NOAA Updates it’s ENSO Outlook on February 9, 2023 – Changes are Coming

February 10, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:23 p.m. EST Friday, February 10 to include a second interesting ENSO Blog Article. You have to click where shown to read them.

On the second Thursday of every month, NOAA issues its analysis of the status of ENSO. This includes determining the Alert System Status. The best guess remains March.

This may seem like a repeat of our article from last month and in a way it is since the situation has not changed. But no change increases the confidence in the forecast.

And again some of the models suggest a rapid change to El Nino. It seems likely that the ENSO Neutral Phase will at the very least have an El Nino bias.

Because the situation has not changed, we have published a shorter version of our usual article since there is little disagreement that we are transitioning away from La Nina. It is also a bit too early to examine the potential for an El Nino. We need to get past the Spring Prediction Barrier (SPB) to be confident about having an El Nino soon.

The article includes two very interesting posts from the ENSO Blog. They are worth reading.

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 9, 2023

February 9, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 12:45 pm EST Thursday February 9, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
207 PM EST Thu Feb 09 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Feb 10 2023 – 00Z Sun Feb 12 2023

…An active pattern with three well defined storms affecting the Lower
48…

…Heavy snows possible across portions of Northern New England Thursday
night into Friday…

…Record high minimum temperatures possible Friday morning across much of
the east coast from Florida to New England…

…Heavy rains possible across the Central Gulf coast into the Southeast…

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 8, 2023

February 8, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 6:40 p.m. EST Wednesday, February 8, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
208 PM EST Wed Feb 08 2023

Valid 00Z Thu Feb 09 2023 – 00Z Sat Feb 11 2023

…Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding in the middle and lower
Mississippi Valley through tonight…

…Gusty winds and snow squalls possible in the northern and central
Rockies through tonight…

…Heavy snow possible for parts of the Upper Midwest on Thursday…

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 6, 2023

February 6, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:42 p.m. EST Monday, February 6, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM EST Mon Feb 06 2023

Valid 00Z Tue Feb 07 2023 – 00Z Thu Feb 09 2023

…Widespread showers and thunderstorms with the risk for flash flooding
from the Southern Plains to the Mississippi Valley…

…Heavy lower elevation/coastal rain and mountain snow for the Pacific
Northwest…

…Unseasonably warm temperatures continue for the eastern two-thirds of
the country…

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 5, 2023

February 5, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:01 p.m. EST Saturday, February 5, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
250 PM EST Sun Feb 05 2023

Valid 00Z Mon Feb 06 2023 – 00Z Wed Feb 08 2023

…Precipitation chances continue in the West as multiple storm systems
move through the region…

…Above average temperatures east of the Rockies to start the week; an
Elevated Risk of Fire Weather for the Southern High Plains Monday…

…Heavy rain with the chance for some scattered instances of flash
flooding for the Southern Plains late Tuesday…

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 4, 2023

February 4, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 9:40 p.m. EST Saturday, February 4, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
239 PM EST Sat Feb 04 2023

Valid 00Z Sun Feb 05 2023 – 00Z Tue Feb 07 2023

…Frontal system moving through the West brings increased chances of
lower elevation/coastal rain and moderate to heavy mountain snow…

…Rapid warm up Sunday for the Northeast after record-breaking arctic
blast…

…Unseasonably warm temperatures for the Plains and Midwest with an
Elevated Risk for Fire Weather in the Southern High Plains Sunday…

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 3, 2023

February 3, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 4:33 p.m. EST Friday, February 3, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
306 PM EST Fri Feb 03 2023

Valid 00Z Sat Feb 04 2023 – 00Z Mon Feb 06 2023

…A brief intense surge of arctic air expected across the Northeast
through Saturday followed by rapid moderation in temperatures on Sunday…

…Unsettled weather moving into the West Coast with heavy snow reaching
the Sierra Nevada Saturday night…

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 2, 2023

February 2, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 6:42 p.m. Thursday, February 2, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
259 PM EST Thu Feb 02 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Feb 03 2023 – 00Z Sun Feb 05 2023

…Bitter cold and dangerous wind chills to stretch from the Northern
Plains to the Northeast Friday into Saturday…

…Seasonably mild conditions return to the center of the country entering
the weekend after a chilly week…

…Periods of heavy snow return to the Sierra and Cascades late this week
into the weekend…

NOAA Updates it’s February 2023 Outlook on January 31, 2023

February 1, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 11:45 p.m. EST February 11 to update the wildfire potential maps that should have been updated early in the month.

At the end of every month, NOAA updates its Outlook for the following month which in this case is February of 2023. We are reporting on that tonight.

There have been some significant changes in the Outlook for February and these are addressed in the NOAA Discussion so it is well worth reading. We highlighted some of the important changes within the NOAA Discussion. We also provided the prior Mid-Month Outlook for February for comparison.  Although we remain in weak La Nina conditions, other facts now play a large and perhaps a larger role in the outlook for February.

The article includes the Drought Outlook for February. We have also included the current fire incidents (not many) and four months of Wildland Fire Potential Outlooks and also a map showing the year-to-date snowpack in the West. We also provide the Week 2/3 Tropical Outlook for the World.

Weather Forecast: Today, Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, for the U.S. and the World with links for longer-term forecasts: posted February 1, 2023

February 1, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 3:54 p.m. Wednesday, February 1, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. This article also includes World weather forecasts.

It also includes links for longer-term outlooks and sometimes (like today) we show the maps that one finds if one clicks on those links. But we can not update all of those maps each day so look at the date and the duration of the period of time involved. If you want a more up-to-date map, click on the provided link which may be located in a table of links. If the date in the title of the article is not today’s date. just go to Econcurrents.com and look for today’s weather article.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
255 PM EST Wed Feb 01 2023

Valid 00Z Thu Feb 02 2023 – 00Z Sat Feb 04 2023

…Prolonged and significant ice storm continues across much of the
southern Plains and Mid-South…

…Heavy rain and scattered flash floods possible across parts of the Deep
South and Southeast on Thursday…

…Bitter cold and dangerous wind chills to enter the northern Plains and
Upper Midwest on Thursday before sweeping into the Northeast by Friday…