Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 5, 2023

June 5, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 8:16 p.m. EDT Monday, June 5, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
341 PM EDT Mon Jun 05 2023

Valid 00Z Tue Jun 06 2023 - 00Z Thu Jun 08 2023

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern
High Plains through Wednesday...

...Much cooler than normal over much of California/Southwest and the
Northeast...

...Periods of smoky conditions and poor air quality around the Great
Lakes...

What is an Omega Block?

Learn more about the Omega Block and other important  Wave Patterns HERE.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 4, 2023

June 4, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 5:10 p.m. EDT Sunday June 4, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
352 PM EDT Sun Jun 04 2023

Valid 00Z Mon Jun 05 2023 – 00Z Wed Jun 07 2023

…Areas of heavy rain and flash flooding possible across the southern
High Plains over the next few days…

…Above average temperatures remain throughout the northern Plains and
build into the Pacific Northwest by Tuesday…

Introduction to Global Warming Part 1, June 3, 2023

June 3, 2023Posted inClimate4 Comments

It is time to talk about Global Warming. I prefer the term Global Warming(GW) to Climate Change(CC) simply because it is the warming that changes the climate. But either term is fine. We are going to tackle this in small portions. It is a very complicated and a largely misunderstood topic. My major interest is the economic impacts but I think we need to start by understanding what Global Warming is and why it is happening.

In Part I,  I am going to discuss the imbalance between incoming energy and outgoing energy.  I am also going to try to explain why it is happening and the role of greenhouse gases. I believe we are at the point now where there is no doubt that this is caused almost totally by the activities of humans. But even if it was a natural phenomenon, what I am presenting in this article would apply. The only way to get warmer is to receive more energy than you send into space.  Not being in balance could be caused by humans or by something else. We will deal with the cause in a future article.  Part I of this Introduction to Global Warming is about the imbalance.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 3, 2023

June 3, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM EDT Sat Jun 03 2023

Valid 00Z Sun Jun 04 2023 – 00Z Tue Jun 06 2023

…Unsettled weather to continue through the weekend across much of the
High Plains and into the Central/Northern Rockies with locally heavy
rainfall…

…Hot temperatures to continue across the Northern Plains and much of the
Midwest…

…Much colder weather with much below normal temperatures expected across
the Northeast..

Weekly Crop Report June 2, 2023 – Almost all crops are doing well

June 2, 2023Posted inagriculture, weatherNo Comments

This article is based primarily on the May 31, 2023, USDA Crop Bulletin which covers the May 21 – 28  period of time. The USDA report usually becomes available on Tuesdays but due to the Memorial Day Weekend it was not published until Wednesday and Wednesday night I published the end-of-month update of the June weather outlook (click HERE to read) so I am publishing the crop article tonight a day late.

Almost all crops are doing well. Corn and soybeans, which are two of the major crops,  are doing very well. We will see how they handle the drought anticipated in certain areas in June.

We also include the May 2023 report on the prices received and paid by farmers in April 2023.

The article includes a short international review of agricultural conditions.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 2, 2023

June 2, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Updated at 8:02 p.m. Thursday, June 2, 2023

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
346 PM EDT Fri Jun 02 2023

Valid 00Z Sat Jun 03 2023 – 00Z Mon Jun 05 2023

…Tropical Storm Arlene Forms in the Gulf of Mexico…

…There are Moderate Risks of Excessive Rainfall over the Texas Panhandle
& northern High Plains; Enhanced Risk for severe weather in the southern
High Plains this afternoon…

…Stormy weather to linger in the Rockies & Plains…

…Prolonged summer heat in the North Central U.S; cooler temperatures
return to the Northeast & Mid-Atlantic this weekend.

NOAA Updates It’s June 2023 Outlook on May 31, 2023- It is a dramatic change from the Mid-Month Outlook

June 1, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

At the end of every month, NOAA updates its Outlook for the following month which in this case is June of 2023. We are reporting on that tonight.

There have been some significant changes in the Outlook for June and these are addressed in the NOAA Discussion so it is well worth reading. We highlighted some of the important statements within the NOAA Discussion. We also provided the prior Mid-Month Outlook for June for comparison.  From the NOAA Discussion:

  • The MJO is expected to provide a favorable large-scale environment for tropical cyclone (TC) development across the East Pacific during early June.
  • Typhoon Maway , currently located to the east of Taiwan, is forecast to recurve northeastward over the Northwest Pacific.
  • Dynamical models  generally depict a persistent, anomalous 500-hPa ridge over the higher latitudes of west-central North America into the latter half of June which supports increased probabilities for above-normal temperatures from the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies east to the Midwest.
  • 30-day precipitation deficits range from 2 to 5 inches across the Corn Belt where low topsoil [Editor’s note: probably referring to moisture]  is present.
  • Positive SST anomalies over the Gulf of Mexico along with forecasted above normal temperatures in week 3-4 tools, tilts the forecast toward above normal across Florida and along the Gulf Coast.
  • Increased probabilities for below-normal temperatures are forecast for the Central to Southern High Plains, Southwest, and southern California.
  • Below-normal precipitation across the Midwest. This favored dryness extends east to the Central Appalachians
  • Wetter-than-normal conditions especially across the interior West, High Plains, and Southern Great Plains where increased probabilities for above-normal precipitation are forecast for the month
  • A wet start to the month is likely across the Florida Peninsula.
  • The largest change in the revised precipitation outlook was made to Alaska as most recent model guidance has backed off the dry signal initially forecast for southeastern Alaska.

It is probably easier to just look at the maps than digest the above.

The article includes the Drought Outlook for June. NOAA also adjusted the previously issued Seasonal Drought Outlook to reflect the changes in the June Outlook. We have also included the current fire incidents (dramatically decreased) and four months of Wildland Fire Potential Outlooks and also a map showing the current snowpack in the West and the water-year-to-date precipitation. We also provide the Week 2/3 Tropical Outlook for the World.

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted June 1, 2023

June 1, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
350 PM EDT Thu Jun 01 2023

Valid 00Z Fri Jun 02 2023 – 00Z Sun Jun 04 2023

…Heavy rain to likely lead to additional instances of flash flooding
across the Texas Panhandle on Friday, as well as the possibility of severe
thunderstorms…

…Increasing threat of excessive rainfall across parts of north-central
Montana to end the week…

…Much above average temperatures throughout the Northeast on Friday
ahead of an approaching backdoor cold front to swing through the region by
Saturday…

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 31, 2023

May 31, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed May 31 2023

Valid 12Z Wed May 31 2023 – 12Z Fri Jun 02 2023

…Widespread scattered showers and thunderstorms continue across large
portions of the central U.S., the northern Rockies and northern Great
Basin…

…Watching the potential for low pressure to develop in the eastern Gulf
and bring increasing chance of thunderstorms across southern Florida next
few days…

…Much above average temperatures along the northern tier of the nation
but cooler than normal across the southern tier and along the West and
East Coasts…

Weather: Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted May 30, 2023

May 30, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather forecast.

We start with the U.S. Information.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
357 PM EDT Tue May 30 2023

Valid 00Z Wed May 31 2023 – 00Z Fri Jun 02 2023

…Widespread scattered showers and thunderstorms continue across large
portions of the central U.S., the northern Rockies and northern Great
Basin…

…Scattered showers spread into the southern Mid-Atlantic today, with an
increasing chance of thunderstorms across southern Florida on Wednesday…

…Much above average temperatures expected along the northern tier of the
nation, while cooler than normal conditions accompany the showers across
the Southeast…