Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 23, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Mar 23 2024
Valid 12Z Sat Mar 23 2024 – 12Z Mon Mar 25 2024

…Swath of Heavy Snow to impact portions of northern Vermont, New
Hampshire and Maine today…

…Significant Winter Storm likely across parts of the Northern Plains and
Upper Midwest; Severe Weather and Critical Fire Risk over Central/Southern
Plains on Sunday...

…Excessive Rainfall concerns along DC to Boston urban corridor today…

A number of low pressure systems will produce unsettled weather across the
East and West Coasts today. In the East, a northern stream system will
bring heavy snow to interior Northeast/northern New England today. Winter
Storm Warnings are in effect from northeastern New York through Vermont,
New Hampshire and Maine where a swath of heavy snow will likely dump
between 6-12 inches with isolated higher amounts through tonight. To the
south, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to impact the rest
coastal Northeast down to the southern tip of Florida today. A
particularly heavy axis of rainfall is forecast to setup along the I-95
corridor from Washington DC to Boston today where a Slight Risk of
Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding is in effect (level 2/4).
Conditions improve across the East Coast on Sunday.

Out West, a potent upper-level low will promote coastal scattered to
isolated thunderstorms and low elevation rain showers, while heavy snow
blankets the Sierra and Shasta Siskiyous today. Snow showers spread into
the Rockies this afternoon. Snowfall totals of 6-12 inches are expected
for the aforementioned areas by the end of the weekend. The upper trough
associated with the unsettled weather in the West will be responsible for
the development of a major winter storm over the Northern Plains and Upper
Midwest beginning today.

An extensive and high impact storm system will produce widespread heavy
snow and gusty winds over the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest through
early next week. Heavy snow will likely spread across much of central and
eastern Montana tonight, then expand into the Northern Plains and Upper
Midwest on Sunday and continue into Monday. There is a high chance (>70%)
of at least eight inches of snow extending from portions of the Dakotas
and north-central Nebraska northeastward through Minnesota and into
northern Wisconsin. Heavy snow and gusty winds will produce areas of
blowing and drifting snow and possible blizzard conditions Sunday into
Monday. Hazardous travel and road closures are expected late Saturday into
early next week. Strong Winds and heavy, wet snow on trees and power lines
may result in tree damage and power outages. Blustery wind gusts in excess
of 50 mph on Sunday may result in power outages, blowing dust that results
in reduced visibility and damage to property.

There are severe and fire weather concerns within the warm sector of this
dynamic system. There’s a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms (level 2/5)
across parts of Kansas and Oklahoma on Saturday, where large hail and a
few tornadoes will be the main threats. Strong southwesterly flow
beginning today will support an elevated fire weather threat over far
western Texas. Rapid cyclogenesis and strengthening of the Plains winter
storm will lead to increased dry southwesterly flow into the
Central/Southern High Plains behind a well-defined dry line on Saturday.
These conditions will support a Critical Fire Weather threat on Saturday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

For those who may have missed the Seasonal Outlook article yesterday, here is a graphic that covers April and the three months April/May/June. But the Four Season Outlook is likely to have negative impacts for various parts of the U.S. so I recommend that you read the full article which you can access HERE.

But in terms of April and the three-month outlook, the below graphic provides a single graphic summary of the near term. It is the intermediate-term and long-term that is more concerning.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 22, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Mar 22 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Mar 22 2024 – 12Z Sun Mar 24 2024

…Heavy snow likely for portions of the Lower Great Lakes and interior
Northeast…

…A wet weekend ahead for the East and West Coasts…

…Significant Winter Storm likely across the Northern Plains and into the
Upper Midwest late this weekend into early next week…

A developing low pressure system will produce snow showers across parts of
the Midwest and Upper Great Lakes today. This same system will shift into
the Ohio Valley this evening and dump a swath of heavy snow from downwind
areas of Lake Ontario into much of central/northern New England. Snowfall
totals of 6-12 inches are expected by Sunday morning for those areas.

A second system will track across the Gulf Coast and dump showers and
thunderstorms over the Southeast and into the Mid-Atlantic today/tonight.
Heavy rainfall within scattered to isolated thunderstorms will spread
across the Carolina coast and up the Mid-Atlantic to Northeast urban
corridor where 1-3 inches of rainfall are possible with isolated higher
amounts. A Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall leading to Flash Flooding
(level 2/4) is in effect from southern Maryland and the DC Metro area up
the coast through Philly, NYC and into Boston’s metro on Saturday.

