Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 26, 2023

August 26, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Aug 26 2023

Valid 12Z Sat Aug 26 2023 – 12Z Mon Aug 28 2023

…Dangerous heat continues across the Gulf Coast this weekend…

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 25, 2023

August 25, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Aug 24 2023

Valid 12Z Thu Aug 24 2023 – 12Z Sat Aug 26 2023

…Dangerous heat continues from the Midwest to Gulf Coast, with relief
finally on the way for some by this weekend…

…Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding possible across the Lower Great
Lakes and parts of the central Appalachians into tonight…

…Scattered flash flooding concerns forecast from the central Great Basin
to the central High Plains through Friday…

Crop Report August 24, 2023 – Things are Still Looking Good

August 24, 2023Posted inagriculture, weatherNo Comments

This article is based primarily on the August 22, 2023, USDA Crop Bulletin which covers the week ending August 20, 2023. The USDA report usually becomes available on Tuesdays. I have omitted a number of graphics that are available in the full USDA Crop Bulletin which can be accessed HERE.

It now seems like an average crop or better especially given the recovery of the corn and soybean crops as the drought in the important growing area for those two crops let up.

The article includes a short international review of agricultural conditions. It includes a report on U.S. rice stocks (inventory). I also included crop-related weather information.

We begin with the National Agriculture Summary.  The Tables below the summary have additional data. The boxes with my comments may be incomplete so for crops of interest check the data out yourself to be sure.

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 24, 2023

August 24, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Thu Aug 24 2023

Valid 12Z Thu Aug 24 2023 – 12Z Sat Aug 26 2023

…Dangerous heat continues from the Midwest to Gulf Coast, with relief
finally on the way for some by this weekend…

…Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding possible across the Lower Great
Lakes and parts of the central Appalachians into tonight…

…Scattered flash flooding concerns forecast from the central Great Basin
to the central High Plains through Friday…

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 23, 2023

August 23, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Wed Aug 23 2023
Valid 12Z Wed Aug 23 2023 – 12Z Fri Aug 25 2023

…Over 100 million people under heat alerts from the Midwest to the Gulf
Coast as record-breaking temperatures continue through the end of the
week…

…Scattered flash flooding threat spans across West Texas, the Southwest,
and central Great Basin over the next few days…

…Locally heavy rain and severe thunderstorms possible across the Lower
Great Lakes and Upper Ohio Valley…

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 22, 2023

August 22, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Tue Aug 22 2023

Valid 12Z Tue Aug 22 2023 – 12Z Thu Aug 24 2023

…Extremely dangerous heat will persist across a widespread region
spanning from the Midwest to Gulf Coast this week…

…Heavy rain and gusty winds associated with Tropical Storm Harold to
impact South Texas today…

…Scattered flash flooding concerns exist across parts of the Great Basin
and Southwest…

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 21, 2023

August 21, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
407 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2023

Valid 00Z Tue Aug 22 2023 – 00Z Thu Aug 24 2023

…There is a Slight of excessive rainfall over parts of the Western U. S.
on Monday and Tuesday and southern Texas on Tuesday…

…There are Air Quality Warnings over the parts of the Pacific Northwest,
Central Rockies, and Mid-Atlantic…

…Excessive Heat Warnings and Advisories from parts of the Plains, the
Mississippi Valley, and Central/Western Gulf Coast…

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 20, 2023

August 20, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
358 PM EDT Sun Aug 20 2023

Valid 00Z Mon Aug 21 2023 – 00Z Wed Aug 23 2023

…There is a Slight to High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of
Southern California, the Great Basin, and the Northern Intermountain
Region…

…There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of
Southeastern California…

…There are Air Quality Warnings over the parts of the Pacific Northwest
and Northern/Central Rockies…

…Excessive Heat Warnings and Advisories from parts of the Plains, the
Mississippi Valley, and Central/Western Gulf Coast…

 

[Image of WPC Flash Flooding/Excessive Rainfall Outlook]

–

Taking Another Look at the NOAA Seasonal Outlook – What about this Coming Winter? Published on August 19, 2023

August 19, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

On the third Thursday of the month right on schedule NOAA issued their updated Seasonal Outlook which I describe as their Four-Season Outlook because it extends a bit more than one year into the future.

Usually, we pay the most attention to the Mid-Month forecast for the next month which is September, the three-month Outlook for September through November and the Seasonal Drought Outlook.

Tonight I want to focus on the months beyond September through November 2023  In particular I want to focus on the winter months.

 NOAA is showing a warmer than normal Northern Tier and equal chances for the rest of CONUS other than Florida

 

 

 NOAA is showing a dry extreme Northern Tier and a mostly wet Southern Tier and the Southeast.   But what about the Colorado River Basin?  Pretty much a normal year?  What about New Mexico? If the Jet Stream is so far south that there will only be normal precipitation for Northern New Mexico and Colorado? That is not a good scenario for New Mexico.

 

Tonight, Tomorrow, Next Day, Five Days, and Intermediate-Term Outlooks for the U.S. and a Six-Day Forecast for the World: posted August 19, 2023

August 19, 2023Posted inweatherNo Comments

Here is what we are paying attention to in the next 48 to 72 hours. The article also includes weather maps for longer-term outlooks and a five-day World weather outlook.

We start with the U.S. Information. You can update this section here but these are 48 to 72-hour forecasts so if I have not been able to update this area twice daily, what is shown is still valid and the images in the body of the article update automatically but sometimes they are a bit slow to update.

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sat Aug 19 2023

Valid 12Z Sat Aug 19 2023 – 12Z Mon Aug 21 2023

…Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding likely over portions of the
Southwest…

…Dangerous heat expanding over the central U.S…..

 

 

[Image of WPC Flash Flooding/Excessive Rainfall Outlook]