Today Through the Fourth Friday (22 to 28 days) Weather Outlook for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted March 14, 2024
It is difficult to find a more comprehensive Weather Outlook anywhere else with the ability to get a local 10-day Forecast also.
This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.
First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here but it is unlikely to have changed very much. The images in this article automatically update.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Mar 14 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Mar 14 2024 – 12Z Sat Mar 16 2024…Heavy snow through today from the central Rockies, the foothills, and
nearby High Plains before gradually tapering off on Friday……A long-duration event of mountain snow and lower-elevation rain
expected to develop over the Four Corners region beginning on Friday……Severe thunderstorms and excessive rainfall expected to push southward
from the east-central Plains this morning to the Arklatex region on
Friday, and into southeastern Texas by Saturday morning……Very mild/warm weather expands eastward from the central to the eastern
U.S. going into the weekend…An amplifying upper-level trough continues to dig southward into the
western U.S. Moisture lifted ahead of the upper trough within a cold air
mass is producing heavy snow across the central Rockies early this
morning. As the cold air continues to filter southward, the rain that
initially falls over the lower elevations is forecast to change over to
heavy wet snow. The heaviest snow is forecast to be along the Front
Range of Colorado where a few feet of snow could accumulate. Lesser
amounts are expected in adjacent areas but one to two feet of wet snow can
be expected down into the Foothills and High Plains such as Boulder and
Denver, Colorado. Hazardous to very difficult travel is expected as heavy
snow and intense snow rates at times (1-2 inches plus per hour) will lead
to hazardous travel conditions.By tonight into Friday, the main upper-level low is forecast to dip
further south into the Desert Southwest. Snow across the central
Rockies/High Plains is expected to gradually taper off as the dynamics of
the low move farther south. However, the Four Corners region will be
under the most favorable region for precipitation to form and expand
beginning on Friday as the upper low is forecast to meander over the
region. Mountain snow and lower elevation rain are expected to linger
over the Four Corners region going into the weekend.On the warm side of the system, a low pressure system is developing over
the central Plains and tracking toward the Midwest. Influx of warm and
moist air from the Gulf of Mexico has
organized strong to severe thunderstorms ahead of a warm front. These
thunderstorms containing heavy rainfall are forecast to push southward
from the east-central Plains this morning to the Arklatex region on
Friday, and into southeastern Texas by Saturday morning near or just
behind an advancing cold front. Meanwhile, the low pressure system will
bring widespread rainfall across the southern half of the Great Lakes
today, spreading into New England tonight into Friday. The rain will
likely mix with wet snow across interior New England on Friday before the
system steadily moves off the coast early on Saturday.As the winter storm develops over the western U.S., much of the eastern
U.S. will enter an extended period of very warm and pleasant weather.
High temperatures in the 60s and 70s from the Ohio Valley to the
Mid-Atlantic states will be 20-25 degrees above normal for this time of
year. However, a cold front from Canada is forecast to rapidly dip into
the northern Plains by early on Saturday. This cold front will signal the
beginning of a rapid cooling trend forecast to head toward the East Coast
thereafter.