, 2022

NOAA updates many of its weather outlooks daily or even more frequently and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. We provide a daily report which focuses on the shorter-term predictions but also has links to all the partial-month outlooks. One of the weather outlook maps issued by NOAA only gets updated on Fridays and since this covers weeks 3 and 4, it is very important. It covers half of the 28-day period and the discussion released with this map is often where possible changes to the weather pattern are first identified.

That is why we issue a special report on Fridays (which most will read on Saturday) in which we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader.  This provides a 28-day view of the future. We also include In Part II of the article the other information from the daily 48-hour forecast article. Importantly, this time of the year, it includes updates on tropical events.

It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts If you read this article a few days or more after it is published. And there will be a totally updated version next Friday.

As a bonus this Friday, we have included a look back at August 2022 this time on a worldwide basis. We covered precipitation but the major focus was on how August 2022 temperature fits into the modern record of yearly temperature. It is one way of looking at Global Warming(GW). Recently we reviewed August in regards to the U.S. Lower 48 States.