A third system in the Gulf of Mexico will propagate toward the Straits of
Florida where it will stall out later today. Anomalous moisture from the
subtropical Pacific will join with moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to
produce heavy to Excessive Rainfall as well as strong to severe
thunderstorms over extreme southern portions of Florida this afternoon and
evening. Thus, Slight Risks of Excessive Rainfall (level 2/4) and Severe
Thunderstorms (level 2/5) are in effect for this area.

Elsewhere, a deep low pressure system will bring unsettled weather to the
West this weekend. Heavy rain is likely to focus over coastal areas of
northern California into southern Oregon, while heavy snow develops over
the northern/central Sierra and Shasta Siskiyous. Anywhere between 2-4
feet of snow are likely for those areas with isolated higher amounts
possible. This system will weaken as it moves inland and spreads snow
showers across the Rockies on Saturday. By Sunday, this system will begin
to redevelop over the Front Range into a significant Winter Storm.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 21, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Mar 21 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Mar 21 2024 – 12Z Sat Mar 23 2024

…Gusty winds and snow showers linger across Maine today as the next
winter storm approaches northern New England by Saturday…

…Swath of light to moderate snow spreads from the northern Plains to the
Great Lakes by Friday; strong winter storm expected this weekend…

…Thunderstorms and heavy rain return to the Gulf Coast today before
unsettled weather shifts to the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic…

Winter is set to make a strong return over the next several days across
the Northern Tier as multiple rounds of potentially heavy snow impact
parts of the Nation. A potent storm system rapidly strengthening over
eastern Maine is already producing locally heavy snow throughout The Pine
Tree State. Additional periods of snow can be expected through this
evening, as well as gusty winds associated with the developing tight
pressure gradient. The March (weather) madness is forecast to continue by
late Friday into Saturday as the next winter storm approaches the Interior
Northeast and New England. Snowfall probabilities for at least 8 inches of
snow are high (greater than 70%) throughout northern Vermont, New
Hampshire, and much of interior Maine. Additionally, there exists modest
probabilities (50-70%) for over a foot of snow in these regions. Residents
and visitors are advised to remain weather aware and plan ahead if
traveling between Friday night and Saturday in this part of the country
due to the possibility of treacherous travel.

Snow is also anticipated to produce impacts from the northern Rockies and
northern Plains to the Great Lakes, with two systems impacting the region.
The first system is currently spreading light to moderate snow from
northeast Montana to the Dakotas and is expected to expand into the Upper
Midwest and Great Lakes by Friday. Outside of the higher terrain of
northwest Montana, the heaviest amounts are expected to stretch from
southeast North Dakota and northeast South Dakota towards southern
Wisconsin and central Michigan. More specifically, probabilities for at
least 4 inches of snow are highest throughout parts of Wisconsin and
Michigan. However, snowfall accumulation could be limited to grassy
surfaces due to the increasing March sun angle and snow falling during the
daylight hours. In case this round of snow wasn’t enough, a separate
system is forecast right on the heels of the first and expected to begin
spreading snowfall throughout the Northern Plains on Saturday. This storm
will be a part of a larger upper level trough entering the West Coast on
Friday and spreading precipitation inland. Heavy snow is likely throughout
the Sierra and high elevations of the Intermountain West, central and
northern Rockies. Additional heavy snow and winter weather impacts will
continue into early next week across much of the northern Plains.

More spring-like weather is forecast throughout the Gulf Coast today as
showers and thunderstorms develop along a forming frontal boundary over
the Texas coastline as well as underneath an upper low over the southern
Plains. A few storms could turn severe across parts of Texas and southwest
Louisiana. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk (level
2/5) of severe thunderstorms across southeast Texas in order to highlight
the potential for large hail, strong wind gusts, and isolated tornadoes.
Additionally, heavy rain could lead to isolated flooding concerns for
parts of the southern Plains and western Gulf Coast today. This system and
associated storminess are forecast to slide east on Friday towards the
Southeast and southern Florida. The greatest impacts are expected across
South Florida, where a few storms could become severe and heavy rain could
lead to urban flooding impacts. A Slight Risk (level 2/4) of Excessive
Rainfall has been issued for the Gold Coast. By Saturday, moisture surging
northward along a frontal boundary is expected to provide focus for heavy
rain along the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coastline, with the potential
for flash flooding where heavier rainfall occurs.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 20, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Mar 20 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Mar 20 2024 – 12Z Fri Mar 22 2024

