Sig Silber, Author at EconCurrents

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 28, 2024

By Sig Silber October 28, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Oct 28 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Oct 28 2024 – 12Z Wed Oct 30 2024

…Moderate to heavy snow over parts of the Northern/Central Rockies on
Tuesday…

…Temperatures will be 20 to 30 degrees above average over parts of the
Plains and Mississippi Valley…

…There is a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and Central/Southern Plains on Tuesday…

A front extending from the Northern Plains to the Great Basin and Southern
California will move eastward to the Upper Mississippi Valley/Upper Great
Lakes southwestward to the Southern High Plains by Wednesday. Ahead of the
front, temperatures will be 20 to 30 degrees above average over parts of
the Plains and Mississippi Valley.

In the wake of the front, onshore flow off the Pacific will produce rain
over the Pacific Northwest and Northern California through Tuesday night.
In addition, scattered light snow will develop over the highest elevations
of the Cascades, the Sierra Nevada Mountains, the Northern Intermountain
Region, and the Great Basin through Wednesday. Lower-elevation rain will
also develop over parts of the Great Basin, Southwest, and
Northern/Central Rockies.

Further, intensifying upper-level energy over the Four Corners Region will
aid in producing moderate to heavy snow over parts of the Northern/Central
Rockies and higher elevations of the eastern Great Basin on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, southeasterly flow off the Gulf of Mexico will create scattered
rain over parts of the Western Gulf Coast on Monday. On Tuesday, the
atmosphere along the Western Gulf Coast will become more unstable, so
showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Western Gulf
Coast. Similarly, easterly flow off the Atlantic will produce rain over
parts of Florida on Monday. On Tuesday, the atmosphere will become more
unstable, so showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts of Florida.

Moreover, moist air will pool ahead of the front over the Great Lakes on
Monday, creating showers and thunderstorms. Rain will develop over parts
of the Northeast on Tuesday into Wednesday morning and also over parts of
the Northern/Central Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley on Tuesday.

Additionally, moisture will pool along the boundary over parts of the
Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley to Central/Southern Plains, producing
strong to severe thunderstorms. Therefore, the SPC has issued a Marginal
Risk (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Upper/Middle
Mississippi Valley to Central/Southern Plains from Tuesday into Wednesday
morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms are frequent
lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a minimal threat of
tornadoes.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 27, 2024

By Sig Silber October 27, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Oct 27 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Oct 27 2024 – 12Z Tue Oct 29 2024

…Scattered light rain will develop over the Carolinas…

…Rain and higher elevation snow over parts of the Northeast Sunday
night…

…Rain moves into the Northwest and light snow over the higher elevations
of the Western States…

A front lingering along the Gulf Coast States will slowly dissipate by
Monday. Upper-level impulses over the Ohio and Lower Mississippi Valleys
will produce scattered rain over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley
through late Sunday morning. In addition, upper-level dynamics will
develop light rain over parts of the Carolinas early Sunday through early
Monday morning. Furthermore, onshore flow off the Atlantic will create
scattered rain over parts of Florida from Monday afternoon through Tuesday.

Meanwhile, a front over the Pacific Northwest will move inland to the
Upper Mississippi Valley to the Central Plains and then to the Southwest
by Tuesday. The storm will produce rain over parts of the Pacific
Northwest and Northern California through Sunday afternoon. Onshore flow
off the Pacific will produce rain over the Pacific Northwest and Northern
California through Monday night. As the front passes over the Northwest
into the Great Basin, scattered light snow will develop over the highest
elevations of the Cascades, the Sierra Nevada Mountains, the Northern
Intermountain Region, and the Great Basin through Tuesday.

As the leading edge of the boundary moves into the Upper Midwest, rain
with embedded thunderstorms will develop over parts of the Great Lakes
from Monday evening into Tuesday. Furthermore, ahead of the front,
temperatures will be 10 to 25 degrees above average over the Plains.

