Summary Of the Markets Today:
- The Dow closed down 375 points or 0.98%,
- Nasdaq closed down 0.64%,
- S&P 500 closed down 0.46%,
- Gold $2,345 up $6.00,
- WTI crude oil settled at $84 up $0.94,
- 10-year U.S. Treasury 4.704% up 0.050 points,
- USD index $105.58 down $0.280,
- Bitcoin $64,826 up $586 (0.61%)
*Stock data, cryptocurrency, and commodity prices at the market closing.
Today’s Economic Releases Compiled by Steven Hansen, Publisher:
The number of CEO changes at U.S. companies fell 27% to 180 in March 2024, from the record-high 248 in February. It is up 29% from the 139 CEO exits recorded in the same month last year. March’s total is the highest for the month since the firm began tracking CEO exits in 2002. In the first quarter, 622 CEOs have announced their departures, the highest quarterly total on record. It is up 49% from the 418 exits in the first quarter of last year, and up 27% from the 489 CEO exits which occurred in the previous quarter. Andrew Challenger, Senior Vice President of Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. added:
C-Level leaders have had an incredibly challenging few years, and are transitioning out of their roles, whether for new opportunities or to get fresh starts elsewhere.
The advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the first quarter of 2024 – which is a fairly weak performance. However, I think this headline view is bogus as I believe year-over-year analysis provides the proper prospective. 1Q2024 growth was 3.0% year-over-year, and is only slightly lower than 4Q2024’s 3.1% and higher than 3Q2024’s 2.9%. Gross private domestic investment was very strong in 1Q2024 but was dragged down by goods purchases. As real GDP is adjusted for inflation, note that inflation price index only marginally weakened from last quarter’s 2.4% to 2.3% in 1Q2024.
The Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity fell again in April 2024, and expectations for future activity remained flat. Prices for raw materials grew at a steady pace while finished product prices stayed the same, increasing their spread. The month-over-month composite index was -8 in April, down from -7 in March and -4 in February. Manufacturing is far from a bright spot in the current economy.
The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – with year-over-year growth up 0.1%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun stated:
March’s Pending Home Sales Index – at 78.2 – marks the best performance in a year, but it still remains in a fairly narrow range over the last 12 months without a measurable breakout. Meaningful gains will only occur with declining mortgage rates and rising inventory.
In the week ending April 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims 4-week moving average was 213,250, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week’s unrevised average of 214,500.
In February 2024, 2.8% of all mortgages in the U.S. were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure), down year-over-year from February 2023 and unchanged month over month from January 2024. Molly Boesel, Principal Economist for CoreLogic added:
The U.S. delinquency rate fell from a year earlier for the first time in six months in February, indicating that mortgage performance remains strong. The decrease in delinquencies was driven by the decline in the share of mortgages that were six months or more past due, a number that has been consistently shrinking and fell to its lowest level in 15 years in February. As later-stage delinquencies decrease, the share of mortgages in foreclosure remained at 0.3% in February, where it has been since March 2022 and only slightly higher than the all-time low.
Here is a summary of headlines we are reading today:
Click on the “Read More” below to access these, other headlines, and the associated news summaries moving the markets today.