…Snow showers and gusty winds forecast throughout the Northeast over the
next few days…

…Light to moderate snow spreads from the northern Plains to the Great
Lakes by Friday…

…Shower and thunderstorm chances return to the Southern Plains and Gulf
Coast…

A rapidly deepening low pressure system maturing over eastern Maine early
Thursday is anticipated to produce periods of snow across the Interior
Northeast and New England, while also reinforcing lake effect snow showers
in its wake. High probabilities (80-90%) for at least 4 inches of snow
exist across much of northern and central Maine, with lower probabilities
extending into northern Vermont, New Hampshire, and Upstate New York.
Gusty westerly winds up to 50 mph are also possible across parts of
Vermont and Maine on Thursday as the potent storm system creates a tight
pressure gradient over the Northeast. Additionally, the cold and dry
airmass in place combined with gusty winds will create fire weather danger
throughout the Mid-Atlantic. Red Flag Warnings have been issued across
much of Virginia.

A separate winter storm is anticipated to produce a swath of snow between
the northern Plains and Great Lakes by the end of the week, with snow
beginning today across the northern High Plains. A wave of low pressure
developing over a lingering stationary front will help trigger the
developing precipitation shield and shift snowfall eastward by Thursday
night. High probabilities for at least 4 inches of snow exist across
northwest Montana, with medium to high probabilities (40-80%) extending
from north-central Montana to central Minnesota, including southern South
Dakota. Greater chances for moderate to heavy snow shifts to the Upper
Midwest and Great Lakes by Friday, where there is the potential for up to
10-12 inches of snow. Residents should remain weather aware and up to date
with the latest forecast as uncertainty remains regarding the exact
location of heavy snowbands.

Elsewhere, unsettled weather is set to return to the southern Plains, Gulf
Coast, and parts of the West Coast. An upper low lingering over the
Southwest is expected to finally eject into the southern Plains tonight
and spark showers and thunderstorm over portions of Oklahoma and Texas. By
Thursday, rain could become heavy enough along the western Gulf Coast and
southeast Texas to produce isolated flooding concerns. This system is
forecast to progress eastward into the Gulf of Mexico on Friday, spreading
showers and thunderstorms along the entire Gulf Coast, as well as
eventually Florida and the Southeast by late Friday. However, both the
severe and flooding threat associated with this system remain marginal.
For the West Coast, light to moderate rain is expected to move inland
across northern California and the coastal Midwest on Friday. As the axis
of precipitation along a frontal boundary intersects the Sierra on Friday
night, heavy snow is possible throughout the mountainous terrain.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 19, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Mar 19 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Mar 19 2024 – 12Z Thu Mar 21 2024

…Lake effect snow continues across the Great Lakes before a developing
low pressure system spreads snowfall east into northern New England on
Wednesday…

…Light to moderate snow enters the northern Plains midweek and pushes
into the Upper Midwest on Thursday…

…Shower and thunderstorm chances return to the southern Plains and
western Gulf Coast…

Cold northwest flow crossing over relatively warm lake waters will lead to
additional lake effect snow showers today, which will be further enhanced
as a low pressure system crosses from southern Ontario, Canada towards
Maine by early Thursday. Greatest probabilities for at least 4 inches of
snow exist across the eastern U.P. of Michigan and the Tug Hill Plateau of
western New York. As the low pressure system deepens over eastern Maine on
Thursday, additional snowfall is expected to develop just to its northwest
throughout northern Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. Medium
probabilities (40-70%) for at least 6 inches of snow is currently depicted
across this region. Gusty winds and below average temperatures are
forecast in the system’s wake, with highs only expected to reach into the
30s and 40s throughout the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Northeast.

Snow potential also returns to the northern Plains and northern Rockies on
Wednesday due to the combination of a nearby stationary front and
favorable jet stream dynamics. Far northwest Montana and the Yellowstone
region currently have the best chances for accumulating snow to add up to
over 4 inches. By Thursday, a developing low pressure system along the
aforementioned stationary front is anticipated to progress eastward across
the northern Plains and towards the Upper Midwest. This will spread light
to moderate snow from parts of the Dakotas to central/southern Minnesota,
far northern Iowa, and Wisconsin. Uncertainty remains on exactly where the
heaviest snowbands may set up, but residents should remain weather aware
and prepare for potentially difficult travel across the Upper Midwest
between Thursday night and Friday morning.