Elsewhere, a front will move southward out of Central Canada on Sunday,
advancing into the Northeast by Sunday evening and then out over the
Atlantic. This front will produce scattered rain and snow over the higher
elevations of the Northeast through early Monday morning.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Looking Back at September 2024 Weather for the U.S. and the World – Posted on October 26, 2024

By Sig Silber October 26, 2024weatherNo Comments

Much of the information in this report comes from the monthly emails I receive from John Bateman. He does public outreach for NOAA and in particular NCEI. I could find the same information and more on the NCEI website but John Bateman produces a good summary so I use it or most of it. I also add additional information from NCEI or other NOAA websites. At the end of the article, I provide links that will get you to the full reports and much additional information. This month NCEI which is based in North Carolina had a lot of computer problems so the email from John Bateman is combined U.S. and World and not as complete as usual.

My comments if any are in boxes like this one.

I start with the trends of September 2024 Temperature looking at North America and then the World both land and water. There is a graphic for just CONUS but the format is different and it is not as easy to read.

This is the temperature trend for the month of September in North America. It covers a larger geographical area than just CONUS but I find it easier to read. It looks like the September temperature was a record.

The temperature for the world, land and ocean did not hit a new record.

The temperature for the world, (land only) also did not hit a new record. Notice that land temperatures increase faster than land and ocean as water takes more energy.

To read the rest of this article some will have to click on “Read More”.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 26, 2024

By Sig Silber October 26, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Oct 26 2024
Valid 12Z Sat Oct 26 2024 – 12Z Mon Oct 28 2024

..Showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Lower Mississippi/Ohio
Valleys on Saturday…

…Rain and higher elevation snow over parts of the Northeast Sunday
night…

…Rain moves into the Pacific Northwest and light snow over the higher
elevations of the Cascades and Northern Intermountain Region…

A front extending from the Northeast Coast to the Mid-Atlantic and then
westward to the Southern Plains moves eastward over the Atlantic while the
western end of the boundary lingers over the Gulf Coast States through
Monday. In the wake of the front, scattered light rain will develop over
parts of the Northeast through Saturday night. Along the southern edge of
the boundary, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop over parts
of the Lower Mississippi/Ohio Valleys through Saturday evening. Light rain
will develop over parts of the Carolinas early Sunday through early Monday
morning. Furthermore, onshore flow off the Atlantic will create scattered
rain over parts of Florida through Saturday afternoon/evening.

Meanwhile, a front will move onshore over the Pacific Northwest Saturday
morning, moving inland to the Northern Plains and the Great Basin by
Monday. The storm will produce rain over parts of the Pacific Northwest
through Monday. The rain will move into Northern California late Saturday
evening and continue into Sunday evening. Additionally, overnight Sunday,
light snow will develop over the highest elevations of the Cascades and
the Northern Intermountain Region.

Elsewhere, a front will move southward out of Central Canada on Sunday
morning, advancing into the Northeast by Sunday evening, producing
scattered rain and snow over the higher elevations of the Northeast
through Sunday night.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 25, 2024

By Sig Silber October 25, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Fri Oct 25 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Oct 25 2024 – 12Z Sun Oct 27 2024

…Showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Middle Mississippi/ Ohio
Valleys…

…Rain over parts of the Northeast…

…Rain moves into the Pacific Northwest…

A wave of low pressure over the Middle Mississippi Valley will move
northeastward off the Northeast Coast by Saturday evening. The system will
produce showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Middle
Mississippi/Ohio Valleys through Friday evening. The system will also
create rain over parts of the Great Lakes through Saturday afternoon.
Overnight Friday, scattered rain will develop over parts of the Northeast
through early Sunday morning. Moreover, scattered rain will develop along
the front over the Southern Mid-Atlantic from Saturday evening into
Sunday. Rain will also grow over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley
from early Saturday into Sunday.

Meanwhile, a front will move onshore over the Pacific Northwest Friday
night and inland through Sunday morning. The storm will produce rain over
parts of the Pacific Northwest late Friday night. The rain will continue
to inch farther inland on Saturday, moving into Northern California late
Saturday night and continuing into Sunday.

