Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 9, 2023

November 9, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Nov 09 2023
Valid 12Z Thu Nov 09 2023 – 12Z Sat Nov 11 2023

…Warm to record breaking temperatures from Southern Plains to
Mid-Atlantic today will give way to cooler conditions beginning tonight…

…Post-frontal showers and thunderstorms develop across Southern Plains
and Lower Mississippi Valley…

…Storm system brings rain and snow to the Northwest beginning this
afternoon…

…Critical Risk of Fires over parts of Southern California today…

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 8, 2023

November 8, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Nov 08 2023
Valid 12Z Wed Nov 08 2023 – 12Z Fri Nov 10 2023

…Warm to record breaking temperatures from Southern High Plains to
Southeast today will give way to cooler conditions late this week…

…Post-frontal rain develops across Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi
Valley on Thursday…

…Storm system brings rain and snow to the Pacific Northwest beginning
Thursday night…

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 7, 2023

November 7, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Valid 00Z Wed Nov 08 2023 – 00Z Fri Nov 10 2023

…Cooler temperatures and beneficial precipitation expected through
midweek across the northern tier states…

…Very warm weather including some record high temperatures can be
expected along with dry conditions for much of the Central and Eastern
U.S. through the middle of the week…

…Some rain to begin impacting parts of the South by Thursday…

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 6, 2023

November 6, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Nov 06 2023
Valid 12Z Mon Nov 06 2023 – 12Z Wed Nov 08 2023

…More unsettled weather expected to bring beneficial precipitation
across the Pacific Northwest and the Northern Rockies over the next couple
of days…

…Mixed light rain and snow will brush the northern borders of the
Northern Plains to the interior Northeast…

…Fair and mild weather expected to continue from the southwestern U.S.
to much of the eastern U.S; cool Pacific air arrives over the West
today….

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 5, 2023

November 5, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Nov 05 2023
Valid 12Z Sun Nov 05 2023 – 12Z Tue Nov 07 2023

…Modest atmospheric river activity to bring multiple rounds of
beneficial precipitation across the Pacific Northwest and the Northern
Rockies over the next couple of days…

…Mixed light rain and snow may brush the northern borders of the
Northern Plains to the interior Northeast through Monday…

…Fair and mild weather expected to continue from the southwestern U.S.
to much of the eastern U.S; cool Pacific air arrives over the West this
week….

Potential Winter El Niño Impacts Across the North Central U.S. (Midwest, Missouri Basin, Great Lakes) November 4, 2023

November 4, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

I wish I had this for all regions but only three regions prepared this report so I am working with what I have. There is a separate but similar report for three areas: The Great Lakes, the Missouri Basin, and the Midwest.

I could have organized the graphics differently to highlight the differences among the three regions but I present the information as received and I think that works also.

The information presented will help a reader understand what is presented in the NOAA CPC Seasonal Outlooks and may provide some additional information for where they live in these regions.

 

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 4, 2023

November 4, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Nov 04 2023
Valid 12Z Sat Nov 04 2023 – 12Z Mon Nov 06 2023

…Modest atmospheric river activity to bring multiple rounds of
beneficial precipitation across the Pacific Northwest and the Northern
Rockies this weekend into early next week…

…Most of the country experiences modest warmth this weekend before cool
Pacific air enters through the West…

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 3, 2023

November 3, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Nov 03 2023
Valid 12Z Fri Nov 03 2023 – 12Z Sun Nov 05 2023

…Great Plains warm up this weekend…

…Several rounds of moderate to locally heavy precipitation to continue
into portions of the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies and northern
California this weekend into early next week…

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted November 2, 2023

November 2, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Nov 02 2023
Valid 12Z Thu Nov 02 2023 – 12Z Sat Nov 04 2023

…Record cold subfreezing temperatures this morning across much of the
South before a gradual warm up by this weekend…

…Wet weather pattern in place across the Pacific Northwest as several
rounds of moderate to locally heavy rain impact the region…

NOAA Updates its November 2023 Weather Outlook on October 31, 2023 – There have been some significant changes from the Mid-Month Outlook.

November 1, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

At the end of every month, NOAA updates its Outlook for the following month which in this case is November of 2023. We are reporting on that tonight.

There have been some significant changes in the Outlook for November and these are addressed in the NOAA Discussion so it is well worth reading.  We provided the prior Mid-Month Outlook for November for comparison. It is easy to see the changes by comparing the Mid-Month and Updated Maps.

The article includes the Drought Outlook for November. NOAA also adjusted the previously issued Seasonal Drought Outlook to reflect the changes in the November Drought Outlook. We have included a map showing the water-year-to-date precipitation. We also provide the Week 2/3 Tropical Outlook for the World.

The best way to understand the updated outlook for November is to view the maps and read the NOAA discussion. I have highlighted the key statements in the NOAA Discussion.

I am going to start with graphics that show the updated Outlook for November and the Mid-Month Outlook for November. This is followed by a graphic that shows both the Updated Outlook for November and the three-month outlook NDJ 2023 – 2024. So you get the full picture in three graphics.

Here is the updated Outlook for November 2023

For Comparison Purposes, Here is the Mid-Month Outlook for November.

There have been some significant changes especially related to precipitation. Remember, it is the top set of maps that are the current outlook for November.

Combination of the Updated Outlook for November and the Three-Month Outlook

 

The top row is the Updated Outlook for the new month. There is a temperature map and a precipitation map. The second row is a three-month outlook that includes the new month. I think the outlook maps are self-explanatory. What is important to remember is that they show deviations from the current definition of normal which is the period 1991 through 2020.  So this is not a forecast of the absolute value of temperature or precipitation but the change from what is defined as normal or to use the technical term climatology.