Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted December 8, 2024
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Dec 08 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Dec 08 2024 – 12Z Tue Dec 10 2024…Heavy rain threat emerges across the Deep South late Sunday into
Monday……Periods of mixed rain and snow linger from the Great Lakes to northern
New England through Monday night……Unsettled and windy weather spreading across the Pacific Northwest this
weekend will reach into the northern Plains as snow/wintry mix by Monday……Well above average temperatures will overspread the central and eastern
U.S. as cold air surges into the western U.S….A major reversal of the weather pattern is forecast to occur across
mainland U.S. during the next couple of days. The remaining cold air
across the eastern U.S. originated from the recent arctic outbreak will be
dispelled by an eastward expanding mild air mass from the central U.S.
Meanwhile, the mild air across the western U.S. in recent days will be
dispelled by a surge of cold air currently advancing through the
northwestern U.S. The upper-level trough responsible for this cold surge
into the western U.S. will first spread mixed rain and snow through the
northern Rockies today behind a cold front along with windy conditions.
Daytime heating will keep the precipitation mainly in the form of rain as
it moves quickly across the northern Plains today. By tonight, colder air
from Canada is forecast to filter south from Canada behind a low pressure
system. This will bring periods of snow into the northern Plains and
areas farther west to the foothills of the northern Rockies through
tonight and into Monday, along with windy conditions. The higher elevations
will receive higher amounts of snow, with the highest snowfall likely near
the northern slopes of the Black Hills where more than a foot of new snow
is possible. Portions of the central Rockies into the Front Range of
Colorado and down into northeastern New Mexico can expect to receive a
period of snow from this system through Monday night into Tuesday morning.Ahead of the cold front trailing south from the aforementioned low
pressure system, a jet stream sliding across northern Mexico will interact
with a coastal front and a low pressure wave near the western Gulf Coast
to bring an increasing threat of heavy rain farther inland across the
lower Mississippi Valley and then into the Deep South through the next
couple of days. Warmer and more unstable air arriving from the Gulf will
help trigger heavier showers and thunderstorms for the eastern portion of
these areas. The overlapping elements coupled with some recent rainfall
will result in the possibility of scattered instances of flash flooding.
The Weather Prediction Center maintains a Marginal Risk of Excessive
Rainfall across the central Gulf Coast region for Monday into early
Tuesday, with a Sight Risk area from southeastern Louisiana to southern
Mississippi.Across New England, widespread snowfall is in progress today ahead of a
clipper system moving quickly eastward along a warm front lifting north
across the region. Widespread snowfall of up to 6 inches can be expected
from the Adirondacks eastward through Maine before the snow tapers off
tonight. More snow will then skirt the upper Great Lakes ahead of the
warm front associated with the northern Plains low pressure system, with
6-8 inches expected over the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the Arrowhead
of Minnesota. A period of rain will sweep across the Ohio Valley Sunday
night, then the Appalachians and the northern Mid-Atlantic on Monday ahead
of the trailing front, followed by the next round of snow across northern
New England Monday night. Mild Atlantic air will keep the precipitation
as rain for southern New England into Tuesday morning.