Elsewhere, onshore flow off the Atlantic will trigger scattered rain over
parts of Florida from Saturday afternoon into Sunday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 24, 2024

By Sig Silber October 24, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Oct 24 2024
Valid 12Z Thu Oct 24 2024 – 12Z Sat Oct 26 2024

…Pleasant weather continues across most of the country through the end
of the week…

…Well above-average temperatures continue over the Central and Southern
U.S…

A quiet and relatively uneventful fall weather pattern will continue to be
in place across the continental U.S. through the end of the week, with
high pressure keeping mainly sunny skies in place across the Central and
Eastern U.S. and the warm conditions continuing across the Plains and
southern tier states. A cold front approaching the East Coast will herald
the arrival of more autumnal temperatures for Thursday with highs falling
10 to 20 degrees for many areas from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast
compared to Wednesday. Even warmer conditions are likely for the central
and southern Plains to close out the work week, with highs running up to
20 degrees above normal for late October, with the potential for
additional record highs.

In terms of precipitation prospects, scattered showers and thunderstorms
are likely for the Midwest states ahead of the next cold front dropping
south across the Northern Plains on Thursday and into Thursday night. A
more concentrated corridor of heavier rainfall is expected from eastern
Iowa to northern Illinois on Thursday, with the potential for a few strong
thunderstorms in the warm sector of the surface low. There may also be a
few showers in easterly flow across the Florida Peninsula. Out West, some
showers and high elevation snow are expected from eastern Idaho to Wyoming
and southern Montana with a shortwave upper trough moving through the
region. Looking ahead to Friday, onshore flow ahead of a Pacific cold
front will lead to light to moderate rain developing across western Oregon
and Washington, but not considered an atmospheric river event.

The combination of very warm conditions, dry grounds, and increased winds
across the Central Plains will raise the potential for wildfires, based on
the SPC fire weather outlook on Thursday. There may also be some fire
weather concerns across portions of the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast on
Thursday in the wake of a dry cold front, with dry conditions and gusty
winds developing.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 23, 2024

By Sig Silber October 23, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Oct 23 2024
Valid 12Z Wed Oct 23 2024 – 12Z Fri Oct 25 2024

…Very pleasant weather continues across most of the country through the
end of the week…

…Well above-average temperatures continue over the Central and Eastern
U.S…

A quiet and relatively uneventful fall weather pattern will be in place
across the continental U.S. through early Friday, with high pressure
keeping mainly sunny skies in place across the Central and Eastern U.S.
and the very pleasant conditions continuing. Temperatures will once again
be quite mild and feel more like September across much of the East Coast
region on Wednesday ahead of a cold front, which will herald the arrival
of more autumnal temperatures for Thursday with highs falling 10 to 20
degrees for many areas from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast. Even
warmer conditions are likely for the central and southern Plains to close
out the work week, with highs running up to 20 degrees above normal for
late October, with the potential for a few record highs.

In terms of precipitation prospects, some light showers are possible
across portions of the Great Lakes region and into New England ahead of
the cold front where forcing for ascent will be greatest, and remaining
dry farther to the south given a paucity of moisture and lack of dynamics.
A second area of scattered showers and thunderstorms is likely for the
Midwest states ahead of the next cold front dropping south across the
Northern Plains on Thursday and into Thursday night. There may also be a
few showers in easterly flow across the Florida Peninsula. Out West, some
showers and high elevation snow are expected from eastern Oregon to the
Northern Rockies with a shortwave upper trough moving through the region.

The combination of very warm conditions, dry grounds, and increased winds
across the Central Plains will raise the potential for wildfires, based on
the SPC fire weather outlook on Thursday. The same holds true for
portions of southern New England on Wednesday.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 22, 2024

By Sig Silber October 22, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Oct 21 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Oct 21 2024 – 12Z Wed Oct 23 2024

…Lingering scattered thunderstorm activity for the Central/Southern
Plains today…

…Cool and rainy across the Northwest today…

…Well above average temperatures in the northern tier spreads south…

A previously quasi-stationary front draped along the Central/Southern High
Plains will kick out into the Great Plains today beneath a weakening
upper-level low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur over
portions of eastern Nebraska and Kansas as a result with a Marginal Risk
of Severe Thunderstorms present. A somewhat slow moving upper trough over
the eastern Pacific will produce cool temperatures and light rain showers
for much of the Northwest today.