For the southern Plains, rain and thunderstorm chances return on Wednesday
as an upper low lingering over the Southwest finally ejects eastward. A
few isolated thunderstorms could turn severe over western Oklahoma and the
Texas Panhandle, as well as south-central Texas. By Thursday, heavy rain
may develop along the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast, which could lead to
isolated flooding concerns.

As far as the temperature highlights for the short term time period, a
frost/freeze threat remains this morning from the Lower Mississippi Valley
to the Southeast as lows dip into the 20s and 30s. This cold snap is
forecast to be short-lived as temperatures warm to near average by
Thursday across the South. Meanwhile, above average temperatures are
expected today across the central Plains and Northwest. Afternoon highs
could break daily temperature records throughout the northern Great Basin
as thermometer readings soar into the 70s.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 18, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
342 AM EDT Mon Mar 18 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Mar 18 2024 – 12Z Wed Mar 20 2024

…A few rounds of lake effect snow forecast downwind of the Great Lakes
over the next few days...

…Cold morning temperatures bring a frost/freeze risk to parts of the
Mid-South and Southeast on Tuesday…

…Record breaking warmth continues across the Pacific Northwest and
northern Great Basin…

The new workweek will start off by featuring a weather pattern consisting
of high pressure stretching southward from the northern Plains to the Gulf
Coast. As a result, continuous cold northwest flow will create lake effect
snow chances throughout the Great Lakes today before the next clipper
system swings over the region and into northern New England by early
Wednesday. Accumulating snow is expected across the typical snow-belts
downwind of lakes Erie and Ontario, as well as into northern Michigan,
where Winter Weather Advisories have been issued. Snow showers could
expand into the Interior Northeast and northern New England on Wednesday
as the aforementioned clipper system swings eastward, with the potential
for accumulating snowfall particularly in the elevated terrain.

This push of cold air underneath and just east of the high pressure
settling over the Deep South on Tuesday will allow for subfreezing
temperatures to extend as far south as the Lower Mississippi Valley and
Southeast. Frost/freeze conditions could damage and/or kill any
unprotected sensitive vegetation, prompting Freeze Watches and Warnings to
extend from Arkansas to the Carolinas. This cold isn’t anticipated to be
long-lived as temperatures gradually warm by midweek.

Conversely, well above average spring warmth is expected to continue
throughout the Northwest through Tuesday with highs reaching into the 70s.
These temperatures could threaten daily record highs today in Portland, OR
and Spokane, WA. One final day of summer-like warmth is also expected in
southern Florida today ahead of a cold front as highs approach 90 degrees.
This front may spark thunderstorms that could contain isolated hail and
damaging winds for parts of the Florida Peninsula. Lastly, light shower
activity is forecast to continue across southern Texas, as well as
scattered rain and mountain snow showers through the Southwest over the
next few days as an upper level low meanders over the region.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 17, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Mar 17 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Mar 17 2024 – 12Z Tue Mar 19 2024

…Locally heavy snow continues across the Southern Rockies today, while
lake effect snow impacts the Great Lakes region through early this week…

…Strong cold front ushers in frost/freeze potential throughout the
Southeast by Tuesday…

…Scattered showers and thunderstorms forecast across the Gulf Coast
States this St. Patrick’s Day…

Even as the Spring Equinox approaches this Tuesday, winter weather
continues to impact parts of the Nation with localized heavy snow. The
same closed upper low that has lingered over the Southwest over the last
few days is expected to continue producing areas of heavy mountain snow
throughout the Southern Rockies and Four Corners region today before the
system weakens and precipitation becomes widely scattered. The heaviest
remaining snow is expected over the mountainous terrain of New Mexico,
which could lead to treacherous travel at times. Meanwhile, a potent low
pressure system crossing from southern Ontario to southern Quebec, Canada
today will aid in lake effect snow downwind of the Great Lakes through
early this week. The cold airmass advecting from the northwest across the
relatively warm lakes will allow for numerous snow showers and localized
areas of moderate to heavy snow. Specifically, the U.P. of Michigan and
Tug Hill Plateau of western New York could see several inches of
accumulation snow. Snowfall chances also extend to upslope portions of the
central Appalachians on Monday and Tuesday.

