...Slight to enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of the Midwest tonight... ...Slight risk of excessive rainfall for parts of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley tonight... ...Record heat likely to build into parts of the West this week..
...Slight risk of severe thunderstorms across the Upper Mississippi Valley into early this evening... ...Showers and thunderstorms likely across the Midwest and the Gulf Coast/Florida... ...Warming trend begins for the Northwest and the Ohio Valley/Northeast...
...Slight risks of excessive rainfall and severe thunderstorms are in effect for parts of the Upper Midwest tonight... ...Localized heavy to excessive rainfall possible across parts of the Southeast/Gulf Coast and the Southwest... ...Warming trend begins for Northwest and Northeast...
NOAA updates many of their weather outlooks and in many cases issues a discussion with those outlooks. On Fridays, they issue a week 3 – 4 outlook which is farther out than the typical 10-day forecast and the discussion is excellent. So we have decided to issue a weekly special report on Fridays which for most people will be read on Saturday as it gets published late Friday night.
When the Week 3-4 Outlook is issued, we have a 28-day view of the future. It is important to recognize that the forecasts do not always work out as predicted. But in the article, there are links to obtain updated forecasts.
...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley/Central Gulf Coast through Saturday morning... ...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Northeast through Saturday morning... ...Increasing fire weather risk over parts of the Great Basin, Northern Intermountain Region, and Northern Rockies...
..There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley/Central Gulf Coast/Western Gulf Coast and the Northern Rockies/Northern High Plains through Friday morning... ...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Northeast from Friday into Saturday morning... ...Low temperatures will be near or tie high minimum overnight temperatures over parts of the Northwest...
...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley/Western Gulf Coast through Thursday morning... ...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southwest and Northern Rockies through Thursday morning... ...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Northern Rockies and Lower Mississippi Valley/Tennessee Valley/Central Gulf Coast from Thursday into Friday morning...
...Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding threats over the lower Mississippi Valley may shift farther east into Alabama... ...Above average temperatures to continue from the inland valleys of California into the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest, while below average temperatures expected across the South from the Southern Plains into the Southeast...
Usually, I compare the JAMSTEC forecast with the NOAA forecast after NOAA Issues its Seasonal Outlook. But this month, JAMSTEC was very early so I thought I would share it with everyone early. But I did not get around to doing it until now. NOAA calls their predictions an outlook but JAMSTEC calls their predictions a forecast. I am going to show the JAMSTEC forecasts by month and by season and some of the indices they use in their model. They make world forecasts and for any readers who do not realize it, the U.S. is part of the world so it is covered by a world forecast.
I like the JAMSTEC forecast because the U.S. is part of the world and our weather is not independent of the worldwide weather pattern. In fact, most of U.S. weather originates in the Pacific Ocean and the Pacific Ocean is where Japan is located. In fact, Japan and the US jointly manage the monitoring system along the Equator that helps predict the phases of ENSO. So one of the reasons I include worldwide forecasts in articles is to encourage the understanding of worldwide weather patterns. It is not that the U.S. does not cooperate with other nations with respect to weather forecasts as it does. But to view weather forecasts on the Internet or TV you would not easily notice that. The U.S. media pays hardly any attention to what other meteorological agencies predict.
...Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding threats expected across areas of east Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley over the next two days... ...Above average temperatures to continue from the inland valleys of California into the Great Basin and Pacific Northwest, while below average temperatures expected across the South from the Southern Plains into the Southeast...