An upper ridge and approaching northern stream trough will generate well
above average temperatures across much of the northern tier states today.
Temperatures in the 70s and 80s will represent 20-30 degree positive
anomalies for portions of the Upper Midwest. High temperature records
along the Northeast Coast may be tied or broken today.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 21, 2024

By Sig Silber October 21, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Mon Oct 21 2024
Valid 12Z Mon Oct 21 2024 – 12Z Wed Oct 23 2024

…Lingering scattered thunderstorm activity for the Central/Southern
Plains today…

…Cool and rainy across the Northwest today…

…Well above average temperatures in the northern tier spreads south…

A previously quasi-stationary front draped along the Central/Southern High
Plains will kick out into the Great Plains today beneath a weakening
upper-level low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur over
portions of eastern Nebraska and Kansas as a result with a Marginal Risk
of Severe Thunderstorms present. A somewhat slow moving upper trough over
the eastern Pacific will produce cool temperatures and light rain showers
for much of the Northwest today.

An upper ridge and approaching northern stream trough will generate well
above average temperatures across much of the northern tier states today.
Temperatures in the 70s and 80s will represent 20-30 degree positive
anomalies for portions of the Upper Midwest. High temperature records
along the Northeast Coast may be tied or broken today.

To get your local forecast plus active alerts and warnings click HERE and enter your city, state or zip code.

Learn about wave patterns HERE.

Then, looking at the world and of course, the U.S. shows here also. Today we are looking at precipitation.

Please click on “Read More” below to access the full Daily Report issued today.

Weather Outlook for the U.S. for Today Through at Least 22 Days and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted October 20, 2024

By Sig Silber October 20, 2024weatherNo Comments

This article focuses on what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term U.S. outlooks (up to four weeks) and a six-day World weather outlook which can be very useful for travelers.

First the NWS Short Range Forecast. The afternoon NWS text update can be found here after about 4 p.m. New York time but it is unlikely to have changed very much from the morning update. The images in this article automatically update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Oct 20 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Oct 20 2024 – 12Z Tue Oct 22 2024

…Heavy Rain and light to moderate Snow across portions of the Central
Rockies, and Southern High Plains today before diminishing tonight…

…Rainfall for the Pacific Northwest through Monday…

…Expansive area of above average temperatures settle over the northern
tier…

An anomalous closed upper-level low pressure system will continue to
produce heavy rainfall and scattered thunderstorms across portions of the
Southern High Plains through this morning before quickly tapering off this
afternoon and evening. A Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall leading to
Flash Flooding is in effect for parts of far southeastern Colorado, the
Texas/Oklahoma panhandles and northeastern New Mexico where 1 inch/hr rain
rates could cause runoff concerns, particularly over recent burn scars.
Heavy snow is also a concern over parts of the Central Rockies,
specifically the San Juans above 10,000 feet where over 8 inches of snow
are possible. Snow tapers off tonight as the upper low moves away into the
Great Plains.

A broad positively tilted upper trough will continue generating a
prolonged weak atmospheric river event over the Northwest over the next
couple of days. Some additional 1-2 inches of rainfall are possible for
parts of the Pacific Northwest today followed by portions of the Northern
Rockies on Monday. Any snow that falls will be confined to the highest
elevations of the Cascades.

An upper ridge will promote warm southerly flow into the Plains and
eventually East over the next several days. High temperatures in the 70s
and 80s today and Monday will represent 20-30 degree positive anomalies
for this time of year over parts of the Upper Midwest. Overnight
temperatures will be warm enough to rival low records as well. Troughing
over southern Canada and the cut-off low propagating across the Plains
will eventually push the warm air into the eastern half of the country
this week.