As a cold front pushes south and clears the Southeast by Monday, much
colder temperatures and high pressure will build in its wake. Low
temperatures are forecast to dip into the 20s and 30s from the Midwest to
the Tennessee Valley on Monday, prior to this cold sinking into the
Mid-South and Southeast on Tuesday. Vegetation in these regions are
susceptible to frost/freeze damage given the relatively mild late winter
temperatures, thus any unprotected sensitive plants could be damaged or
killed. Meanwhile, warm temperatures will remain locked in place over the
Pacific Northwest, where highs into the low 70s are forecast and
anticipated to spread into the northern High Plains by Monday.

One more day of shower and thunderstorm activity is expected today along
the Gulf Coast as a lingering frontal boundary focuses rainfall chances.
Heavy rain could lead to flooding concerns from southeast Texas to
southern Louisiana due to saturated soils from recent rainfall. A Slight
Risk (level 2 of 4) of Excessive Rainfall is in effect. A few isolated
severe thunderstorms could also impact the immediate Gulf Coast region as
well this St. Patrick’s Day.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 16, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Mar 16 2024
Valid 12Z Sat Mar 16 2024 – 12Z Mon Mar 18 2024

…Heavy mountain snow impacts the Four Corners and Southern Rockies this
weekend…

…Severe thunderstorms and heavy rain possible across southern Texas and
along the Gulf Coast…

…Mild weather continues across the Pacific Northwest and East Coast…

The lingering closed upper low located over the Desert Southwest is
forecast to remain mostly stationary this weekend and produce the
continued threat of heavy mountain snow from the Four Corners region to
the Southern Rockies. In particular, the high terrain of central/southern
Utah as well as the San Juan and Sangre de Cristo Mountains of Colorado
and New Mexico can expect treacherous conditions due to heavy snow.
Additional snowfall accumulations over a foot are expected for parts of
the Southern Rockies through Monday, with Winter Storm Warnings and Winter
Weather Advisories remaining in effect.

Meanwhile, a stalling cold front extending from the Southeast to southern
Texas will lead to at least a few more days of storminess for the Lone
Star State and remaining Gulf Coast region. The greatest severe weather
threat exists today across south-central Texas and the Middle Texas Coast,
where the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a Slight Risk (level 2
of 5) for severe thunderstorms. Large hail, damaging winds, and isolated
tornadoes are possible within the strongest storms. Intense rainfall rates
falling over saturated ground may also lead to flash flooding and standing
water in urban areas throughout similar portions of Texas and stretching
into far southwest Louisiana. By Sunday, shower and thunderstorm activity
is expected to stretch along most of the Gulf Coast, with isolated to
scattered chances for severe weather and flash flooding. Given recent
rainfall, parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas have been
designated as having a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Excessive Rainfall.

The other notable system to impact the CONUS through early next week is
forecast to clip the Great Lakes and northern New England, producing
mostly light rain and snow showers as well as gusty winds and cooler
temperatures. Locally heavy snow is possible downwind of the Great Lakes
on Sunday and Monday. Before the chilly and below average airmass
progresses into the eastern third of the Nation on Monday, mild afternoon
temperatures into the 60s and 70s can be expected this weekend in the
East. More importantly, the cold airmass on the way will contain a morning
frost/freeze threat on Monday throughout the Midwest and Ohio Valley as
lows dip into the 20s and 30s.

Upper riding anchored over the Northwest will continue the warm and dry
pattern throughout the Pacific Northwest and northern Great Basin,
expanding into the northern High Plains on Monday. Highs into the 60s and
70s are forecast, which could break a few daily high temperature records.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 15, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Mar 15 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Mar 15 2024 – 12Z Sun Mar 17 2024

…Heavy mountain snow continues throughout the Four Corners region into
this weekend…

…Severe thunderstorm and excessive rainfall chances shift south into the
Southeast and Gulf Coast States…

…Mild weather continues across the Pacific Northwest and East Coast…

A meandering closed upper low spinning over the Desert Southwest will
continue to funnel moisture northward into the Four Corners region and
create additional chances for heavy mountain snow through the weekend.
Snow chances will diminish today across the central/southern High Plains
as upslope flow weakens, but mountainous terrain of the central and
southern Rockies can expect an additional 1 to 2 feet of snow through
Sunday. The higher elevations of southern Utah and Arizona can also expect
snowfall accumulations over a foot, which will create hazardous driving
conditions. Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories remain in
effect for these regions.

