Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 30, 2024

January 30, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Jan 30 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Jan 30 2024 – 12Z Thu Feb 01 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of the Sierra Nevada Mountains on Wednesday…

…There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Northern/
Central California…

…Snow over parts of the Great Lakes/Central Appalachians into the
Northeast…
 

Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:

 

Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. This evening we are looking at precipitation and the baseline here is such that it will tend to show warmer than baseline-normal precipitation due to the trend in temperatures.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 29, 2024

January 29, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Jan 29 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Jan 29 2024 – 12Z Wed Jan 31 2024

…Light snow over parts of the Great Lakes and the Central Appalachians…

…Light rain over parts of the Pacific Northwest and Northern
California…

…Temperatures will be 10 to 20 degrees above average over parts of the
Northern/Central Plains into the Upper Midwest…

Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:

 

Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. This evening we are looking at precipitation and the baseline here is such that it will tend to show warmer than baseline-normal precipitation due to the trend in temperatures.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 28, 2024

January 28, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Jan 28 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Jan 28 2024 – 12Z Tue Jan 30 2024

…Heavy snow over parts of the Northeast and snow over parts of the
Appalachians on Sunday…

…Scattered rain/freezing rain over parts of eastern New York State into
Southern New England…

…Temperatures will be 15 to 25 degrees above average over parts of
Northern/Central High Plains…

Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:

 

Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. This evening we are looking at precipitation and the baseline here is such that it will tend to show warmer than baseline-normal precipitation due to the trend in temperatures.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Drought Update – January 27, 2024

January 27, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

Every week on Thursday, the Drought Monitor LINK is updated for every state in the U.S. plus most territories.

 

 

 

 

And there is another source of information on drought from certain groupings of states that operate what is called a Drought Early Warming System (DEWS). They sometimes have webinars and may issue reports without having a webinar. Not all parts of the U.S. are covered. These groups of states seem to issue reports every two months. I am only showing the recent reports since a month-old report at this time of the year can be misleading.

To get to that part of this article where I provide these reports you may have to click on “Read More”. I provide maps for all of the existing DEWS.  And other groups of states report on precipitation, streamflow, and reservoir status which overlaps a lot with what is covered by the DEWS. So I plan to write about the activity of both kinds of groups. Today I am focusing on the DEWS.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 27, 2024

January 27, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Jan 27 2024
Valid 12Z Sat Jan 27 2024 – 12Z Mon Jan 29 2024

…Heavy snow and rain/freezing rain over parts of Northern New England
and snow over parts of the Appalachians on Sunday…

…There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Central/Southern Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic on Saturday…

…There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Southeast on Saturday…

Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:

 

Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. This evening we are looking at precipitation and the baseline here is such that it will tend to show warmer than baseline-normal precipitation due to the trend in temperatures.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 26, 2024

January 26, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Jan 26 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Jan 26 2024 – 12Z Sun Jan 28 2024

..Heavy rain/freezing rain over parts of Northern New England; light
Rain/Freezing Rain over parts of the Pacific Northwest…

…Light snow for the Cascades and higher elevation snow across the
Central/Southern Rockies and Southwest; Moderate snow over Northern New
England…

…There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Pacific
Northwest Coast on Friday and the Central Gulf Coast into the
Central/Southern Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic on Friday and Saturday…

Looking out a bit farther and focusing on the more series events:

 

Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. This evening we are looking at precipitation and the baseline here is such that it will tend to show warmer than baseline-normal precipitation due to the trend in temperatures.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 25, 2024

January 25, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Jan 25 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Jan 25 2024 – 12Z Sat Jan 27 2024

…Flash Flooding and Severe Weather concerns continue for portions of the
Southern Plains, Gulf Coast, Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast…

…Freezing rain impacts possible over parts of southern Maine/central New
England…

…Unseasonably warm air surges into the eastern third of the country
leading to widespread record low temperatures Thursday night…[Editor’s Note: not clear. It should say the low of the day will be warm enough to break records]

Looking out a bit farther

 

Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. This evening we are looking at temperatures and the baseline here is such that it will tend to show warmer than baseline-normal temperatures due to the trend in temperatures.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

The polar vortex is acting up – January 24, 2024

January 24, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

Last month there was some concern that we were having a Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event. It seems that it did happen but in a fairly minor way and the resulting cold intrusions of Arctic air seem to have not lasted for very long. I came across this posted article on Climate.Gov attributed to Laura Cisto and Amy Butler. I am reproducing their article here except for the comments it received. You can access the article with the comments HERE. The comments are always quite interesting and the authors typically reply to those comments. And that process can continue for some time which is why I have provided the link to the Post by Laura Cisto and Amy Butler.

It is difficult reading and not everyone will want to dig into it but it is here for those with a deep interest in weather. Where I have comments, I have put them in boxes within the article. For those with an insatiable curiosity, THIS explanation of Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events will probably quench your thirst.  The blog post that I have in this article describes a recent mini-SSW event that was somewhat unusual.

 

 

To read the full article you may need to click on “Read More”.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 24, 2024

January 24, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

…Heavy rainfall and concerns for flash flooding for portions of the
Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley and Gulf states through Friday
morning…

…A swath of freezing rain and some accumulating snowfall will impact
portions of the Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, and the Northeast…

…Much milder air with temperatures surging well above normal can be
expected through the middle of the week for much of the eastern half of
the country..

Looking out a bit farther

 

Looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.

Short Term and Intermediate-Term Weather Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted January 23, 2024

January 23, 2024Posted inweatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the highlights from the NWS.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Jan 23 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Jan 23 2024 – 12Z Thu Jan 25 2024

…Heavy rainfall and concerns for flash flooding will exist through
Thursday morning across the Lower Mississippi Valley…

…A swath of freezing rain and some accumulating snowfall will impact
portions of the Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, and the Northeast…

…Much milder air with temperatures surging well above normal can be
expected by the middle of the week for much of the eastern half of the
country…

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full report issued today.