NOAA Updates it’s ENSO Outlook on January 12, 2023

On the second Thursday of every month, NOAA issues its analysis of the status of ENSO. This includes determining the Alert System Status. The best guess remains March.

But I have actually seen only a few signs of it starting to happen. But all the meteorologists agree that it will.  Could they all be wrong? Probably not.

Will this La Nina transition quickly to the El Nino phase? That would be unusual but some of the models suggest this will happen.  It seems likely that the ENSO Neutral Phase will at the very least have an El Nino Bias.

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 13, 2023

Updated at 3:35 p.m. January 13, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
236 PM EST Fri Jan 13 2023

Valid 00Z Sat Jan 14 2023 - 00Z Mon Jan 16 2023

...Rounds of heavy rain and snow continue in the West through the
weekend...

...Unseasonably warm temperatures in the central U.S. through the
weekend...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 12, 2023

Updated at 3:25 p.m. EST Thursday, January 12, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
242 PM EST Thu Jan 12 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Jan 13 2023 - 00Z Sun Jan 15 2023

...Atmospheric river expected to impact northern California and the
coastal Pacific Northwest through Friday night...

...Heavy snow possible across northern New England early Friday along with
a period of freezing rain/sleet...

...Heavy mountain snow expected in parts of the Sierra Nevada and Cascades
this weekend...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 11, 2023

Updated at 3:05 pm Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
258 PM EST Wed Jan 11 2023

Valid 00Z Thu Jan 12 2023 - 00Z Sat Jan 14 2023

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Northern
California through Friday...

...Heavy snow for New England and rain/freezing rain over parts of the New
England and Central Plains/Middle Mississippi Valley...

...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Southeast on Thursday...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 10, 2023

Updated at 4:02 p.m. Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
248 PM EST Tue Jan 10 2023

Valid 00Z Wed Jan 11 2023 - 00Z Fri Jan 13 2023

...High Impact Heavy Precipitation will continue across much of California
through tonight...

...Heavy mountain snow will continue across the West through tonight...

...Next Atmospheric River arrives Wednesday and will impact northern
California and the Pacific Northwest...

...Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms possible in the Southeast on
Thursday...
 

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted January 9, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours from Monday Afternoon’s NWS forecast. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
232 PM EST Mon Jan 09 2023

Valid 00Z Tue Jan 10 2023 - 00Z Thu Jan 12 2023

...More high impact heavy precipitation on tap for much of California on
Tuesday and from northern California into the Pacific Northwest on
Wednesday...

...Heavy snows likely through the Sierra, Wasatch and Central Rockies...

...Arctic air to remain absent from the Lower 48 over the next several
days...

Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted late January 6, 2023 Plus the 28-Day Outlook

Updated at 11 a.m. Monday, January 9, 2023.  Our weekend article is updated all weekend into Monday and usually Tuesday also.

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours from Monday Morning’s NWS forecast. This article also includes World weather forecasts. We have more images displayed rather than simply providing the links to make it easier for readers to look ahead 28 days. We are also going to discuss the latest Western Water Forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 AM EST Mon Jan 09 2023

Valid 12Z Mon Jan 09 2023 - 12Z Wed Jan 11 2023

...Two major episodes of heavy precipitation expected to impact California
today and Tuesday...

...Periods of mountain snow spread across the Intermountain West and into
the northern and central Rockies...

...Well above average temperatures build into the southern Plains...

Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted early January 6, 2023

Updated at 7:28 p.m. Friday January 6, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours from Friday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM EST Fri Jan 06 2023

Valid 00Z Sat Jan 07 2023 - 00Z Mon Jan 09 2023

...Next round of excessive rainfall to enter northern California tonight
before gradually expanding southward this weekend...

...Showers and Thunderstorms expected from Texas into the Ohio Valley and
South ahead of a frontal system...

Weather Forecast: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted late January 4, 2023

Updated at 7:07 p.m. Thursday January 5, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours from Thursday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
243 PM EST Thu Jan 05 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Jan 06 2023 - 00Z Sun Jan 08 2023

...Next round of excessive rainfall to enter northern California late
Friday before gradually expanding southward this weekend...

...Heavy snow possible across parts of the Intermountain West and central
Rockies through the end of the week...

...Light snow continues throughout parts of the Great Lakes and New
England...

Weather Forecast: Today, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, 10 Days for the U.S. with some maps for the World posted early January 4, 2023

Updated at 7:19 p.m. Wednesday January 4, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours from Wednesday Afternoon’s NWS Forecast. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
256 PM EST Wed Jan 04 2023

Valid 00Z Thu Jan 05 2023 - 00Z Sat Jan 07 2023

...Heavy rain, damaging winds, and heavy mountain snow to impact
California as an atmospheric river moves onshore tonight...

...Light to moderate snowfall continues across parts of the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes through Thursday, while a wintry mix spreads into
northern New England..