Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted April 22, 2024

April 22, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Apr 22 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Apr 22 2024 – 12Z Wed Apr 24 2024

…Shower and thunderstorm chances stretch from the Upper Midwest and
Great Lakes to the Southern Plains over the next few days…

…Chilly and frosty start to Earth Day throughout the Ohio Valley and
Mid-Atlantic, while well above average temperatures remain in place across
much of the Southwest/Great Basin…

Precipitation chances are expected to remain mostly scattered and light
throughout much of the Nation into midweek as atmospheric moisture content
remains sparse following the passage of a strong cold front into the Gulf
of Mexico and western Atlantic. A few thunderstorms are possible across
the central and southern Florida Peninsula today as the aforementioned
cold front makes it’s final exit. A few storms could turn severe and
produce damaging wind gusts and hail. Thus, the Storm Prediction Center
has issued a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for severe weather across southeast
Florida. Otherwise, rain chances are forecast to progress eastward from
the northern Plains to the Upper Midwest today along a swiftly moving
Pacific cold front. By Tuesday, rain chances are anticipated to stretch
from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley to the Southern Plains. The heaviest
rain associated with this system is possible across parts of
central/eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas on Wednesday, but this
aspect of the forecast remains somewhat uncertain.

Temperatures are expected to start off in the 30s throughout much of the
Midwest, Ohio and Tennessee valleys, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast as strong
high pressure leads to clear skies and cold temperatures at ground-level.
Lows into the low 30s are likely to lead to frost/freeze conditions and
has prompted Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings for much of the region
where the growing season has already begun. Warmer weather is forecast to
begin spreading eastward on Tuesday, but will be short-lived as the next
shot of cold air enters the Great Lakes Tuesday night. Warmer weather is
anticipated to remain throughout the Southwest, Great Basin, and parts of
the Southern Plains through midweek. Highs can be expected to reach into
the 70s and 80s, with 90s and low 100s in the typical warm spots
throughout the Desert Southwest.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted February 26, 2024

February 26, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Feb 26 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Feb 26 2024 – 12Z Wed Feb 28 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of the Cascades, the Northern Intermountain
Region, Northern/Central Rockies, Sierra Nevada Mountains, and higher
elevations of the Great Basin…

…Moderate to heavy snow over parts of the Upper Midwest…

…There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio
Valley/Great Lakes on Tuesday…

A strong winter storm and cold front will move across the Pacific
Northwest to the Central Rockies by Tuesday evening. The strong cold front
will continue progressing through the region, reaching the Northern
Rockies on Monday and the Central Rockies on Tuesday.

The storm will create near-blizzard conditions, resulting in dangerous
travel. Snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are expected over the Oregon
Cascades and Northern Rockies Monday before spreading into the Great Basin
and Central Rockies Tuesday. These snow rates combined with winds gusting
50-65 mph will produce near-blizzard conditions with significantly reduced
visibility and snow-covered roads leading to dangerous travel.

Moreover, significant snow accumulations are expected, with snow totals
greater than 2 feet are expected (greater than 80% chance) in the Cascades
through Tuesday, with locally as much as 4 feet possible in the highest
terrain. Elsewhere across the Intermountain West, there is a high chance
(greater than 70%) of more than 1 foot of snow in the higher elevations.
Lowering snow levels to near sea level will also produce some
accumulations onto the valley floors.

Furthermore, widespread snow squalls are expected to develop along the
path of the cold front on Monday and Tuesday. Where snow squalls occur,
intense snow rates will produce rapid drops in visibility and icing on
roadways, resulting in dangerous travel.

In addition, much colder air will move in behind the strong cold front.
Temperatures will fall into the teens and single digits by Tuesday morning
along and east of the Rockies.

Meanwhile, southerly wind will bring warm temperatures to the Plains ahead
of the strong cold front. The warm and dry conditions with gusty winds
across the Southern High Plains have resulted in a Critical Risk of Fire
Weather (level 2/3) from the Storm Prediction Center on Monday, which is
likely to continue into Tuesday.

Additionally, moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico will stream
northward over the Southern Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley, and
Ohio Valley. The moisture will aid in creating scattered light rain
showers over parts of the Ohio Valley. By Tuesday, the moisture will
produce showers and severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio Valley.
Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio Valley, Middle Mississippi Valley,
and Great Lakes from Tuesday through Wednesday morning. The hazards
associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe
thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes. Further, on Tuesday,
there is an increased threat of hail two inches or greater over parts of
northern Illinois and Indiana, plus northwestern Ohio.