Farther east, waves of low pressure and an associated cold front are
forecast to slide south and east today while stretching from the
Mid-Atlantic to the Southern Plains. Heavy rain and scattered
thunderstorms will accompany this system, with the greatest chances for
severe weather and/or flash flooding located across parts of the Mid-South
and south-central Texas. For these areas, thunderstorms could be strong
enough to contain damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. Meanwhile,
the primary risk across south-central Texas is expected to be associated
with large hail and scattered flash flooding. By this weekend, the
aforementioned frontal boundary is forecast to stall along the Gulf Coast
and southern Texas, resulting in additional chances for heavy rain that
could lead to scattered flooding concerns from south-central Texas to
southern Mississippi.

The other notable weather system to impact the Lower 48 will be a potent
low pressure system passing to the north of the Great Lakes on Saturday
and nearing Maine on Sunday. The greatest impacts are anticipated to be
associated with gusty winds across the Great Lakes and decreasing
temperatures throughout the Upper Midwest by Sunday. Additionally, periods
of lake effect snow could be locally heavy across the U.P. of Michigan
downwind of Lake Superior. Otherwise, strong southerly flow on the eastern
side of this system will keep much of the East Coast mild with high
temperatures mainly in the 60s and 70s. The other warm spots over the next
few days include the Pacific Northwest and Southeast, where a few daily
record highs are possible. Parts of western Washington and Oregon may see
highs into the mid-70s, while mid-to-upper 80s are found throughout the
Sunshine State.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 14, 2024

It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Mar 14 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Mar 14 2024 – 12Z Sat Mar 16 2024

…Heavy snow through today from the central Rockies, the foothills, and
nearby High Plains before gradually tapering off on Friday…

…A long-duration event of mountain snow and lower-elevation rain
expected to develop over the Four Corners region beginning on Friday…

…Severe thunderstorms and excessive rainfall expected to push southward
from the east-central Plains this morning to the Arklatex region on
Friday, and into southeastern Texas by Saturday morning…

…Very mild/warm weather expands eastward from the central to the eastern
U.S. going into the weekend…

An amplifying upper-level trough continues to dig southward into the
western U.S. Moisture lifted ahead of the upper trough within a cold air
mass is producing heavy snow across the central Rockies early this
morning. As the cold air continues to filter southward, the rain that
initially falls over the lower elevations is forecast to change over to
heavy wet snow. The heaviest snow is forecast to be along the Front
Range of Colorado where a few feet of snow could accumulate. Lesser
amounts are expected in adjacent areas but one to two feet of wet snow can
be expected down into the Foothills and High Plains such as Boulder and
Denver, Colorado. Hazardous to very difficult travel is expected as heavy
snow and intense snow rates at times (1-2 inches plus per hour) will lead
to hazardous travel conditions.

By tonight into Friday, the main upper-level low is forecast to dip
further south into the Desert Southwest. Snow across the central
Rockies/High Plains is expected to gradually taper off as the dynamics of
the low move farther south. However, the Four Corners region will be
under the most favorable region for precipitation to form and expand
beginning on Friday as the upper low is forecast to meander over the
region. Mountain snow and lower elevation rain are expected to linger
over the Four Corners region going into the weekend.

On the warm side of the system, a low pressure system is developing over
the central Plains and tracking toward the Midwest. Influx of warm and
moist air from the Gulf of Mexico has
organized strong to severe thunderstorms ahead of a warm front. These
thunderstorms containing heavy rainfall are forecast to push southward
from the east-central Plains this morning to the Arklatex region on
Friday, and into southeastern Texas by Saturday morning near or just
behind an advancing cold front. Meanwhile, the low pressure system will
bring widespread rainfall across the southern half of the Great Lakes
today, spreading into New England tonight into Friday. The rain will
likely mix with wet snow across interior New England on Friday before the
system steadily moves off the coast early on Saturday.

As the winter storm develops over the western U.S., much of the eastern
U.S. will enter an extended period of very warm and pleasant weather.
High temperatures in the 60s and 70s from the Ohio Valley to the
Mid-Atlantic states will be 20-25 degrees above normal for this time of
year. However, a cold front from Canada is forecast to rapidly dip into
the northern Plains by early on Saturday. This cold front will signal the
beginning of a rapid cooling trend forecast to head toward the East Coast
thereafter.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Above is a 72 hour animation of the forecast. Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.