Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 1, 2025
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Dec 31 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Jan 01 2025 – 12Z Fri Jan 03 2025…Coastal storm to bring rain and snow showers to the Northeast New
Year’s Day……Warming trend for the western U.S. while the northern/eastern U.S.
experiences colder temperatures through the end of the work week……Long duration lake effect snow event expected to begin unfolding
tomorrow downwind of the Great Lakes…An area of low pressure will move across the interior Northeast/Quebec
while a secondary low pressure system develops along the New England Coast
today. Colder temperatures will filter into the eastern U.S. behind a
trailing cold front which will allow for a changeover to snow for interior
portions of the Northeast on New Year’s Day as the surface low deepens and
slowly tracks northward into eastern Quebec. This storm will mark the
beginning of a pattern change for the lower 48 where colder air will sink
southward from central Canada into the northern Plains, eventually
sweeping eastward. From the northern to eastern U.S., temperatures will
fall each day with values approaching average for New England on Thursday
while below average temperatures stretch from northern Montana to the
Mid-Atlantic and Southeast coasts. The colder air flowing across the still
relative warmth of the Great Lakes will set up a favorable pattern for
lake effect snow showers, starting today, which should persist through the
end of the week. Snowfall accumulations are expected to be greatest for
locations east of Lake Ontario and Erie through Thursday evening with 6 to
12+ inches in the forecast, but additional snow is likely into the weekend
as well.Across the West Coast, a series of Pacific fronts will track into northern
California, Oregon and Washington over the next couple of days and weaken
as they move inland. These systems will bring light, moderate and
occasionally heavy rain to the coast of northern California and Oregon
where 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected through Thursday evening. Lighter
rainfall is expected farther north into western Washington while
accumulating snow falls into the Northern/Central Rockies, with the
highest snowfall accumulations expected for there through Thursday (6-18
inches, depending on elevation).In addition, an increase in fire weather concerns for parts of the
Transverse Ranges of southern California will exist today, with an
Elevated Risk for of the spreading of wildfires lingering in southern
California for New Year’s Day. Gusty winds and low relative humidities
will contribute to the risk. Regarding temperatures, many locations west
of the Rockies will experience a warming trend over the next few days as
an upper ridge begins to build across the Southwest.