Moreover, as the strong front moves out of the Rockies onto the Plains,
light to moderate snow will develop over parts of the Northern
Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley on Monday. Moderate to heavy snow will
develop overnight Monday into Tuesday over northern Minnesota. Similarly,
overnight Tuesday into Wednesday, light to moderate snow will develop over
part of the western U.P. of Michigan. Elsewhere, showers and thunderstorms
will move into parts of the Central Appalachians and northern
Mid-Atlantic, with showers and thunderstorms extending into parts of the
Lower Mississippi Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

October 2, 2022 Looking Ahead 28 Days Plus our usual 48-hour report.

October 3, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 7:08 p.m. EDT October 3, 2022 to have some of the maps be more up to date.

NOAA updates many of its weather outlooks daily or even more frequently and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. We provide a daily report which focuses on the shorter-term predictions but also has links to all the partial-month outlooks. Because WordPress does not provide the ability to have these maps automatically updated, our daily report shows some of the maps which we update each evening plus the links to the other important weather forecast Maps.

Once a week we show many of the actual forecast maps not just provide the links to these maps. This makes it easier for the reader. Our report provides a separate forecast for Days1-5, Days 6 -10, Days 8 – 14, and weeks 3 and 4. This provides information that is useful to readers in terms of planning their activities for the next 28 days.

The week 3-4 outlook is only updated by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Service once a week on Friday. Thus, when we publish on Friday night, it provides a 28-day view of the future. Since we are publishing this week on Sunday night it is only a 26-day view. This makes very little difference but I mention it simply to be technically correct. What is important is that this is a longer-term view than one that is typically available in the media and online.

We also include In Part II of the article the other information from the daily 48-hour forecast article. Importantly, this time of the year, it includes updates on tropical events.

It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts If you read this article a few days or more after it is published. And there will be a totally updated version next Friday.

October 1, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 2, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Central
Appalachians through Sunday morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Great
Basin and the Central Rockies from Sunday into Monday morning...

...Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees below average over parts of the
Mid-Atlantic...

September 30. 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

October 1, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Ian to continue moving inland across the Carolinas this evening,
producing strong winds, heavy rain, and coastal hazards across the
Mid-Atlantic...

...Showers, thunderstorms, and high elevation snow expected across
portions of the Rockies and Southwest...

...Well above average temperatures forecast across the Pacific Northwest...

September 29, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 30, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hurricane Ian forecast to make second landfall in South Carolina Friday
bringing wind, heavy rain, and the threat of severe weather to the
Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic...

...Unseasonably cool temperatures forecast across the Eastern U.S. to
start the weekend...

...Showers and thunderstorms expected across portions of the Rockies,
Great Basin, and Southwest...

September 28, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 29, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Major Hurricane Ian makes landfall on the west coast of Florida, with
catastrophic storm surge, destructive major-hurricane force winds, and
torrential rainfall ongoing...

...Ian's interaction with a front will likely prolong impacts from high
winds, heavy rain, and flooding even for areas further inland through
Thursday...

...Cool and dry weather for the rest of the eastern half of the country
but heavy rain and strong winds from Ian is forecast to edge toward the
Southeast U.S. on Friday...

...Well above average temperatures persist across much of the West, with
excessive heat continuing over parts of southern California, followed by
arrival of rain and cooler temperatures over the Pacific Northwest later
today and into the northern Rockies on Thursday...

September 27, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 28, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hurricane Ian is forecast to make landfall on the west coast of Florida
late Wednesday; slow forward motion of Ian will likely prolong impacts
from high winds, heavy rain, and flooding even for areas further inland...

...Cool weather expected to persist across the Northeast and Great Lakes
through at least mid-week...

...Well above average temperatures across much of the West, with excessive
heat continuing over parts of southern California, followed by arrival of
rain and cooler temperatures over the Pacific Northwest later on
Wednesday...

September 26, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 27, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3 am EDT September 27, 2022 to incorporate the latest information on Hurricane Ian.

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Hurricane Ian sets path towards Florida with the threat of flooding,
high winds, and severe weather increasing...

...Heavy rain continues for portions of the Lower Great Lakes Tuesday...

...Cool and unsettled weather expected to persist across the Northeast and
Great Lakes through at least mid-week...

...Well above average temperatures forecast throughout the West, with
excessive heat impacting parts of southern California...

September 25, 2022: 48-Hour Weather Report and Intermediate-Term Outlooks; Tropical

September 26, 2022Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to this evening and the next 48 hours from this afternoon’s NWS Forecast.

...Cool and unsettled weather expected across the Northeast and Great
Lakes over the next few days...

...Well above average temperatures forecast throughout the West, with
excessive heat impacting parts of southern California...

...Isolated flash flood concerns for portions of central and southern
Florida through Monday before hazardous conditions associated with
Tropical Storm Ian approach southern Florida on Tuesday...